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Turkey vs Portugal Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 95-54
22-13 29-14 22-10 22-17
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game75.5
Turkey 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game65.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turkey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portugal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTurkey
Date
Competition
Italy
#9
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
92-66
92
66
+26
84avg 77
H22/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 77
A25/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 77
H20/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
71-83
71
83
-12
66avg 77
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#3
L
71-73
71
73
-2
64avg 77
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
79-65
79
65
+14
70avg 77
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Latvia
#11
W
93-73
93
73
+20
97avg 77
A27/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 77
H29/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
15-26
17-18
24-19
16-16
19-14
19-17
22-28
27-20
16-17
19-12
30-17
21-14
19-17
14-23
27-22
12-17
19-31
19-12
17-20
16-26
22-20
16-23
17-14
25-17
10-11
16-21
20-24
23-13
18-16
19-12
19-24
24-21
23-18
25-16
21-18
21-27
24-10
27-25
20-16
155.8Avg total
80.2Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.575.5168.0+17.0100%
Season at home (1)92.078.0170.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)93.073.0166.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.275.6155.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)81.274.4155.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.681.8156.3-7.211%
vs Similar (10)76.171.8147.9+4.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.975.5162.4+11.582%
This opponent (Portugal) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#40
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
78avg 66
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 66
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 66
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
60-88
60
88
-28
42avg 66
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
62-50
62
50
+12
54avg 66
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
56avg 66
H29/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-9
17-27
26-22
11-8
19-19
21-24
18-27
24-20
19-19
17-19
17-18
17-16
26-16
21-16
15-27
17-18
22-10
27-14
15-24
18-26
17-24
32-20
19-22
14-17
18-18
14-29
21-18
25-19
17-24
15-17
18-30
10-17
13-10
19-19
13-11
17-10
19-23
14-20
16-21
20-16
150.3Avg total
73.9Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)65.565.0130.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)69.080.0149.0-11.00%
Season away (1)62.050.0112.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.976.4150.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)70.277.0147.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)64.776.4141.1-11.822%
vs Similar (6)80.380.2160.5+0.233%
vs Weaker (15)77.867.3145.1+10.580%
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
TurkeyPortugal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TurkeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#9
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A22/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H25/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H22/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A25/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H20/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A15/08
DBB Supercup
Czech Republic
#4
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Latvia
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H29/08
EuroBasket
76.9Avg total
39.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.076.9+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.836.974.6+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.239.479.6+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.576.9+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.877.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.744.280.9-7.611%-
vs Similar (10)38.134.973.0+3.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.535.877.3+5.673%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#40
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A23/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H22/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H29/08
EuroBasket
76.5Avg total
38.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.475.9+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.836.175.9+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)39.236.775.9+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.776.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.876.4-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.935.669.4-1.744%-
vs Similar (6)41.741.383.0+0.333%-
vs Weaker (15)42.034.976.9+7.173%-
This opponent (Turkey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turkeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.1
55.2%
52.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.1
30.7%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.714.9
79.7%
73.1%14.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.0
47.0%
52.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.1
29.1%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.212.4
68.1%
73.1%12.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Turkey
WWWLLLWWWL
Portugal
LWLLLWWLLW
#2
League position
#17
+6.6
Net rating
-4.2
113.6
Offensive rating
97.8
107.0
Defensive rating
102.0
51.4%
Effective FG%
45.6%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.2%
37.7%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.7%
3-point %
29.1%
59.9%
Assist %
64.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 97.8Defence107.0 · 102.0Shooting51.4% · 45.6%3-point %30.7% · 29.1%Ball care17.8% · 20.2%Off. rebounds37.7% · 34.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Turkey   ■ Portugal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Turkey wins
0
Portugal wins
No previous meetings.
Turkeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/25HCzech Republic92-78
27/08/25ALatvia93-73
16/08/25HCzech Republic79-65
15/08/25AGermany71-73
23/02/25AIceland71-83
20/02/25HItaly67-80
25/11/24AHungary81-76
22/11/24HHungary92-66
25/02/24HIceland76-75
22/02/24AItaly80-87
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/25HSerbia69-80
27/08/25ACzech Republic62-50
24/02/25HUkraine60-88
21/02/25AIsrael78-84
25/11/24ASlovenia82-83
22/11/24HSlovenia82-74
25/02/24AUkraine79-77
22/02/24HIsrael70-72
26/02/23ABulgaria82-90
23/02/23ACyprus75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Turkey
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.592.093.0
Allowed / game75.578.073.0
Point differential+17.0+14.0+20.0
Avg total168.0170.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portugal
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game65.569.062.0
Allowed / game65.080.050.0
Point differential+0.5-11.0+12.0
Avg total130.5149.0112.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%91.064.0+27.0
2 Germany330100%106.082.3+23.7
3 France220100%97.579.5+18.0
4 Greece220100%85.567.5+18.0
5 Finland330100%95.778.0+17.7
6 Turkey220100%92.575.5+17.0
7 Serbia330100%87.371.0+16.3
8 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
9 Poland110100%105.095.0+10.0
10 Lithuania32167%92.081.3+10.7
11 Italy21150%72.068.5+3.5
12 Portugal21150%65.565.0+0.5
13 Georgia21150%72.573.5-1.0
14 Belgium21150%67.578.0-10.5
15 Sweden31233%83.785.7-2.0
16 Estonia31233%74.381.7-7.3
17 Latvia31233%75.082.3-7.3
18 Slovenia2020%95.0104.0-9.0
19 Iceland2020%67.577.0-9.5
20 Czech Republic3030%67.781.0-13.3
21 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
22 Great Britain3030%69.393.7-24.3
23 Montenegro3030%69.395.0-25.7
24 Cyprus2020%66.593.5-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Turkey2229222295
Portugal1314101754
← all games of the day
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