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Iceland vs Turkey Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-71
26-16 20-22 23-16 14-17
Position#25
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game79.4
Iceland 🏆
vs
Position#20
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeEuroBasketRound 6· Laugardalsholl
Other2023
Meetings · Iceland v Turkey
31 Aug 2026
ICEL73
TURK110
23 Feb 2025
ICEL83
TURK71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iceland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Turkey winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIceland
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#34
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
61-80
61
80
-19
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
75-76
75
76
-1
66avg 71
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
71-95
71
95
-24
65avg 71
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
80avg 71
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
78-87
78
87
-9
74avg 71
A20/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
22-22
27-14
17-25
17-26
21-19
25-15
22-28
18-14
15-21
20-16
19-28
19-22
14-21
15-19
13-18
19-19
24-23
19-18
18-17
16-19
17-18
16-14
21-14
16-16
14-19
17-19
28-22
12-27
13-22
29-16
17-30
22-9
10-20
26-27
23-18
21-20
11-28
25-24
21-15
157.3Avg total
76.4Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.079.4154.4-4.440%
Season at home (2)70.580.0150.5-9.550%
Season away (3)78.079.0157.0-1.033%
Last 10 (10)76.480.9157.3-4.540%
Last 5 (5)75.079.4154.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.184.3153.4-15.114%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.586.1171.5-0.645%
vs Weaker (12)82.674.4157.0+8.283%
This opponent (Turkey) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTurkey
Date
Competition
France
#7
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
no box
H10/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#35
W
86-52
86
52
+34
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Belgium
#35
W
82-54
82
54
+28
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Italy
#9
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
76-75
76
75
+1
64avg 61
H25/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
92-66
92
66
+26
84avg 61
H22/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 61
A25/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 61
H20/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
24-25
22-6
20-28
23-13
20-14
17-13
26-12
21-24
13-13
20-17
22-23
23-26
23-23
7-21
21-13
22-14
23-17
19-14
18-9
24-24
15-26
17-18
24-19
16-16
19-14
19-17
22-28
27-20
16-17
19-12
30-17
21-14
19-17
14-23
27-22
12-17
19-31
19-12
17-20
153.7Avg total
80.0Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.276.8156.0+2.460%
Season at home (3)78.373.7152.0+4.767%
Season away (2)80.581.5162.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)80.073.7153.7+6.350%
Last 5 (5)79.276.8156.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.681.8156.3-7.211%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.273.8151.0+3.554%
vs Weaker (8)86.876.5163.2+10.288%
This opponent (Iceland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
IcelandTurkey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#34
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H11/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A14/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
25-49
25
49
-24
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A20/02
EuroBasket
73.9Avg total
33.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.277.9-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.438.475.8-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)37.941.879.7-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)33.540.473.9-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)30.439.670.0-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.742.072.7-11.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.041.381.3-1.327%-
vs Weaker (12)39.738.177.8+1.658%-
This opponent (Turkey) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurkeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H10/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#35
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H11/11
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/11
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H24/02
World Cup
Belgium
#35
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A27/02
World Cup
Italy
#9
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A22/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#25
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H25/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H22/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A25/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H20/02
EuroBasket
77.4Avg total
39.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.977.0-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.437.474.9+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)39.040.579.5-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.377.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.276.8-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.744.280.9-7.611%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.436.273.5+1.262%-
vs Weaker (8)41.137.278.4+3.962%-
This opponent (Iceland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Icelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.8
51.3%
50.6%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.4
31.3%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.017.0
77.3%
71.4%17.0
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Turkeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turkey: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.6
51.9%
50.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.0
30.8%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.012.2
76.2%
71.4%12.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iceland
LWLLWWLLLW
Turkey
LWWWLWLLWL
#25
League position
#20
-6.8
Net rating
+4.0
104.0
Offensive rating
113.3
110.7
Defensive rating
109.3
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.4%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
40.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.3%
3-point %
30.8%
70.2%
Assist %
59.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 113.3Defence110.7 · 109.3Shooting49.3% · 49.4%3-point %31.3% · 30.8%Ball care17.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds25.4% · 40.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Iceland   ■ Turkey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Iceland wins
1
Turkey wins
DateGameScore
25/02/24Turkey v Iceland76-75
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25AHungary78-87
25/11/24AItaly81-74
22/11/24HItaly71-95
25/02/24ATurkey75-76
22/02/24HHungary70-65
26/02/23AGeorgia80-77
23/02/23HSpain61-80
14/11/22AUkraine72-79
11/11/22HGeorgia85-88
27/08/22HUkraine91-88 OT
Turkeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25HItaly67-80
25/11/24AHungary81-76
22/11/24HHungary92-66
25/02/24HIceland76-75
22/02/24AItaly80-87
27/02/23ABelgium82-54
24/02/23HLatvia74-83
14/11/22ASerbia76-77
11/11/22HBelgium86-52
10/09/22HFrance86-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iceland
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game75.070.578.0
Allowed / game79.480.079.0
Point differential-4.4-9.5-1.0
Avg total154.4150.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Turkey
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game79.278.380.5
Allowed / game76.873.781.5
Point differential+2.4+4.7-1.0
Avg total156.0152.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia550100%85.664.4+21.2
2 France550100%78.066.8+11.2
3 Latvia660100%79.269.3+9.8
4 Lithuania54180%80.063.2+16.8
5 Italy54180%83.872.2+11.6
6 Estonia54180%78.271.8+6.4
7 Slovenia54180%83.277.4+5.8
8 Israel54180%81.876.8+5.0
9 Greece54180%77.673.0+4.6
10 Croatia1511473%84.571.3+13.2
11 Germany64267%81.370.5+10.8
12 Portugal117464%82.374.0+8.3
13 Bulgaria1610662%79.275.8+3.4
14 Bosnia & Herzegovina53260%91.476.2+15.2
15 Turkey53260%79.276.8+2.4
16 Georgia53260%73.071.6+1.4
17 Great Britain53260%78.680.4-1.8
18 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
19 North Macedonia116555%73.270.9+2.3
20 Poland116555%76.576.5+0.1
21 Belgium63350%72.265.8+6.3
22 Montenegro63350%81.780.7+1.0
23 Spain63350%68.869.2-0.3
24 Slovakia168850%72.072.9-0.9
25 Sweden63350%75.280.2-5.0
26 Denmark1991047%73.673.0+0.6
27 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
28 Czech Republic52340%81.879.6+2.2
29 Iceland52340%75.079.4-4.4
30 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
31 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
32 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
33 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
34 Netherlands51420%77.282.2-5.0
35 Finland51420%78.487.6-9.2
36 Hungary51420%71.280.8-9.6
37 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
38 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
39 Cyprus171166%63.582.4-18.9
40 Ukraine5050%73.884.8-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iceland2620231483
Turkey1622161771
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