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Incarnate Word vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 79-75
40-27 39-48
Position#284
Record11-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#277
Record13-17
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Incarnate Word v TX A&M Commerce
07 Dec 2024
INCA65
TX A53
19 Feb 2024
INCA72
TX A76
25 Feb 2023
INCA79
TX A75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#339
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A22/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H27/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H28/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A03/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H10/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A17/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-21
37-43
31-32
39-33
31-36
38-31
36-33
31-44
38-39
40-31
39-36
20-32
39-36
39-48
36-34
33-35
33-39
41-45
29-26
37-45
143.5Avg total
70.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.773.6144.3-2.938%
Season at home (14)74.869.7144.5+5.150%
Season away (15)66.977.2144.1-10.327%
Last 10 (10)70.772.8143.5-2.140%
Last 5 (5)70.677.0147.6-6.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.278.2141.3-15.017%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.173.1145.2-1.038%
vs Weaker (5)84.064.0148.0+20.080%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A21/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H17/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
H18/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
43-52
33-31
29-26
26-39
51-37
27-29
33-29
35-36
47-52
36-42
28-30
38-50
40-34
38-38
32-32
36-36
36-35
38-36
46-44
147.1Avg total
72.8Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.772.3143.0-1.643%
Season at home (10)77.569.7147.2+7.860%
Season away (20)67.373.7140.9-6.435%
Last 10 (10)72.874.3147.1-1.550%
Last 5 (5)74.877.0151.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.275.1144.3-5.936%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.075.7146.7-4.727%
vs Weaker (8)72.463.9136.2+8.575%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +1.4+1.4
Incarnate WordTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#339
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A22/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H27/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H28/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H11/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A17/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H24/02
NCAA
67.7Avg total
34.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.234.767.9-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.933.869.6+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)30.935.466.3-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)34.533.267.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.269.4+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.035.364.3-6.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.135.269.2-1.146%-
vs Weaker (5)41.031.872.8+9.260%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#152
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H17/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H18/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A24/02
NCAA
70.1Avg total
33.7Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.834.867.5-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.834.672.4+3.250%-
Last 30 away (20)30.234.965.1-4.630%-
Last 10 (10)33.736.470.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.477.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.135.767.8-3.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.634.766.4-3.136%-
vs Weaker (8)35.233.568.8+1.838%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Incarnate Word wins
1
TX A&M Commerce wins
DateGameScore
31/12/22TX A&M Commerce v Incarnate Word82-74 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23HNorthwestern St.66-71
18/02/23ANicholls State74-84
17/02/23AMcNeese State76-78 OT
11/02/23HHouston Christian78-84
10/02/23HLamar59-68
04/02/23ANew Orleans78-70
03/02/23ASE Louisiana67-77
28/01/23HNicholls State69-67
27/01/23HMcNeese State70-65
22/01/23ALamar70-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23ATexas A&M-CC84-80
21/02/23ANicholls State72-71
18/02/23HSE Louisiana76-78 OT
17/02/23HNew Orleans78-84
11/02/23ANorthwestern St.64-72
10/02/23HNorthwestern St.82-88
04/02/23HMcNeese State60-58
28/01/23HHouston Christian77-76
27/01/23ALamar62-57
21/01/23ASE Louisiana73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %38%50%27%
Points / game70.774.866.9
Allowed / game73.669.777.2
Point differential-2.9+5.1-10.3
Avg total144.3144.5144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %10%7%13%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeWWLLL60%
AwayLWLWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301020
Win %43%60%35%
Points / game70.777.567.3
Allowed / game72.369.773.7
Point differential-1.6+7.8-6.3
Avg total143.0147.2140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)50% (4)78% (9)
Overtime %13%20%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northwestern St.2920969%74.671.9+2.6
2 Stephen F. Austin2819968%77.068.2+8.8
3 Texas A&M-CC29191066%80.172.3+7.8
4 SE Louisiana30171357%77.576.2+1.3
5 Nicholls State29151452%76.273.0+3.2
6 UTRGV30151550%76.674.8+1.8
7 TX A&M Commerce30131743%70.772.3-1.6
8 Incarnate Word29111838%70.773.6-2.9
9 Houston Christian30102033%78.382.9-4.6
10 New Orleans2791833%71.979.9-8.0
11 Lamar2992031%67.874.6-6.8
12 McNeese State3082227%68.475.4-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word403979
TX A&M Commerce274875
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