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TX A&M Commerce vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 82-74 (OT)
43-38 27-32 12-4
Position#277
Record4-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#284
Record6-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v Incarnate Word
01 Mar 2025
TX A68
INCA75
31 Jan 2024
TX A71
INCA66
31 Dec 2022
TX A82
INCA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A19/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H20/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
101-46
101
46
+55
H29/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A01/12
NCAA
Denver
#233
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A04/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A07/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A10/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A20/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A20/12
NCAA
Texas
#34
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-30
30-27
36-33
39-28
56-24
45-22
23-15
30-36
39-35
36-49
42-43
34-48
26-39
38-44
33-44
35-41
28-32
24-30
29-47
43-50
140.6Avg total
68.9Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.872.5141.3-3.729%
Season at home (2)88.053.5141.5+34.5100%
Season away (12)65.675.7141.2-10.117%
Last 10 (10)68.971.7140.6-2.830%
Last 5 (5)66.483.6150.0-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.074.8140.8-8.833%
vs Similar ◀ (6)69.076.3145.3-7.317%
vs Weaker (2)76.554.0130.5+22.550%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A20/11
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#415
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H23/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H25/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A27/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A29/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H01/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
L
39-72
39
72
-33
A03/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
50-98
50
98
-48
A11/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#291
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H16/12
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-29
38-39
44-32
41-44
38-32
31-32
29-24
34-37
26-32
36-36
67-36
45-28
16-24
23-48
28-45
22-53
29-34
48-31
28-50
46-29
141.0Avg total
69.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.270.4139.5-1.246%
Season at home (6)80.763.5144.2+17.283%
Season away (7)59.376.3135.6-17.014%
Last 10 (10)69.571.5141.0-2.050%
Last 5 (5)70.475.6146.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)64.374.8139.2-10.528%
vs Similar ◀ (7)68.375.1143.4-6.914%
vs Weaker (5)84.064.0148.0+20.080%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -1.3-1.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -1.3-1.3
TX A&M CommerceIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A19/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#666
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H29/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
23-15
23
15
+8
A01/12
NCAA
Denver
#233
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A04/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A10/12
NCAA
IPFW
#173
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/12
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A20/12
NCAA
Texas
#34
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A28/12
NCAA
67.7Avg total
33.5Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)31.434.165.5-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (2)46.028.574.5+17.5100%-
Last 30 away (13)29.235.064.2-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)33.534.267.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)31.641.072.6-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.035.363.3-7.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.735.567.2-3.833%-
vs Weaker (2)42.028.070.0+14.050%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#415
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H25/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A27/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A29/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#638
W
67-36
67
36
+31
H01/12
NCAA
Grambling St.
#49
L
16-24
16
24
-8
A03/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A11/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#291
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H16/12
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A22/12
NCAA
66.9Avg total
33.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.135.667.7-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.434.870.1+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)29.236.365.5-7.125%-
Last 10 (10)33.133.866.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.871.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)29.636.265.8-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.136.768.9-4.614%-
vs Weaker (5)41.031.872.8+9.260%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
0
Incarnate Word wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/22ATexas72-97
20/12/22AIUPUI52-62
20/12/22AIPFW68-85
10/12/22AAbilene Christian64-83
07/12/22AWyoming76-91
04/12/22ADenver75-84
01/12/22AHawaii53-51
29/11/22HArlington Baptist Patriots101-46
20/11/22HEastern Kentucky75-61
19/11/22AGeorgia State53-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22AFlorida International74-79
16/12/22HBethune-Cookman77-65
11/12/22AKansas State50-98
03/12/22AGrambling St.39-72
01/12/22HDallas Christian112-64
29/11/22AUTSA Roadrunners62-68
27/11/22AGrambling St.63-61
25/11/22HDartmouth69-64
23/11/22HOur Lady Of The Lake85-76
20/11/22AValparaiso64-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14212
Win %29%100%17%
Points / game68.888.065.6
Allowed / game72.553.575.7
Point differential-3.7+34.5-10.1
Avg total141.3141.5141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%8%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL46%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%83%14%
Points / game69.280.759.3
Allowed / game70.463.576.3
Point differential-1.2+17.2-17.0
Avg total139.5144.2135.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin1511473%78.765.5+13.3
2 Texas A&M-CC148657%78.172.3+5.8
3 UTRGV148657%83.280.0+3.2
4 Northwestern St.148657%70.172.9-2.8
5 Nicholls State136746%77.873.3+4.5
6 Incarnate Word136746%69.270.4-1.2
7 SE Louisiana146843%76.176.9-0.7
8 TX A&M Commerce1441029%68.872.5-3.7
9 Houston Christian1441029%80.785.8-5.1
10 Lamar1441029%68.175.9-7.7
11 McNeese State1441029%64.374.1-9.9
12 New Orleans123925%68.782.6-13.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
TX A&M Commerce43271282
Incarnate Word3832474
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