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TX A&M Commerce vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 71-66
34-33 37-33
Position#290
Record7-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#343
Record6-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game78.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v Incarnate Word
01 Mar 2025
TX A68
INCA75
31 Jan 2024
TX A71
INCA66
31 Dec 2022
TX A82
INCA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#132
W
101-99 OT
101
99
+2
H11/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#709
W
130-53
130
53
+77
H18/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
42-77
42
77
-35
A01/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H06/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A08/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H13/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A23/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
54-69
54
69
-15
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-38
49-38
63-25
67-28
20-47
22-30
36-28
31-45
33-37
52-51
34-30
31-39
34-22
34-30
21-29
44-47
27-29
38-36
20-24
34-45
150.4Avg total
76.1Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.773.7146.3-1.035%
Season at home (10)87.271.8159.0+15.450%
Season away (10)58.175.5133.6-17.420%
Last 10 (10)76.174.3150.4+1.830%
Last 5 (5)67.270.6137.8-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)65.078.8143.8-13.825%
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.875.8150.7-1.017%
vs Weaker (7)84.469.6154.0+14.957%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#315
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A21/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A31/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#384
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H03/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A09/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
71-97
71
97
-26
A13/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
66-80
66
80
-14
H20/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H23/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-37
23-43
36-32
31-34
41-37
33-40
45-31
38-43
29-38
36-37
18-37
41-38
35-38
36-59
30-42
36-38
35-34
27-28
37-31
42-44
147.2Avg total
69.5Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.478.4151.8-4.932%
Season at home (8)76.673.4150.0+3.250%
Season away (11)71.182.0153.1-10.918%
Last 10 (10)69.577.7147.2-8.230%
Last 5 (5)69.881.0150.8-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.577.3146.8-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.578.2150.6-5.727%
vs Weaker (2)91.569.0160.5+22.5100%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -6.1-6.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -6.1-6.1
TX A&M CommerceIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#132
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H11/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#709
W
63-25
63
25
+38
H18/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A01/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H06/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H13/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A23/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H30/01
NCAA
62.4Avg total
31.5Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.435.969.3-2.527%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.634.271.9+3.431%-
Last 30 away (14)28.637.966.4-9.321%-
Last 10 (10)31.530.962.4+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)27.226.854.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)28.837.266.1-8.419%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.034.766.7-2.717%-
vs Weaker (7)40.935.676.4+5.343%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#315
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#384
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
18-37
18
37
-19
A09/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H20/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H23/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/01
NCAA
69.7Avg total
34.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.135.270.3-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.832.469.1+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)33.737.771.4-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)34.035.769.7-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.036.467.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.136.668.7-4.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.535.071.5+1.545%-
vs Weaker (2)46.527.574.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
TX A&M Commerce wins
1
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24HTexas A&M-CC54-69
27/01/24HNicholls State84-87 OT
23/01/24ALamar65-76
20/01/24ASE Louisiana68-52
13/01/24HHouston Christian65-69
08/01/24ANew Orleans85-88
06/01/24HMcNeese State67-73
01/01/24ATCU42-77
18/12/23HArlington Baptist Patriots130-53
11/12/23HNorthern Colorado101-99 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HHouston Christian79-75
23/01/24HNicholls State74-78 OT
20/01/24HMcNeese State66-80
13/01/24ANorthwestern St.71-97
09/01/24ALamar59-75
06/01/24HTexas A&M-CC65-75
03/01/24HOur Lady Of The Lake83-74
31/12/23AUTRGV74-77
21/12/23AIllinois (Chi.)67-66
13/12/23ARice57-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL35%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%50%20%
Points / game72.787.258.1
Allowed / game73.771.875.5
Point differential-1.0+15.4-17.4
Avg total146.3159.0133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW32%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %32%50%18%
Points / game73.476.671.1
Allowed / game78.473.482.0
Point differential-4.9+3.2-10.9
Avg total151.8150.0153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%12%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2119290%80.361.2+19.0
2 Texas A&M-CC2113862%75.666.2+9.4
3 Stephen F. Austin2012860%78.270.5+7.7
4 Lamar2112957%81.475.6+5.8
5 Nicholls State20101050%74.076.0-1.9
6 SE Louisiana2181338%67.570.5-3.0
7 TX A&M Commerce2071335%72.773.7-1.0
8 New Orleans2171433%74.680.6-6.0
9 Incarnate Word1961332%73.478.4-4.9
10 UTRGV2061430%74.179.2-5.1
11 Houston Christian1951426%71.181.3-10.2
12 Northwestern St.2151624%70.579.2-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce343771
Incarnate Word333366
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