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TX A&M Commerce vs McNeese State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 67-73
36-28 31-45
Position#290
Record6-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#7
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game59.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v McNeese State
04 Jan 2025
TX A56
MCNE75
06 Jan 2024
TX A67
MCNE73
05 Mar 2023
TX A78
MCNE79
04 Feb 2023
TX A60
MCNE58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
McNeese State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#89
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A12/11
NCAA
University of Sciences
#643
W
113-63
113
63
+50
H16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A18/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H21/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H26/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#637
W
100-48
100
48
+52
H30/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
47-90
47
90
-43
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
101-99 OT
101
99
+2
H11/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#709
W
130-53
130
53
+77
H18/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
42-77
42
77
-35
A01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-46
34-40
60-30
53-33
35-28
22-26
44-45
53-41
33-42
28-29
48-30
52-18
16-46
31-44
27-38
49-38
63-25
67-28
20-47
22-30
153.9Avg total
81.2Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.273.8148.0+0.546%
Season at home (6)100.370.0170.3+30.383%
Season away (7)51.977.0128.9-25.114%
Last 10 (10)81.272.7153.9+8.560%
Last 5 (5)84.073.4157.4+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)65.780.2145.8-14.531%
vs Similar (6)70.275.2145.3-5.017%
vs Weaker (10)81.467.9149.3+13.580%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Tourneau
#550
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H15/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A18/11
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A22/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
81-60
81
60
+21
A29/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H02/12
NCAA
MUW Owls
#597
W
92-23
92
23
+69
H06/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
67-48
67
48
+19
H14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
87-76
87
76
+11
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-27
37-22
33-38
41-38
26-20
33-28
29-35
33-36
30-31
51-29
49-36
42-44
47-9
45-14
38-26
29-22
28-33
46-39
40-37
47-39
137.1Avg total
76.8Scored
60.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.859.2139.9+21.685%
Season at home (7)87.353.3140.6+34.0100%
Season away (6)73.266.0139.2+7.267%
Last 10 (10)76.860.3137.1+16.580%
Last 5 (5)82.259.8142.0+22.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)67.973.7141.6-5.830%
vs Similar (7)75.177.4152.6-2.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.859.2139.9+21.685%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +9.3+9.3
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +9.3+9.3
TX A&M CommerceMcNeese State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#89
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A12/11
NCAA
University of Sciences
#643
W
60-30
60
30
+30
H16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A18/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H21/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H26/11
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#637
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H30/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
16-46
16
46
-30
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H11/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#709
W
63-25
63
25
+38
H18/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A01/01
NCAA
75.3Avg total
37.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.636.870.4-3.327%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.336.075.3+3.329%-
Last 30 away (16)28.637.666.1-9.025%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.775.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.272.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.539.669.2-10.115%-
vs Similar (6)29.235.564.7-6.317%-
vs Weaker (10)38.535.273.7+3.340%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Tourneau
#550
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H15/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A18/11
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A22/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A29/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H02/12
NCAA
MUW Owls
#597
W
47-9
47
9
+38
H06/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H14/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H17/12
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A30/12
NCAA
65.6Avg total
36.4Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.932.668.5+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.731.269.9+7.557%-
Last 30 away (16)33.533.867.3-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)36.429.265.6+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.428.268.6+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.134.268.3-0.150%-
vs Similar (7)32.738.771.4-6.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.128.167.2+11.069%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
TX A&M Commerce wins
1
McNeese State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/24ATCU42-77
18/12/23HArlington Baptist Patriots130-53
11/12/23HNorthern Colorado101-99 OT
03/12/23ASMU Mustangs47-90
30/11/23HDallas Christian100-48
26/11/23HDenver61-71
21/11/23HStonehill97-86
18/11/23ASaint Josephs Hawks57-54
16/11/23HUniversity of Sciences113-63
12/11/23AIPFW64-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AMichigan87-76
17/12/23HLouisiana Lafayette74-72
14/12/23HSouthern Miss67-48
06/12/23HMUW Owls92-23
02/12/23HUT Martin91-80
29/11/23AUAB81-60
22/11/23ALouisiana Tech62-71
21/11/23ATexas State59-48
18/11/23AWestern Carolina74-76
15/11/23HLe Tourneau81-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL46%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%83%14%
Points / game74.2100.351.9
Allowed / game73.870.077.0
Point differential+0.5+30.3-25.1
Avg total148.0170.3128.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
McNeese State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%100%67%
Points / game80.887.373.2
Allowed / game59.253.366.0
Point differential+21.6+34.0+7.2
Avg total139.9140.6139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%86%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1311285%80.859.2+21.6
2 Stephen F. Austin149564%78.668.8+9.8
3 Texas A&M-CC137654%76.967.1+9.8
4 Lamar136746%82.578.0+4.5
5 TX A&M Commerce136746%74.273.8+0.5
6 Incarnate Word135838%75.577.6-2.2
7 New Orleans135838%74.476.6-2.2
8 Nicholls State135838%72.275.7-3.5
9 SE Louisiana135838%67.972.2-4.2
10 UTRGV1441029%74.079.6-5.6
11 Houston Christian112918%69.683.2-13.5
12 Northwestern St.1321115%69.281.8-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce363167
McNeese State284573
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