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TX A&M Commerce vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-87 (OT)
27-29 38-36 19-22
Position#290
Record7-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#138
Record9-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v Nicholls State
06 Jan 2025
TX A61
NICH83
27 Jan 2024
TX A84
NICH87
05 Jan 2023
TX A63
NICH66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Christian
#637
W
100-48
100
48
+52
H30/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
47-90
47
90
-43
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
101-99 OT
101
99
+2
H11/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#709
W
130-53
130
53
+77
H18/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
42-77
42
77
-35
A01/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H06/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A08/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H13/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-30
52-18
16-46
31-44
27-38
49-38
63-25
67-28
20-47
22-30
36-28
31-45
33-37
52-51
34-30
31-39
34-22
34-30
21-29
44-47
149.5Avg total
77.0Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.173.2146.2-0.139%
Season at home (8)91.870.2162.0+21.562%
Season away (10)58.175.5133.6-17.420%
Last 10 (10)77.072.5149.5+4.540%
Last 5 (5)70.071.6141.6-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)65.779.4145.1-13.727%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.774.0147.7-0.333%
vs Weaker (8)81.668.0149.6+13.662%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elizabeth City
#394
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H09/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A22/12
NCAA
Mobile
#208
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
A06/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
H13/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A20/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-32
48-38
27-28
40-45
14-28
41-37
32-37
42-28
37-42
47-42
32-26
34-35
42-35
27-34
32-42
46-33
25-33
34-36
34-35
28-27
145.9Avg total
73.5Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.475.5148.9-2.247%
Season at home (7)78.470.9149.3+7.671%
Season away (12)70.478.2148.7-7.833%
Last 10 (10)73.572.4145.9+1.160%
Last 5 (5)71.471.4142.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.279.4143.6-15.20%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.774.9148.6-1.245%
vs Weaker (13)78.773.3152.0+5.469%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +3.2+3.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +3.2+3.2
TX A&M CommerceNicholls State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Christian
#637
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H30/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
16-46
16
46
-30
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H11/12
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#709
W
63-25
63
25
+38
H18/12
NCAA
TCU
#111
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A01/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H06/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H13/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A23/01
NCAA
66.4Avg total
33.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.836.570.3-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.735.674.3+3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)28.937.466.3-8.527%-
Last 10 (10)33.233.266.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.629.260.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.438.167.5-8.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.836.368.2-4.517%-
vs Weaker (8)39.935.074.9+4.950%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elizabeth City
#394
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H09/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A20/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
14-28
14
28
-14
A22/12
NCAA
Mobile
#208
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A06/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H13/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H16/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A23/01
NCAA
64.9Avg total
31.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.935.768.6-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.734.769.4+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)31.336.667.9-5.319%-
Last 10 (10)31.133.864.9-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.034.267.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.637.866.4-9.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.634.467.0-1.727%-
vs Weaker (13)34.536.470.9-1.838%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
TX A&M Commerce wins
1
Nicholls State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24ALamar65-76
20/01/24ASE Louisiana68-52
13/01/24HHouston Christian65-69
08/01/24ANew Orleans85-88
06/01/24HMcNeese State67-73
01/01/24ATCU42-77
18/12/23HArlington Baptist Patriots130-53
11/12/23HNorthern Colorado101-99 OT
03/12/23ASMU Mustangs47-90
30/11/23HDallas Christian100-48
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24AIncarnate Word78-74 OT
20/01/24ATexas A&M-CC59-69
16/01/24HNew Orleans78-75
13/01/24HLamar76-78 OT
10/01/24HSE Louisiana66-61
06/01/24AHouston Christian98-94 OT
30/12/23HMobile74-65
22/12/23ATowson55-65
20/12/23AMaryland67-73
09/12/23HElizabeth City84-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%62%20%
Points / game73.191.858.1
Allowed / game73.270.275.5
Point differential-0.1+21.5-17.4
Avg total146.2162.0133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW47%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %47%71%33%
Points / game73.478.470.4
Allowed / game75.570.978.2
Point differential-2.2+7.6-7.8
Avg total148.9149.3148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %21%14%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1917289%78.760.8+17.8
2 Stephen F. Austin1912763%78.270.0+8.2
3 Texas A&M-CC1911858%75.766.7+9.0
4 Lamar1910953%80.976.3+4.6
5 Nicholls State1991047%73.475.5-2.2
6 TX A&M Commerce1871139%73.173.2-0.1
7 New Orleans1971237%75.278.5-3.4
8 SE Louisiana1971237%67.071.0-4.0
9 UTRGV2061430%74.179.2-5.1
10 Houston Christian1751229%71.681.5-9.8
11 Incarnate Word1851328%73.178.6-5.4
12 Northwestern St.1951426%70.978.7-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
TX A&M Commerce27381984
Nicholls State29362287
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