U. De Concepcion vs Espanol de Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 81-67

9-16 14-14 30-16 28-21

Position#5

Record24-16

FormLWLWL

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game78.7

U. De Concepcion 🏆

Espanol de Talca

Position#3

Record23-14

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game78.6

LNBLNB - Quarter-finals

Other2016-17

Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Espanol de Talca winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De Concepcion Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leones Quilpue

86-97

-11

A07/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

80-75

H08/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

87-74

+13

H14/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

76-68

H15/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

76-91

-15

A21/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

76-87

-11

A22/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

106-89

106

+17

H04/02

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

81-85 OT

-4

A11/02

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

83-75

H12/02

LNB

Espanol de Talca

55-72

-17

H25/02

LNB

18-15

17-27

25-31

26-24

12-24

14-20

30-21

24-10

24-24

16-17

20-14

27-19

13-18

13-10

26-20

24-20

12-20

20-17

18-35

26-19

21-21

13-22

20-23

22-21

22-18

25-22

29-23

30-26

16-16

16-15

22-23

19-19

17-30

26-12

16-20

24-13

16-25

13-21

16-15

10-11

161.9Avg total

80.6Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	81.8	78.7	160.5	+3.2	60%
Season at home (21)	81.3	73.0	154.2	+8.3	86%
Season away (19)	82.5	85.0	167.5	-2.5	32%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	81.3	161.9	-0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	81.6	161.8	-1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	93.7	88.7	182.3	+5.0	67%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	75.9	79.2	155.1	-3.3	33%
vs Weaker (18)	82.2	73.5	155.7	+8.7	83%

This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Espanol de Talca Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Catolica

#12

83-74

H28/12

LNB

U. De Concepcion

85-77

H29/12

LNB

Leones Quilpue

82-88

-6

H04/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

85-95

-10

A07/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

83-70

+13

H08/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

92-69

+23

H14/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

81-66

+15

H15/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

92-86

A21/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

91-84

A22/01

LNB

U. De Concepcion

72-55

+17

A25/02

LNB

30-25

16-19

20-17

17-13

18-19

18-16

24-23

25-19

18-15

21-27

21-26

22-20

17-31

22-18

28-21

18-25

21-18

17-17

26-20

19-15

19-19

23-6

19-22

31-22

17-13

22-14

19-19

23-20

26-13

17-18

27-27

22-28

20-23

27-17

19-22

25-22

25-16

21-13

15-16

11-10

161.0Avg total

84.6Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	80.9	78.6	159.5	+2.4	62%
Season at home (18)	82.6	75.1	157.6	+7.5	83%
Season away (19)	79.4	81.9	161.4	-2.5	42%
Last 10 (10)	84.6	76.4	161.0	+8.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	72.0	157.6	+13.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	79.7	85.7	165.3	-6.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	77.7	79.4	157.1	-1.8	50%
vs Weaker (15)	81.9	77.6	159.5	+4.3	67%

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

U. De ConcepcionEspanol de Talca

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.1	19.8	39.0	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	19.4	37.9	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	21.1	38.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (16)	17.9	19.9	37.9	-2.0	31%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.3	18.2	38.6	+2.1	58%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.8	38.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-0.9	46%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.3	35.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	24.0	46.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	16.9	18.6	35.5	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (16)	18.6	15.5	34.1	+3.1	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.8	17.3	37.1	+2.5	59%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.8	17.2	36.1	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.3	37.9	+3.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.5	36.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	13.6	35.6	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	21.7	39.7	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.8	17.5	37.4	+2.3	73%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.2	16.1	36.2	+4.1	62%	-

U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leones Quilpue

35-42

-7

A07/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

26-44

-18

H08/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

40-41

-1

H14/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

26-28

-2

H15/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

32-37

-5

A21/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

34-43

-9

A22/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

47-40

H04/02

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

32-31

A11/02

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

43-42

H12/02

LNB

Espanol de Talca

29-46

-17

H25/02

LNB

73.8Avg total

34.4Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	37.7	37.2	74.9	+0.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.8	37.5	76.4	+1.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	36.9	73.4	-0.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	39.4	73.8	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	40.4	77.4	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	45.3	43.0	88.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	37.1	38.5	75.6	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (16)	36.5	35.4	71.9	+1.1	56%	-

This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Espanol de TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Catolica

#12

46-44

H28/12

LNB

U. De Concepcion

36-35

H29/12

LNB

Leones Quilpue

39-42

-3

H04/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

39-49

-10

A07/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

38-35

H08/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

42-25

+17

H14/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

39-27

+12

H15/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

43-31

+12

A21/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

47-40

A22/01

LNB

U. De Concepcion

46-29

+17

A25/02

LNB

77.2Avg total

41.5Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.7	37.8	77.6	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	39.2	35.5	74.7	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	39.7	79.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	35.7	77.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	30.4	73.8	+13.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.7	40.7	77.3	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.3	38.2	78.5	+2.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.0	36.8	76.8	+3.2	69%	-

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.7	19.2	41.9	+3.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	23.8	44.4	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	22.5	44.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.3	23.0	48.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.9	22.5	40.4	-4.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.8	20.9	43.7	+1.9	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.8	19.9	39.6	-0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.3	43.1	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	19.7	40.3	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.1	21.4	39.5	-3.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	22.6	19.5	42.1	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	16.5	37.8	+4.8	85%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.9	22.4	46.2	+1.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	18.2	41.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	22.7	45.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.3	18.2	41.6	+5.1	81%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.0	21.3	42.3	-0.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.9	18.8	40.8	+3.1	83%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	23.2	43.5	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	25.3	47.7	-3.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.7	64%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	44.3	41.1	85.4	+3.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.0	35.7	79.7	+8.3	85%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.5	46.1	90.6	-1.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	40.7	86.1	+4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	38.8	80.4	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	48.3	45.7	94.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	39.0	43.4	82.4	-4.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (16)	46.1	39.1	85.2	+7.0	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	40.8	41.1	81.9	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.8	38.5	81.3	+4.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.2	43.2	82.4	-4.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	40.7	83.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.6	83.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.0	45.0	88.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.2	41.7	80.9	-2.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (13)	41.7	39.7	81.4	+2.0	46%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

U. De Concepcion wins

Espanol de Talca wins

Date	Game	Score
25/02/17	U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca	55-72
29/12/16	Espanol de Talca v U. De Concepcion	85-77
21/12/16	U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca	91-77
23/11/16	U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca	74-58
05/10/16	Espanol de Talca v U. De Concepcion	85-79
05/12/15	Espanol de Talca v U. De Concepcion	64-76
17/10/15	U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca	84-55
15/10/14	Espanol de Talca v U. De Concepcion	89-82
08/10/14	U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca	89-76

U. De Concepcionlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/02/17	H	Espanol de Talca	55-72
12/02/17	H	Tinguiririca	83-75
11/02/17	A	Tinguiririca	81-85 OT
04/02/17	H	Tinguiririca	106-89
22/01/17	A	Tinguiririca	76-87
21/01/17	A	Tinguiririca	76-91
15/01/17	H	Tinguiririca	76-68
14/01/17	H	Tinguiririca	87-74
08/01/17	H	Tinguiririca	80-75
07/01/17	A	Leones Quilpue	86-97

Espanol de Talcalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/02/17	A	U. De Concepcion	72-55
22/01/17	A	Puente Alto	91-84
21/01/17	A	Puente Alto	92-86
15/01/17	H	Puente Alto	81-66
14/01/17	H	Puente Alto	92-69
08/01/17	H	Puente Alto	83-70
07/01/17	A	Tinguiririca	85-95
04/01/17	H	Leones Quilpue	82-88
29/12/16	H	U. De Concepcion	85-77
28/12/16	H	Catolica	83-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	60%
Home	WWWWL	86%
Away	LLLLL	32%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	21	19
Win %	60%	86%	32%
Points / game	81.8	81.3	82.5
Allowed / game	78.7	73.0	85.0
Point differential	+3.2	+8.3	-2.5
Avg total	160.5	154.2	167.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	48%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	100% (3)	20% (5)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

Espanol de Talca

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	62%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	WLWWW	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	18	19
Win %	62%	83%	42%
Points / game	80.9	82.6	79.4
Allowed / game	78.6	75.1	81.9
Point differential	+2.4	+7.5	-2.5
Avg total	159.5	157.6	161.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	39%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	100% (2)	43% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leones Quilpue	39	30	9	77%	90.7	82.2	+8.5
2	Osorno	38	27	11	71%	81.1	75.8	+5.3
3	Valdivia	36	23	13	64%	86.8	82.5	+4.3
4	Espanol de Talca	37	23	14	62%	80.9	78.6	+2.4
5	Ancud	38	23	15	61%	80.8	78.0	+2.8
6	U. De Concepcion	40	24	16	60%	81.8	78.7	+3.2
7	Puerto Montt	42	20	22	48%	80.0	79.5	+0.5
8	Las Animas	39	16	23	41%	78.8	82.2	-3.4
9	Deportes Castro	41	16	25	39%	76.0	78.2	-2.2
10	Tinguiririca	43	14	29	33%	77.3	83.2	-5.8
11	Puente Alto	39	11	28	28%	74.6	80.8	-6.3
12	Catolica	40	9	31	22%	73.0	80.7	-7.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
U. De Concepcion	9	14	30	28	81
Espanol de Talca	16	14	16	21	67

← all games of the day

U. De Concepcion vs Espanol de Talca Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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