U. De Concepcion vs Espanol de Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 23:30

Final 91-77

29-21 15-18 27-21 20-17

Position#5

Record15-10

FormWLLLW

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game78.6

U. De Concepcion 🏆

Espanol de Talca

Position#3

Record14-11

FormWLWWL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game78.8

LNB

Other2016-17

Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Espanol de Talca winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De Concepcion Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Las Animas

92-86

A03/12

LNB

Osorno

80-84

-4

A04/12

LNB

Las Animas

75-50

+25

H07/12

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

74-68

H08/12

LNB

Leones Quilpue

100-87

100

+13

H10/12

LNB

Catolica

#12

66-62

H11/12

LNB

Valdivia

93-103

103

-10

A14/12

LNB

Puerto Montt

73-83

-10

A15/12

LNB

Ancud

74-92

-18

A17/12

LNB

Deportes Castro

88-70

+18

A18/12

LNB

19-24

28-17

24-22

21-23

18-25

26-18

10-22

26-19

–

24-27

30-22

28-17

18-21

13-7

20-14

13-27

20-14

22-31

27-18

19-21

25-33

21-10

8-21

19-25

25-27

20-13

12-20

12-35

30-24

20-23

19-10

30-12

19-25

160.0Avg total

81.5Scored

78.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	81.6	78.6	160.3	+3.0	60%
Season at home (12)	79.8	72.5	152.2	+7.2	83%
Season away (13)	83.4	84.3	167.7	-0.9	38%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	78.5	160.0	+3.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	82.0	160.8	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	81.3	91.8	173.2	-10.5	33%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	79.7	82.1	161.8	-2.4	33%
vs Weaker (12)	79.6	71.9	151.5	+7.7	75%

This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Espanol de Talca Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osorno

86-91

-5

A03/12

LNB

Las Animas

75-79

-4

A04/12

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

87-74

+13

H08/12

LNB

Las Animas

80-95

-15

H08/12

LNB

Catolica

#12

71-56

+15

H10/12

LNB

Leones Quilpue

81-75

H11/12

LNB

Puerto Montt

64-84

-20

A14/12

LNB

Valdivia

95-94

A15/12

LNB

Deportes Castro

78-75

A17/12

LNB

Ancud

70-71

-1

A18/12

LNB

19-17

25-23

18-25

24-26

16-29

22-11

23-13

14-26

–

23-9

15-20

20-11

13-16

18-16

15-19

25-19

23-21

17-19

22-20

13-22

12-23

20-25

19-23

17-16

39-30

24-18

17-19

19-21

18-17

19-17

17-12

15-25

19-17

158.1Avg total

78.7Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	79.5	78.8	158.2	+0.7	56%
Season at home (12)	81.7	75.6	157.2	+6.1	83%
Season away (13)	77.5	81.7	159.2	-4.2	31%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	79.4	158.1	-0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	79.8	157.4	-2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	81.3	87.0	168.3	-5.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	80.9	81.9	162.9	-1.0	53%
vs Weaker (10)	79.7	74.5	154.2	+5.2	60%

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

U. De ConcepcionEspanol de Talca

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	18.7	39.4	+2.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.4	19.2	39.5	+1.2	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.0	20.6	40.5	-0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	22.1	40.5	-3.8	36%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.5	18.8	38.2	+0.8	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	23.0	41.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.3	17.9	36.1	+0.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.5	17.8	35.2	-0.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.2	17.5	38.8	+3.8	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.6	33.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.2	24.5	43.7	-5.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	16.8	18.2	35.0	-1.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.3	13.6	32.9	+5.7	90%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	19.2	38.8	+0.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	19.3	40.7	+2.1	64%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.2	20.9	42.2	+0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.9	15.8	35.6	+4.1	75%	-

U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Las Animas

47-41

A03/12

LNB

Osorno

44-43

A04/12

LNB

Leones Quilpue

54-49

H10/12

LNB

Catolica

#12

33-21

+12

H11/12

LNB

Valdivia

49-49

A14/12

LNB

Puerto Montt

29-31

-2

A15/12

LNB

Ancud

32-33

-1

A17/12

LNB

Deportes Castro

39-33

A18/12

LNB

78.4Avg total

40.9Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.0	37.1	76.1	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.2	36.4	74.7	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	37.7	77.3	+1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (8)	40.9	37.5	78.4	+3.4	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	33.4	69.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.7	46.0	87.7	-4.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	37.2	37.4	74.5	-0.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.3	31.6	70.9	+7.7	80%	-

This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Espanol de TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osorno

44-40

A03/12

LNB

Las Animas

38-40

-2

A04/12

LNB

Catolica

#12

38-29

H10/12

LNB

Leones Quilpue

33-35

-2

H11/12

LNB

Puerto Montt

39-39

A14/12

LNB

Valdivia

39-48

-9

A15/12

LNB

Deportes Castro

41-37

A17/12

LNB

Ancud

36-29

A18/12

LNB

75.6Avg total

38.5Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	40.5	39.8	80.3	+0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.2	38.1	79.3	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.8	41.4	81.2	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (8)	38.5	37.1	75.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	37.6	75.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.7	42.7	79.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	42.2	41.3	83.5	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.5	35.8	74.2	+2.8	62%	-

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.3	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	22.3	41.5	-3.0	40%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.0	42.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.3	22.2	44.5	+0.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	16.7	21.0	37.7	-4.3	18%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.1	18.6	37.8	+0.5	56%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	18.3	37.7	+1.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	18.9	37.9	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.5	14.4	34.9	+6.1	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.3	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	24.6	47.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (8)	23.0	23.2	46.2	-0.2	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	24.6	48.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	23.7	41.0	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.2	21.7	43.9	+0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.6	21.7	43.3	-0.1	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.1	56%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.6	18.7	41.3	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	23.9	44.5	-3.4	43%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.2	22.0	42.2	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.0	26.3	50.3	-2.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.8	21.9	41.6	-2.1	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	40.0	43.5	83.4	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.3	39.2	76.6	-1.9	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	46.9	88.9	-4.8	27%	-
Last 10 (8)	42.4	45.9	88.2	-3.5	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	48.6	91.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.7	45.8	85.5	-6.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.9	42.7	81.6	-3.8	27%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.3	42.9	84.2	-1.6	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	40.7	40.0	80.7	+0.7	44%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.0	37.0	79.0	+5.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	42.9	82.4	-3.4	21%	-
Last 10 (8)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	42.2	82.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	44.7	44.3	89.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	40.2	41.1	81.3	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.2	36.2	76.5	+4.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

U. De Concepcion wins

Espanol de Talca wins

Date	Game	Score
23/11/16	U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca	74-58
05/10/16	Espanol de Talca v U. De Concepcion	85-79
05/12/15	Espanol de Talca v U. De Concepcion	64-76
17/10/15	U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca	84-55
15/10/14	Espanol de Talca v U. De Concepcion	89-82
08/10/14	U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca	89-76

U. De Concepcionlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/12/16	A	Deportes Castro	88-70
17/12/16	A	Ancud	74-92
15/12/16	A	Puerto Montt	73-83
14/12/16	A	Valdivia	93-103
11/12/16	H	Catolica	66-62
10/12/16	H	Leones Quilpue	100-87
08/12/16	H	Puente Alto	74-68
07/12/16	H	Las Animas	75-50
04/12/16	A	Osorno	80-84
03/12/16	A	Las Animas	92-86

Espanol de Talcalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/12/16	A	Ancud	70-71
17/12/16	A	Deportes Castro	78-75
15/12/16	A	Valdivia	95-94
14/12/16	A	Puerto Montt	64-84
11/12/16	H	Leones Quilpue	81-75
10/12/16	H	Catolica	71-56
08/12/16	H	Las Animas	80-95
08/12/16	H	Puente Alto	87-74
04/12/16	A	Las Animas	75-79
03/12/16	A	Osorno	86-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	60%
Home	WWWWW	83%
Away	LLLLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	60%	83%	38%
Points / game	81.6	79.8	83.4
Allowed / game	78.6	72.5	84.3
Point differential	+3.0	+7.2	-0.9
Avg total	160.3	152.2	167.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	42%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	100% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Espanol de Talca

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	56%
Home	WWLWW	83%
Away	LLWWL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	56%	83%	31%
Points / game	79.5	81.7	77.5
Allowed / game	78.8	75.6	81.7
Point differential	+0.7	+6.1	-4.2
Avg total	158.2	157.2	159.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	100% (2)	33% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leones Quilpue	27	20	7	74%	90.8	83.2	+7.6
2	Osorno	27	20	7	74%	82.5	76.9	+5.6
3	U. De Concepcion	25	15	10	60%	81.6	78.6	+3.0
4	Ancud	27	16	11	59%	81.1	78.7	+2.5
5	Valdivia	25	14	11	56%	87.2	82.6	+4.6
6	Espanol de Talca	25	14	11	56%	79.5	78.8	+0.7
7	Las Animas	26	13	13	50%	79.8	81.5	-1.8
8	Puerto Montt	26	12	14	46%	77.9	77.5	+0.4
9	Deportes Castro	27	12	15	44%	76.3	77.6	-1.3
10	Puente Alto	26	9	17	35%	74.7	80.2	-5.4
11	Tinguiririca	26	6	20	23%	74.4	81.8	-7.4
12	Catolica	27	6	21	22%	70.8	79.0	-8.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
U. De Concepcion	29	15	27	20	91
Espanol de Talca	21	18	21	17	77

← all games of the day

U. De Concepcion vs Espanol de Talca Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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