U. De Concepcion vs Espanol de Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 22:30

Final 73-72

25-22 14-12 16-19 18-19

Position#5

Record25-18

FormWLWLL

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game78.9

U. De Concepcion 🏆

Espanol de Talca

Position#3

Record25-15

FormWWLWW

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game78.5

LNBLNB - Quarter-finals

Other2016-17

Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Espanol de Talca winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De Concepcion Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tinguiririca

#10

76-68

H15/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

76-91

-15

A21/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

76-87

-11

A22/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

106-89

106

+17

H04/02

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

81-85 OT

-4

A11/02

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

83-75

H12/02

LNB

Espanol de Talca

55-72

-17

H25/02

LNB

Espanol de Talca

81-67

+14

H26/02

LNB

Espanol de Talca

79-94

-15

A05/03

LNB

Espanol de Talca

74-86

-12

A06/03

LNB

13-18

13-10

26-20

24-20

12-20

20-17

18-35

26-19

21-21

13-22

20-23

22-21

22-18

25-22

29-23

30-26

16-16

16-15

22-23

19-19

17-30

26-12

16-20

24-13

16-25

13-21

16-15

10-11

9-16

14-14

30-16

28-21

22-20

15-23

21-35

21-16

18-25

15-21

20-19

21-21

160.1Avg total

78.7Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (43)	81.6	78.9	160.5	+2.7	58%
Season at home (22)	81.3	72.7	154.0	+8.6	86%
Season away (21)	81.9	85.5	167.4	-3.6	29%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	81.4	160.1	-2.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	78.8	153.2	-4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	93.7	88.7	182.3	+5.0	67%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	77.7	84.3	162.0	-6.6	20%
vs Weaker (17)	82.4	73.5	155.9	+8.9	82%

This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Espanol de Talca Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tinguiririca

#10

85-95

-10

A07/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

83-70

+13

H08/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

92-69

+23

H14/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

81-66

+15

H15/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

92-86

A21/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

91-84

A22/01

LNB

U. De Concepcion

72-55

+17

A25/02

LNB

U. De Concepcion

67-81

-14

A26/02

LNB

U. De Concepcion

94-79

+15

H05/03

LNB

U. De Concepcion

86-74

+12

H06/03

LNB

17-31

22-18

28-21

18-25

21-18

17-17

26-20

19-15

19-19

23-6

19-22

31-22

17-13

22-14

19-19

23-20

26-13

17-18

27-27

22-28

20-23

27-17

19-22

25-22

25-16

21-13

15-16

11-10

16-9

14-14

16-30

21-28

20-22

23-15

35-21

16-21

25-18

21-15

19-20

21-21

160.2Avg total

84.3Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	81.0	78.5	159.6	+2.5	62%
Season at home (20)	83.3	75.2	158.5	+8.1	85%
Season away (20)	78.8	81.9	160.7	-3.1	40%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	75.9	160.2	+8.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	74.6	156.6	+7.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	81.5	81.5	163.0	+0.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	78.6	79.3	157.9	-0.7	54%
vs Weaker (15)	81.9	77.6	159.5	+4.3	67%

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

U. De ConcepcionEspanol de Talca

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	19.7	38.4	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	20.9	37.5	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	23.2	39.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	17.8	19.9	37.7	-2.1	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.1	19.6	39.8	+0.5	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.1	17.7	38.8	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.6	38.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	15.5	33.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-0.9	46%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	17.2	35.9	+1.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	17.7	34.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.2	34.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	24.0	46.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	16.1	19.2	35.3	-3.1	20%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.3	15.5	34.8	+3.9	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.9	17.0	36.9	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.5	16.9	36.4	+2.6	58%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	17.0	37.3	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	14.7	35.4	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	14.8	36.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.0	16.9	36.9	+3.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.2	16.1	36.2	+4.1	62%	-

U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tinguiririca

#10

26-28

-2

H15/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

32-37

-5

A21/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

34-43

-9

A22/01

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

47-40

H04/02

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

32-31

A11/02

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

43-42

H12/02

LNB

Espanol de Talca

29-46

-17

H25/02

LNB

Espanol de Talca

23-30

-7

H26/02

LNB

Espanol de Talca

37-43

-6

A05/03

LNB

Espanol de Talca

33-46

-13

A06/03

LNB

72.2Avg total

33.6Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.4	37.7	75.1	-0.3	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.9	37.5	75.4	+0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	37.9	74.9	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.6	38.6	72.2	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	41.4	74.4	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	45.3	43.0	88.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	35.5	39.6	75.1	-4.1	20%	-
vs Weaker (15)	37.1	35.4	72.5	+1.7	60%	-

This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Espanol de TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tinguiririca

#10

39-49

-10

A07/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

38-35

H08/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

42-25

+17

H14/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

39-27

+12

H15/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

43-31

+12

A21/01

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

47-40

A22/01

LNB

U. De Concepcion

46-29

+17

A25/02

LNB

U. De Concepcion

30-23

A26/02

LNB

U. De Concepcion

43-37

H05/03

LNB

U. De Concepcion

46-33

+13

H06/03

LNB

74.2Avg total

41.3Scored

32.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	40.1	36.6	76.7	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.6	34.6	75.2	+6.0	83%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	38.2	77.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	32.9	74.2	+8.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	32.4	74.8	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.0	38.5	74.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	40.8	36.0	76.8	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.0	36.8	76.8	+3.2	69%	-

This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.7	19.2	42.8	+4.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	24.4	44.8	-4.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.9	44.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.3	23.0	48.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.7	23.3	43.0	-3.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.7	20.9	43.6	+1.9	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+1.9	58%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.1	39.9	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.8	44.1	+0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	22.5	45.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.2	22.7	41.8	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	22.9	19.9	42.8	+3.0	68%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	85%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	22.2	45.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.7	41.2	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.4	37.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	22.7	45.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.5	21.4	43.9	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.1	18.3	41.4	+4.7	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	22.7	43.0	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	44.8	41.9	86.6	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	46.1	36.4	82.5	+9.7	85%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.7	46.6	90.3	-2.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	41.6	85.9	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.4	78.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	48.3	45.7	94.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.2	44.7	86.9	-2.5	30%	-
vs Weaker (15)	45.8	39.2	85.0	+6.6	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	41.0	41.7	82.7	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.3	39.2	82.5	+4.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	43.8	82.9	-4.7	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	42.2	81.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.5	43.0	88.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.5	43.8	83.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (13)	41.7	39.7	81.4	+2.0	46%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

U. De Concepcion wins

Espanol de Talca wins

Date	Game	Score
06/03/17	Espanol de Talca v U. De Concepcion	86-74
05/03/17	Espanol de Talca v U. De Concepcion	94-79
26/02/17	U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca	81-67
25/02/17	U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca	55-72
29/12/16	Espanol de Talca v U. De Concepcion	85-77
21/12/16	U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca	91-77
23/11/16	U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca	74-58
05/10/16	Espanol de Talca v U. De Concepcion	85-79
05/12/15	Espanol de Talca v U. De Concepcion	64-76
17/10/15	U. De Concepcion v Espanol de Talca	84-55

U. De Concepcionlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/17	A	Espanol de Talca	74-86
05/03/17	A	Espanol de Talca	79-94
26/02/17	H	Espanol de Talca	81-67
25/02/17	H	Espanol de Talca	55-72
12/02/17	H	Tinguiririca	83-75
11/02/17	A	Tinguiririca	81-85 OT
04/02/17	H	Tinguiririca	106-89
22/01/17	A	Tinguiririca	76-87
21/01/17	A	Tinguiririca	76-91
15/01/17	H	Tinguiririca	76-68

Espanol de Talcalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/17	H	U. De Concepcion	86-74
05/03/17	H	U. De Concepcion	94-79
26/02/17	A	U. De Concepcion	67-81
25/02/17	A	U. De Concepcion	72-55
22/01/17	A	Puente Alto	91-84
21/01/17	A	Puente Alto	92-86
15/01/17	H	Puente Alto	81-66
14/01/17	H	Puente Alto	92-69
08/01/17	H	Puente Alto	83-70
07/01/17	A	Tinguiririca	85-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	58%
Home	WWWLW	86%
Away	LLLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	43	22	21
Win %	58%	86%	29%
Points / game	81.6	81.3	81.9
Allowed / game	78.9	72.7	85.5
Point differential	+2.7	+8.6	-3.6
Avg total	160.5	154.0	167.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	50%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	100% (3)	20% (5)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

Espanol de Talca

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	62%
Home	WWWWW	85%
Away	LWWWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	20	20
Win %	62%	85%	40%
Points / game	81.0	83.3	78.8
Allowed / game	78.5	75.2	81.9
Point differential	+2.5	+8.1	-3.1
Avg total	159.6	158.5	160.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	45%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	100% (2)	43% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leones Quilpue	41	32	9	78%	90.8	82.1	+8.7
2	Osorno	41	28	13	68%	81.4	76.7	+4.8
3	Espanol de Talca	40	25	15	62%	81.0	78.5	+2.5
4	Ancud	42	26	16	62%	80.4	77.5	+2.8
5	Valdivia	40	24	16	60%	85.5	81.9	+3.6
6	U. De Concepcion	43	25	18	58%	81.6	78.9	+2.7
7	Puerto Montt	44	21	23	48%	79.7	79.5	+0.2
8	Las Animas	42	18	24	43%	79.5	82.5	-3.0
9	Deportes Castro	43	17	26	40%	76.2	78.0	-1.8
10	Tinguiririca	45	14	31	31%	77.5	83.7	-6.2
11	Puente Alto	42	13	29	31%	75.1	80.9	-5.8
12	Catolica	43	10	33	23%	73.5	80.7	-7.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
U. De Concepcion	25	14	16	18	73
Espanol de Talca	22	12	19	19	72

← all games of the day

U. De Concepcion vs Espanol de Talca Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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