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UALR vs Northern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 93-98
40-58 53-40
Position#90
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#307
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UALR v Northern Illinois
18 Nov 2023
UALR93
NORT98
22 Nov 2021
UALR67
NORT60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
98-99
98
99
-1
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H10/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A11/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H18/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
50-41
48-58
37-46
44-38
29-30
43-38
22-46
39-38
43-40
38-42
28-27
41-42
40-32
39-42
41-39
42-44
38-34
33-32
25-38
46-48
160.8Avg total
79.1Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.076.0147.0-5.050%
Season at home (1)71.066.0137.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)71.086.0157.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)79.181.7160.8-2.640%
Last 5 (5)79.680.0159.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.881.8157.6-5.926%
vs Similar (7)76.178.7154.9-2.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)72.372.7145.0-0.367%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
L
65-66 OT
65
66
-1
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H01/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H04/03
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A09/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
70-92
70
92
-22
A07/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#656
W
107-55
107
55
+52
H14/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-22
26-36
37-37
31-40
47-29
37-51
26-42
49-43
37-25
48-41
18-31
39-45
28-50
42-42
48-36
43-42
54-21
53-34
35-34
35-30
151.1Avg total
77.2Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.572.2156.8+12.275%
Season at home (2)99.066.5165.5+32.5100%
Season away (2)70.078.0148.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)77.273.9151.1+3.350%
Last 5 (5)79.073.0152.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.378.6148.9-8.231%
vs Similar (8)73.874.0147.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (5)81.670.0151.6+11.680%
This opponent (UALR) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -0.1-0.1
UALRNorthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H10/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A11/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H18/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A11/11
NCAA
72.6Avg total
35.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.036.470.5-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.532.569.0+3.962%-
Last 30 away (17)32.239.471.6-7.229%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.372.6-2.060%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.068.4+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.339.373.6-5.132%-
vs Similar (7)33.432.465.9+1.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)31.733.064.7-1.367%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A25/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H01/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H04/03
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A09/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A07/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/11
NCAA
Illinois Tech
#656
W
54-21
54
21
+33
H14/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A17/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
36.2Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.035.670.6-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.835.272.0+1.550%-
Last 30 away (18)33.835.969.7-2.139%-
Last 10 (10)36.232.768.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.471.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.438.270.6-5.825%-
vs Similar (8)33.234.868.0-1.550%-
vs Weaker (5)42.231.874.0+10.480%-
This opponent (UALR) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UALR wins
0
Northern Illinois wins
DateGameScore
22/11/21UALR v Northern Illinois67-60
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23AIllinois (Chi.)71-86
07/11/23HTexas State71-66
25/02/23ALindenwood96-97 OT
24/02/23ASiu Edwardsville79-74
18/02/23HEastern Illinois81-77 OT
17/02/23HSouthern Indiana81-82
11/02/23AUT Martin61-84
10/02/23HMorehead State72-68
04/02/23HSiu Edwardsville81-84
03/02/23ASoutheast Missouri State98-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23AGeorgia State70-64
14/11/23HIllinois Tech107-55
11/11/23HAppalachian State91-78
07/11/23AMarquette70-92
09/03/23AKent State57-76
04/03/23HEastern Michigan85-66
01/03/23HBuffalo75-85
25/02/23ACentral Michigan84-80
22/02/23AOhio68-77
18/02/23HMiami (FL)65-66 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.071.071.0
Allowed / game76.066.086.0
Point differential-5.0+5.0-15.0
Avg total147.0137.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northern Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game84.599.070.0
Allowed / game72.266.578.0
Point differential+12.2+32.5-8.0
Avg total156.8165.5148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin43175%84.277.2+7.0
2 Tennessee State43175%75.269.0+6.2
3 Siu Edwardsville53260%65.264.6+0.6
4 Western Illinois42250%75.876.8-1.0
5 UALR21150%71.076.0-5.0
6 Morehead State52340%70.274.4-4.2
7 Lindenwood52340%62.476.8-14.4
8 Eastern Illinois41325%67.270.8-3.5
9 Southern Indiana41325%62.273.0-10.8
10 Tennessee Tech41325%65.281.0-15.8
11 Southeast Missouri State3030%60.085.0-25.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State330100%88.753.0+35.7
2 Akron330100%89.061.7+27.3
3 Toledo330100%86.371.7+14.7
4 Kent State43175%91.575.5+16.0
5 Northern Illinois43175%84.572.2+12.2
6 UMass32167%89.776.7+13.0
7 Miami (Ohio)21150%70.561.5+9.0
8 Ohio21150%83.076.0+7.0
9 Bowling Green42250%70.070.5-0.5
10 Eastern Michigan42250%62.879.0-16.2
11 Buffalo31233%77.081.7-4.7
12 Central Michigan41325%64.580.0-15.5
13 Western Michigan3030%68.373.3-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR405393
Northern Illinois584098
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