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UALR vs UTSA Roadrunners Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 93-84
42-43 51-41
Position#90
Record4-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game80.3
UALR 🏆
USA
vs
Position#314
Record5-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#214
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
93-98
93
98
-5
H18/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H29/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A08/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
33-32
25-38
46-48
40-58
53-40
40-40
37-48
45-37
38-46
41-39
35-37
52-32
38-32
27-31
50-35
31-30
40-45
25-39
43-46
159.5Avg total
79.2Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.280.3159.5-1.140%
Season at home (6)81.578.7160.2+2.850%
Season away (4)75.882.8158.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)79.280.3159.5-1.140%
Last 5 (5)78.074.4152.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.980.4158.4-2.536%
vs Similar (10)77.978.4156.3-0.530%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)77.578.8156.3-1.350%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#164
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
78-68 OT
78
68
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
76-102
76
102
-26
A11/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A18/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A21/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H24/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H25/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H01/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Fort Smith
#514
W
93-60
93
60
+33
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-42
38-30
28-28
37-37
30-54
46-48
40-42
42-48
25-27
37-45
47-46
42-41
26-31
36-46
33-33
57-47
44-38
42-45
35-28
58-32
158.0Avg total
78.9Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.879.9159.7-0.156%
Season at home (5)81.873.6155.4+8.280%
Season away (4)77.287.8165.0-10.525%
Last 10 (10)78.979.1158.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)84.077.4161.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)70.380.3150.6-10.123%
vs Similar (2)76.076.0152.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (1)89.087.0176.0+2.0100%
This opponent (UALR) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +1.6+1.6
UALRUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#214
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H18/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H29/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A08/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H10/12
NCAA
74.2Avg total
36.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.836.372.1-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.634.971.5+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)35.037.972.9-2.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.874.2-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.234.269.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.137.773.8-1.643%-
vs Similar (10)36.333.569.8+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)34.537.772.2-3.267%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rice
#164
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A09/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H07/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A11/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A18/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A21/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H24/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H25/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/12
NCAA
Arkansas-Fort Smith
#514
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H10/12
NCAA
71.0Avg total
34.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.237.369.5-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.734.165.9-2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)32.740.573.2-7.720%-
Last 10 (10)34.136.971.0-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.272.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)31.837.969.7-6.127%-
vs Similar (2)29.030.059.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker (1)47.046.093.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (UALR) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UALR wins
0
UTSA Roadrunners wins
No previous meetings.
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HWinthrop68-85
08/12/23ACentral Arkansas71-75
02/12/23HArkansas State77-66
29/11/23HBall State90-64
25/11/23ATulsa84-82 OT
22/11/23HGeorgia State90-93 OT
19/11/23AGeorgia State77-88
18/11/23HNorthern Illinois93-98
11/11/23AIllinois (Chi.)71-86
07/11/23HTexas State71-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HArkansas-Fort Smith93-60
01/12/23HLamar86-83
25/11/23HIncarnate Word90-80
24/11/23HJacksonville State62-77
21/11/23AHouston Christian89-87
18/11/23ATexas State62-72
15/11/23ALamar82-90
11/11/23AMinnesota76-102
07/11/23HWestern Illinois78-68 OT
09/03/23ARice71-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game79.281.575.8
Allowed / game80.378.782.8
Point differential-1.1+2.8-7.0
Avg total159.5160.2158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %20%17%25%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game79.881.877.2
Allowed / game79.973.687.8
Point differential-0.1+8.2-10.5
Avg total159.7155.4165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State107370%74.368.3+6.0
2 Tennessee State106460%76.171.1+5.0
3 UT Martin116555%85.280.3+4.9
4 Siu Edwardsville116555%70.570.3+0.3
5 Eastern Illinois115645%71.563.3+8.2
6 Western Illinois115645%70.769.3+1.5
7 UALR104640%79.280.3-1.1
8 Lindenwood104640%66.772.9-6.2
9 Tennessee Tech114736%72.777.4-4.6
10 Southeast Missouri State103730%68.375.2-6.9
11 Southern Indiana112918%65.071.7-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic108280%85.469.5+15.9
2 Memphis97278%79.774.1+5.6
3 Tulane86275%86.979.2+7.6
4 Wichita State107370%78.371.0+7.3
5 Temple96367%78.872.6+6.2
6 Tulsa85362%76.869.8+7.0
7 East Carolina106460%75.070.4+4.6
8 North Texas95456%68.758.4+10.2
9 Charlotte95456%66.963.9+3.0
10 UTSA Roadrunners95456%79.879.9-0.1
11 South Florida84450%75.470.1+5.2
12 UAB94544%72.676.2-3.7
13 Rice104640%73.576.8-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR425193
UTSA Roadrunners434184
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