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Sacramento State vs UC Davis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 62-69
32-35 30-34
Position#345
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#231
Record5-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sacramento State v UC Davis
14 Nov 2026
SACR v UC D
upcoming
14 Dec 2024
SACR62
UC D69
23 Nov 2021
SACR75
UC D63
19 Dec 2020
SACR v UC D
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Davis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#213
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A13/03
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
106-44
106
44
+62
H06/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A09/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A13/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H17/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A24/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H01/12
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-42
33-32
53-13
53-31
37-30
20-34
24-35
30-29
43-32
26-47
33-40
44-43
22-33
41-28
22-33
38-33
31-47
28-33
27-38
33-32
136.1Avg total
67.6Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)67.267.9135.1-0.722%
Season at home (4)73.864.8138.5+9.025%
Season away (5)62.070.4132.4-8.420%
Last 10 (10)67.668.5136.1-0.920%
Last 5 (5)63.872.0135.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.470.6137.0-4.125%
vs Similar ◀ (9)60.367.2127.6-6.933%
vs Weaker (5)69.062.4131.4+6.640%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#140
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H17/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A06/11
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Menlo
#413
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H13/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A17/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A21/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
L
55-76
55
76
-21
H26/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
L
57-90
57
90
-33
A01/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H06/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-27
38-47
33-37
40-42
37-40
42-35
39-30
41-40
23-41
42-38
46-35
29-33
33-34
22-42
31-44
26-46
30-31
47-35
28-28
43-32
143.9Avg total
70.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.273.7143.9-3.456%
Season at home (4)70.868.0138.8+2.875%
Season away (5)69.878.2148.0-8.440%
Last 10 (10)70.273.7143.9-3.550%
Last 5 (5)67.072.0139.0-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.172.7136.8-8.644%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.970.7144.6+3.267%
vs Weaker (3)70.056.0126.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -2.0-2.0
Sacramento StateUC Davis
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#213
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A13/03
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
53-13
53
13
+40
H06/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A09/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A13/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H17/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A27/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H01/12
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H07/12
NCAA
67.3Avg total
33.0Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.433.064.3-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.432.166.6+2.350%-
Last 30 away (16)28.733.762.4-5.031%-
Last 10 (10)33.034.367.3-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)27.038.265.2-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.534.567.0-2.044%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)27.933.161.0-5.233%-
vs Weaker (5)34.027.861.8+6.240%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#140
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H17/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/11
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Menlo
#413
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H13/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A17/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A21/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H26/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A01/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H06/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/12
NCAA
67.9Avg total
33.2Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.932.966.8+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.430.864.2+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)34.434.969.3-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)33.234.767.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.468.0-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.234.367.6-1.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)34.533.267.7+1.350%-
vs Weaker (3)32.326.759.0+5.7100%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sacramento State wins
1
UC Davis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HNebraska O.60-70
05/12/24ADenver59-80
01/12/24HMercyhurst Lakers60-66
27/11/24AAir Force63-61
24/11/24ACalifornia77-83
17/11/24HCS Northridge69-79
13/11/24AUC San Diego54-64
09/11/24AFresno State57-64
06/11/24HCalifornia Maritime106-44
13/03/24AMontana State71-74
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HUC Santa Barbara71-60
06/12/24HCal Poly77-66
01/12/24AOregon State57-90
26/11/24HNorfolk State55-76
21/11/24AGrand Canyon75-68
17/11/24AStanford65-79
13/11/24HMenlo80-70
08/11/24AIdaho79-75
06/11/24AWashington73-79
17/03/24HLong Beach State70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game67.273.862.0
Allowed / game67.964.870.4
Point differential-0.7+9.0-8.4
Avg total135.1138.5132.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UC Davis
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game70.270.869.8
Allowed / game73.768.078.2
Point differential-3.4+2.8-8.4
Avg total143.9138.8148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Arizona117464%80.570.7+9.7
2 Montana117464%77.372.7+4.5
3 Northern Colorado116555%83.475.2+8.2
4 Idaho State105550%75.864.3+11.5
5 Montana State105550%75.967.1+8.8
6 Portland State105550%84.879.1+5.7
7 Weber State115645%75.869.2+6.6
8 Idaho104640%76.075.5+0.5
9 Sacramento State92722%67.267.9-0.7
10 East. Washington112918%72.181.8-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine109190%73.260.3+12.9
2 UC San Diego108280%78.662.5+16.1
3 UC Santa Barbara107370%78.864.4+14.4
4 CS Northridge107370%82.171.4+10.7
5 Hawaii85362%75.171.0+4.1
6 UC Riverside106460%71.673.2-1.6
7 UC Davis95456%70.273.7-3.4
8 Cal Poly115645%81.683.0-1.4
9 CSU Bakersfield104640%74.072.5+1.5
10 Long Beach State124833%65.070.7-5.7
11 CS Fullerton113827%59.772.1-12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sacramento State323062
UC Davis353469
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