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UC Riverside vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 83-78 (OT)
32-26 34-40 17-12
Position#88
Record12-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game67.7
vs
Position#355
Record6-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game60.6
Allowed / game64.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UC Riverside v Cal Poly
31 Dec 2026
UC R v CAL
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Riverside winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC RiversideUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#325
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A11/12
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A15/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
L
84-92 OT
84
92
-8
H21/12
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H22/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H30/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A31/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H06/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H08/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A12/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-35
38-39
32-36
33-35
36-42
38-32
35-36
41-29
29-35
42-24
32-39
41-33
28-44
34-33
22-15
46-30
27-40
47-28
27-25
38-39
140.1Avg total
71.4Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.067.7139.7+4.367%
Season at home (7)77.061.9138.9+15.171%
Season away (11)68.871.4140.2-2.564%
Last 10 (10)71.468.7140.1+2.770%
Last 5 (5)68.465.2133.6+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.588.5159.0-18.00%
vs Similar (19)67.869.5137.4-1.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)79.460.3139.8+19.189%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#184
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H11/12
NCAA
Washington
#212
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A14/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
45-74
45
74
-29
H17/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
43-65
43
65
-22
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H30/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A01/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A06/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
32-21
35-31
37-18
35-24
33-50
25-40
20-34
22-34
21-31
28-23
39-34
22-27
26-30
16-29
35-32
19-16
38-46
21-36
37-41
120.2Avg total
57.3Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)60.664.4125.0-3.838%
Season at home (8)68.662.2130.9+6.462%
Season away (8)52.666.5119.1-13.912%
Last 10 (10)57.362.9120.2-5.630%
Last 5 (5)56.262.8119.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)58.266.4124.5-8.227%
vs Similar (7)63.766.6130.3-2.929%
vs Weaker (1)94.059.0153.0+35.0100%
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: -1.9-1.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: -1.9-1.9
UC RiversideCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC RiversideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#325
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/12
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A15/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H21/12
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H22/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A31/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H06/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
22-15
22
15
+7
H08/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A12/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A15/01
NCAA
65.3Avg total
30.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.732.766.4+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.430.265.6+5.250%-
Last 30 away (16)32.234.967.1-2.850%-
Last 10 (10)30.634.765.3-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)27.232.659.8-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.038.068.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (19)33.033.666.6-0.653%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.029.765.7+6.356%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#184
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H04/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H11/12
NCAA
Washington
#212
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A14/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H17/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H30/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A01/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
L
16-29
16
29
-13
A06/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
19-16
19
16
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A13/01
NCAA
54.7Avg total
25.5Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.230.457.6-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.430.160.4+0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)24.530.755.2-6.225%-
Last 10 (10)25.529.254.7-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)21.226.247.4-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)27.131.258.4-4.136%-
vs Similar (7)24.129.153.3-5.014%-
vs Weaker (1)51.021.072.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
UC Riverside wins
0
Cal Poly wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23AUC Santa Barbara65-64
12/01/23AUC San Diego74-68
08/01/23HCS Northridge68-45
06/01/23HCS Fullerton62-77
31/12/22ALong Beach State73-72
30/12/22HCSU Bakersfield71-59
22/12/22HPortland76-65
21/12/22HSan Diego Toreros84-92 OT
15/12/22AOregon65-71
11/12/22AIdaho76-74
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/23ALong Beach State58-77
07/01/23HUC Santa Barbara57-62
06/01/23ACSU Bakersfield51-61
01/01/23AHawaii48-57
30/12/22HCS Northridge67-57
21/12/22ASan Jose State43-65
17/12/22HWeber State45-74
14/12/22AWashington68-74
11/12/22HPortland State72-49
04/12/22HCalifornia Baptist64-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Riverside
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %67%71%64%
Points / game72.077.068.8
Allowed / game67.761.971.4
Point differential+4.3+15.1-2.5
Avg total139.7138.9140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%57%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)-83% (6)
Overtime %6%14%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%62%12%
Points / game60.668.652.6
Allowed / game64.462.266.5
Point differential-3.8+6.4-13.9
Avg total125.0130.9119.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Santa Barbara1613381%70.662.5+8.1
2 Hawaii1612475%68.261.2+7.0
3 UC Irvine1712571%78.166.6+11.4
4 UC Riverside1812667%72.067.7+4.3
5 UC Davis1811761%76.471.0+5.4
6 CS Fullerton189950%69.767.3+2.3
7 Long Beach State1881044%75.472.9+2.4
8 Cal Poly1661038%60.664.4-3.8
9 CSU Bakersfield1761135%59.160.6-1.5
10 UC San Diego1861233%65.170.7-5.6
11 CS Northridge1731418%65.267.3-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
UC Riverside32341783
Cal Poly26401278
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