PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

UC Riverside vs Cal Poly Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#109
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#239
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game84.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UC Riverside v Cal Poly
31 Dec 2026
UC R v CAL
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
UC R87
CAL 94
13 Mar 2025
UC R83
CAL 96
01 Feb 2025
UC R80
CAL 62
11 Jan 2024
UC R71
CAL 56
16 Jan 2023
UC R83
CAL 78
19 Feb 2022
UC R78
CAL 58
23 Jan 2020
UC R97
CAL 64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Riverside win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC RiversideUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A15/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
93-65
93
65
+28
H20/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H21/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A27/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
74-93
74
93
-19
A06/03
NCAA
La Verne
#522
W
110-47
110
47
+63
H03/11
NCAA
Denver
#359
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H08/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#278
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#143
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-32
38-40
43-23
50-42
31-37
42-41
27-39
32-31
39-32
56-52
39-46
35-47
52-21
58-26
22-29
42-31
36-37
44-38
28-50
52-39
152.7Avg total
79.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.567.8151.2+15.875%
Season at home (2)87.053.5140.5+33.5100%
Season away (2)80.082.0162.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)79.473.3152.7+6.150%
Last 5 (5)81.672.8154.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.180.8149.9-11.716%
vs Similar (4)79.881.8161.5-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.771.0150.7+8.767%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
85-107
85
107
-22
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
108-76
108
76
+32
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Cal St. San Marcos
#366
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
84-104
84
104
-20
A06/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#189
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-35
42-40
48-40
54-52
24-42
40-38
42-52
43-55
62-41
46-35
35-26
34-46
35-24
43-38
41-59
43-45
29-37
42-62
38-32
45-42
167.1Avg total
83.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.084.8163.8-5.850%
Season at home (1)78.062.0140.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)79.392.3171.7-13.033%
Last 10 (10)83.084.1167.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)77.082.2159.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.486.4164.8-8.032%
vs Similar (4)86.585.2171.8+1.250%
vs Weaker (2)106.077.5183.5+28.5100%
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +6.2+6.22nd half: -2.1-2.1
UC RiversideCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC RiversideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A15/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H20/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H21/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A27/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A06/03
NCAA
La Verne
#522
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Denver
#359
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H08/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#278
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A13/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#143
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A14/11
NCAA
69.1Avg total
34.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.736.871.5-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.232.969.1+3.350%-
Last 30 away (16)33.340.273.5-6.912%-
Last 10 (10)34.534.669.1-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.672.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.038.171.1-5.121%-
vs Similar (4)38.039.877.8-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)34.833.568.3+1.350%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A20/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A06/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H08/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A12/03
NCAA
Cal St. San Marcos
#366
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H03/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A06/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Idaho
#189
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A14/11
NCAA
78.6Avg total
39.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.078.1-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.239.577.7-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.578.4-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.878.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.671.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.040.876.8-4.936%-
vs Similar (4)39.042.081.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker (2)59.038.097.0+21.0100%-
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
UC Riverside wins
3
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
01/02/26UC Riverside v Cal Poly87-94
07/12/25Cal Poly v UC Riverside84-88
14/03/25UC Riverside v Cal Poly83-96
22/02/25Cal Poly v UC Riverside112-100 OT
02/02/25UC Riverside v Cal Poly80-62
25/02/24Cal Poly v UC Riverside78-84
12/01/24UC Riverside v Cal Poly71-56
05/03/23Cal Poly v UC Riverside72-73 OT
17/01/23UC Riverside v Cal Poly83-78 OT
20/02/22UC Riverside v Cal Poly78-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AFresno State80-89
13/11/26ASan Jose State80-75
08/11/26HDenver64-60
03/11/26HLa Verne110-47
06/03/26AHawaii74-93
01/03/26HCS Northridge95-84
27/02/26AUC Santa Barbara59-70
21/02/26HUC Davis73-78
20/02/26HCSU Bakersfield93-65
15/02/26AUC San Diego66-72
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIdaho83-74
12/11/26AGrand Canyon71-99
06/11/26AArizona84-104
03/11/26HCal St. San Marcos78-62
12/03/26AUC San Diego69-72
08/03/26HCSU Bakersfield108-76
06/03/26AUC Irvine85-107
01/03/26AUC San Diego64-80
27/02/26HLong Beach State102-92
20/02/26AHawaii86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Riverside
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game83.587.080.0
Allowed / game67.853.582.0
Point differential+15.8+33.5-2.0
Avg total151.2140.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game79.078.079.3
Allowed / game84.862.092.3
Point differential-5.8+16.0-13.0
Avg total163.8140.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine330100%91.061.7+29.3
2 UC Santa Barbara330100%83.761.7+22.0
3 CSU Bakersfield330100%91.772.3+19.3
4 Hawaii43175%81.863.0+18.8
5 UC Riverside43175%83.567.8+15.8
6 UC Davis43175%74.064.0+10.0
7 CS Fullerton32167%88.786.0+2.7
8 UC San Diego32167%87.786.7+1.0
9 Cal Poly42250%79.084.8-5.8
10 CS Northridge31233%84.381.0+3.3
11 Long Beach State31233%65.069.3-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.