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UCF Knights vs East Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-58
40-25 44-33
Position#148
Record16-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game65.6
UCF Knights 🏆
USA
vs
East Carolina
USA
Position#220
Record15-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UCF Knights v East Carolina
05 Mar 2023
UCF 84
EAST58
20 Feb 2022
UCF 69
EAST66
11 Mar 2021
UCF 72
EAST62
27 Jan 2021
UCF 71
EAST64
08 Mar 2020
UCF 94
EAST62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
East Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#7
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H26/01
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H28/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A04/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A09/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H12/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A17/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H19/02
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H23/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
68-49
68
49
+19
A26/02
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
37-44
29-36
33-26
20-31
44-42
30-36
42-31
51-31
45-21
35-44
28-20
30-33
41-40
40-48
35-34
32-14
36-35
20-22
35-35
138.1Avg total
70.5Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)71.665.6137.1+6.055%
Season at home (18)75.165.6140.7+9.461%
Season away (11)65.865.5131.4+0.345%
Last 10 (10)70.567.6138.1+2.930%
Last 5 (5)66.465.0131.4+1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.379.3147.7-11.00%
vs Similar (15)71.268.3139.5+2.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)72.660.3132.9+12.267%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#361
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H29/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A02/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H16/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A19/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H26/02
NCAA
Tulane
#89
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H02/03
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
49-34
28-49
44-36
30-44
33-27
40-32
37-40
29-37
46-34
28-35
42-51
25-32
37-28
19-36
38-40
39-31
44-37
36-31
42-50
144.9Avg total
71.3Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)69.870.8140.6-1.050%
Season at home (17)72.669.3141.9+3.365%
Season away (13)66.272.8139.0-6.731%
Last 10 (10)71.373.6144.9-2.350%
Last 5 (5)70.074.2144.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.174.5144.6-4.433%
vs Similar (11)67.370.1137.4-2.845%
vs Weaker (7)73.365.7139.0+7.686%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -5.8-5.82nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +3.5+3.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: -5.8-5.82nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +3.5+3.5
UCF KnightsEast Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H28/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A04/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A09/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H12/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H19/02
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H23/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
32-14
32
14
+18
A26/02
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
20-22
20
22
-2
A03/03
NCAA
65.4Avg total
32.1Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.731.563.2+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.331.165.4+3.267%-
Last 30 away (12)27.832.059.8-4.217%-
Last 10 (10)32.133.365.4-1.220%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.263.6-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.039.371.3-7.30%-
vs Similar (15)29.632.161.7-2.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)34.228.762.9+5.658%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#361
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H25/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H29/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A02/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H16/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A19/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A22/02
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
19-36
19
36
-17
H26/02
NCAA
Tulane
#89
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H02/03
NCAA
Tulane
#89
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A04/03
NCAA
66.0Avg total
30.1Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.533.064.5-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.433.164.5-1.641%-
Last 30 away (13)31.533.064.5-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)30.135.966.0-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.433.062.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.834.965.7-4.242%-
vs Similar (11)32.330.763.0+1.555%-
vs Weaker (7)31.433.464.9-2.014%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
UCF Knights wins
0
East Carolina wins
DateGameScore
05/01/23East Carolina v UCF Knights61-64
20/02/22UCF Knights v East Carolina69-66
19/01/22East Carolina v UCF Knights85-92 OT
12/03/21UCF Knights v East Carolina72-62
05/03/21East Carolina v UCF Knights60-64
28/01/21UCF Knights v East Carolina71-64
08/03/20UCF Knights v East Carolina94-62
07/02/20East Carolina v UCF Knights64-68
UCF Knightslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23ATemple55-57
26/02/23ATulsa68-49
23/02/23HSouth Florida75-82
19/02/23HCincinnati71-73
17/02/23AMemphis63-64
12/02/23HTulsa96-52
09/02/23AWichita State72-67
04/02/23ACincinnati64-73
28/01/23HTemple70-77 OT
26/01/23HHouston71-82
East Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23ATulane78-81
02/03/23HTulane83-68
26/02/23HHouston57-76
22/02/23ATulsa62-60
19/02/23ASMU Mustangs70-86
16/02/23HCincinnati75-71
04/02/23HSMU Mustangs77-72
02/02/23ASouth Florida63-71
29/01/23HWichita State72-85
25/01/23HTulsa76-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL55%
HomeLLWLL61%
AwayLWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %55%61%45%
Points / game71.675.165.8
Allowed / game65.665.665.5
Point differential+6.0+9.4+0.3
Avg total137.1140.7131.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%39%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)33% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %17%22%9%
East Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWWLW65%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %50%65%31%
Points / game69.872.666.2
Allowed / game70.869.372.8
Point differential-1.0+3.3-6.7
Avg total140.6141.9139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3129294%76.056.5+19.5
2 Arizona3125681%83.171.9+11.2
3 Kansas3125681%75.668.2+7.4
4 Kansas State3123874%75.868.7+7.1
5 Baylor3122971%77.370.0+7.3
6 TCU31201165%75.568.0+7.5
7 Arizona State31201165%70.767.6+3.1
8 Cincinnati30191163%77.369.6+7.7
9 Iowa State30181260%68.562.2+6.3
10 West Virginia31181358%76.771.1+5.6
11 Brigham Young33191458%75.769.7+6.0
12 UCF Knights29161355%71.665.6+6.0
13 Utah Utes31171455%68.963.5+5.3
14 Oklahoma State31171455%69.566.8+2.7
15 Texas Tech31161552%73.768.7+5.0
16 Colorado31161552%69.966.3+3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic3128390%79.365.7+13.6
2 North Texas3125681%63.755.4+8.4
3 UAB3123874%82.271.0+11.2
4 Memphis3123874%79.572.6+6.8
5 Tulane28181064%80.776.4+4.2
6 Charlotte31181358%66.862.6+4.1
7 Rice31171455%77.476.2+1.1
8 Temple30161453%69.769.3+0.4
9 Wichita State29151452%70.668.9+1.7
10 East Carolina30151550%69.870.8-1.0
11 South Florida30141647%73.272.0+1.2
12 UTSA Roadrunners31102132%69.276.7-7.5
13 Tulsa2952417%65.477.3-11.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights404484
East Carolina253358
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