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UCF Knights vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-51
29-21 37-30
Position#200
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#308
Record3-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game62.7
Allowed / game75.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UCF Knights v Tarleton
08 Dec 2024
UCF 66
TARL51
11 Dec 2022
UCF 75
TARL49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#61
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A13/03
NCAA
South Florida
#11
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H20/03
NIT
Texas A&M
#70
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H05/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H09/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H13/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H20/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
70-86
70
86
-16
H22/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
102-109 OT
102
109
-7
A24/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H28/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H01/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-47
0-0
35-40
0-0
35-49
0-0
42-34
0-0
29-29
0-0
35-32
0-0
34-33
0-0
41-35
0-0
46-36
0-0
54-58
0-0
47-32
0-0
33-37
0-0
31-46
0-0
39-40
0-0
40-25
0-0
30-45
0-0
43-40
0-0
41-36
0-0
32-29
0-0
42-30
159.1Avg total
79.9Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.177.8158.9+3.475%
Season at home (7)78.173.3151.4+4.986%
Season away (1)102.0109.0211.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)79.979.2159.1+0.760%
Last 5 (5)82.079.8161.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.573.8143.3-4.333%
vs Similar (13)74.370.0144.3+4.362%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)73.267.2140.5+6.075%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
62-96
62
96
-34
A05/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
62-91
62
91
-29
H10/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A13/11
NCAA
Tabor
#483
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H15/11
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
41-104
41
104
-63
A18/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
49-72
49
72
-23
A22/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H29/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H02/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
90-50
90
50
+40
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-51
34-45
34-47
28-44
28-33
24-39
44-34
44-23
13-56
28-48
30-40
19-32
20-28
31-34
31-26
30-33
31-53
40-34
55-22
35-28
137.7Avg total
62.7Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)62.775.0137.7-12.330%
Season at home (5)72.469.4141.8+3.040%
Season away (5)53.080.6133.6-27.620%
Last 10 (10)62.775.0137.7-12.330%
Last 5 (5)64.466.0130.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)57.479.1136.5-21.720%
vs Similar (7)78.173.4151.6+4.786%
vs Weaker (12)77.369.2146.6+8.175%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -7.6-7.62nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -4.7-4.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -7.6-7.62nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -4.7-4.7
UCF KnightsTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#61
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A13/03
NCAA
South Florida
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H20/03
NIT
Texas A&M
#70
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H09/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H13/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H20/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A24/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H01/12
NCAA
74.1Avg total
37.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.433.967.2-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.932.967.8+2.163%-
Last 30 away (11)30.635.566.2-4.918%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.674.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.473.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.935.066.9-3.142%-
vs Similar (13)34.131.865.8+2.354%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)35.033.568.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A05/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H10/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A13/11
NCAA
Tabor
#483
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
13-56
13
56
-43
A18/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H29/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A30/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H02/12
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#575
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H04/12
NCAA
70.4Avg total
31.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.735.268.9-1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.634.571.1+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)30.736.066.7-5.340%-
Last 10 (10)31.439.070.4-7.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.867.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)26.640.567.1-13.910%-
vs Similar (7)36.433.670.0+2.986%-
vs Weaker (12)37.131.969.0+5.267%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UCF Knights wins
0
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
11/12/22UCF Knights v Tarleton75-49
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HCalifornia Baptist74-59
28/11/24HWisc. Milwaukee84-76
24/11/24ALSU102-109 OT
22/11/24HWisconsin70-86
20/11/24HTennessee Tech80-69
13/11/24HFlorida Atlantic100-94
09/11/24HIPFW75-68
05/11/24HTexas A&M64-61
20/03/24HSouth Florida77-83
13/03/24ABrigham Young73-87
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HDallas Christian90-50
02/12/24HIndiana State71-87
30/11/24AHofstra61-59
29/11/24HIona51-62
22/11/24AMichigan49-72
18/11/24ABaylor41-104
15/11/24HTabor88-57
13/11/24AFlorida State52-72
10/11/24HSam Houston St.62-91
05/11/24ASMU Mustangs62-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %75%86%0%
Points / game81.178.1102.0
Allowed / game77.873.3109.0
Point differential+3.4+4.9-7.0
Avg total158.9151.4211.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%0%100%
Tarleton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game62.772.453.0
Allowed / game75.069.480.6
Point differential-12.3+3.0-27.6
Avg total137.7141.8133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona State98189%80.071.1+8.9
2 Texas Tech87188%86.964.6+22.2
3 Kansas87188%80.267.1+13.1
4 Cincinnati76186%81.757.7+24.0
5 Iowa State76186%86.065.7+20.3
6 Colorado97278%76.069.7+6.3
7 Utah Utes86275%87.064.8+22.2
8 Brigham Young86275%84.567.4+17.1
9 West Virginia86275%77.868.8+9.0
10 Oklahoma State86275%81.475.8+5.6
11 UCF Knights86275%81.177.8+3.4
12 Kansas State96367%80.469.3+11.1
13 Houston85362%78.958.2+20.6
14 Baylor85362%83.473.4+10.0
15 TCU95456%73.067.2+5.8
16 Arizona84450%87.172.8+14.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah118373%78.371.7+6.5
2 Abilene Christian96367%78.270.7+7.6
3 California Baptist95456%77.776.7+1.0
4 UT Arlington94544%80.175.8+4.3
5 Utah Valley State94544%74.373.9+0.4
6 Tarleton103730%62.775.0-12.3
7 Utah Tech112918%67.276.9-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights293766
Tarleton213051
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