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UCF Knights vs TCU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 85-58
37-23 48-35
Position#200
Record12-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#210
Record10-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game66.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UCF Knights v TCU
17 Feb 2026
UCF 82
TCU71
25 Jan 2025
UCF 85
TCU58
28 Mar 2017
UCF 53
TCU68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TCU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#308
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H08/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H14/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
48-99
48
99
-51
H05/01
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A12/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A15/01
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
83-108
83
108
-25
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-21
37-30
45-39
43-36
47-29
39-37
47-41
40-42
25-44
23-55
34-37
41-37
42-45
38-43
49-47
46-42
38-30
30-39
36-54
47-54
157.8Avg total
77.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.279.1158.3+0.167%
Season at home (13)75.272.8148.1+2.477%
Season away (5)89.495.4184.8-6.040%
Last 10 (10)77.680.2157.8-2.660%
Last 5 (5)80.285.6165.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.681.1154.8-7.536%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.674.6155.3+6.073%
vs Weaker (4)71.865.2137.0+6.575%
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#121
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H08/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H17/12
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
82-48
82
48
+34
H22/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A31/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H04/01
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A07/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Baylor
#149
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A19/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-41
36-42
30-28
28-21
42-25
40-23
37-41
44-49
27-24
36-38
22-29
24-36
34-37
37-30
26-30
39-43
32-39
42-32
35-33
26-41
135.7Avg total
67.5Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.966.9136.8+3.056%
Season at home (13)70.863.5134.4+7.369%
Season away (5)67.475.6143.0-8.220%
Last 10 (10)67.568.2135.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)63.470.0133.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)65.672.1137.7-6.631%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.365.8141.1+9.560%
vs Weaker (4)80.066.5146.5+13.5100%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -0.3-0.3
UCF KnightsTCU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#308
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H08/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H14/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H05/01
NCAA
Colorado
#278
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/01
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A15/01
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H18/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A22/01
NCAA
77.9Avg total
39.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.136.772.8-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.634.670.2+0.963%-
Last 30 away (11)37.040.477.4-3.427%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.777.9+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.682.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.439.174.5-3.843%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.334.072.3+4.364%-
vs Weaker (4)33.032.865.8+0.250%-
This opponent (TCU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#121
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H08/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Arizona
#88
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A07/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H16/01
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A19/01
NCAA
Kansas
#114
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H23/01
NCAA
65.0Avg total
32.3Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.632.166.6+2.543%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.130.666.6+5.561%-
Last 30 away (12)32.334.366.7-2.017%-
Last 10 (10)32.332.765.0-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.663.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.133.464.5-2.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.630.568.1+7.160%-
vs Weaker (4)40.830.871.5+10.075%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UCF Knights wins
1
TCU wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24TCU v UCF Knights77-79
29/03/17UCF Knights v TCU53-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25AIowa State83-108
18/01/25HHouston68-69
15/01/25AArizona State95-89
12/01/25AArizona80-88
09/01/25HColorado75-74
05/01/25HKansas48-99
31/12/24ATexas Tech87-83
21/12/24HJacksonville Dolphins86-66
14/12/24HTulsa88-75
08/12/24HTarleton66-51
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25HKansas61-74
19/01/25ABaylor74-71
16/01/25HUtah Utes65-73
11/01/25HBrigham Young71-67
07/01/25AHouston46-65
04/01/25HKansas State63-62
31/12/24AArizona81-90
22/12/24HMontana State82-48
17/12/24HSouth Alabama58-49
08/12/24HVanderbilt74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL67%
HomeWWLWL77%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %67%77%40%
Points / game79.275.289.4
Allowed / game79.172.895.4
Point differential+0.1+2.4-6.0
Avg total158.3148.1184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%20%
TCU
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWWWLL69%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %56%69%20%
Points / game69.970.867.4
Allowed / game66.963.575.6
Point differential+3.0+7.3-8.2
Avg total136.8134.4143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State1917289%84.665.9+18.7
2 Houston1815383%75.853.9+21.9
3 Texas Tech1814478%82.965.7+17.3
4 Kansas1814478%76.363.3+13.0
5 West Virginia1813572%71.863.9+7.9
6 Arizona1913668%82.768.9+13.8
7 Brigham Young1812667%80.467.0+13.4
8 Baylor1812667%80.268.2+12.0
9 Cincinnati1812667%72.361.7+10.6
10 UCF Knights1812667%79.279.1+0.1
11 Utah Utes1811761%77.770.0+7.7
12 Arizona State1911858%73.571.7+1.8
13 TCU1810856%69.966.9+3.0
14 Oklahoma State1810856%74.274.9-0.7
15 Colorado1991047%72.872.5+0.3
16 Kansas State1871139%72.671.8+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights374885
TCU233558
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