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Ukmerges Stekas vs Suduva-Mantinga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 72-95
Projected total 166.9
Scheduled
Position#14
Record4-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game87.9
Vs
97%
■ UKME 3%■ SUDU 97%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.3/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game77.7
LithuaniaNKLRound 16· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Suduva-Mantinga
21 Nov 2026
UKME v SUDU
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
UKME54
SUDU91
07 Dec 2024
UKME74
SUDU86
30 Nov 2023
UKME68
SUDU76
05 Nov 2022
UKME92
SUDU99
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Ukmerges Stekas host Suduva-Mantinga in the NKL. Pythia makes Suduva-Mantinga the favourite at 97% and projects 72-95, about 167 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%. Ukmerges Stekas are 4-9 this season (77.6 scored, 87.9 allowed a game), form LLLLW; Suduva-Mantinga are 9-3 this season (91.4 scored, 77.7 allowed a game), form WLWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas win
2.7%fair 37.63
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Suduva-Mantinga win
97.3%fair 1.03
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#16
W
99-95
99
95
+4
97avg 72
A10/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#8
L
73-87
73
87
-14
55avg 72
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
76-107
76
107
-31
67avg 72
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
70-104
70
104
-34
62avg 72
A22/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
74-70
74
70
+4
71avg 72
H24/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 72
A29/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H03/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
74-97
74
97
-23
no box
A05/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
L
58-73
58
73
-15
no box
H07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H12/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
22-20
27-20
31-30
25-27
18-25
14-16
16-19
13-30
27-27
21-26
15-24
16-31
20-27
18-21
16-25
14-19
17-17
18-17
25-17
20-32
14-27
19-20
23-18
9-20
21-23
16-21
18-23
12-24
15-29
22-22
25-22
12-14
17-27
17-9
12-23
19-16
25-20
11-20
21-13
162.6Avg total
74.0Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.687.9165.5-10.331%
Season at home (8)77.283.8161.0-6.538%
Season away (5)78.294.6172.8-16.420%
Last 10 (10)74.088.6162.6-14.630%
Last 5 (5)69.684.6154.2-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)77.590.1167.7-12.617%
vs Similar (6)79.885.8165.7-6.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Suduva-Mantinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Suduva-MantingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuduva-Mantinga
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
66avg 85
A15/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#8
L
82-87
82
87
-5
70avg 85
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
55avg 85
H24/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
113-63
113
63
+50
120avg 85
H27/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
109-85
109
85
+24
114avg 85
A29/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
98-64
98
64
+34
97avg 85
H31/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
A03/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
W
94-75
94
75
+19
no box
A05/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
W
80-60
80
60
+20
no box
H07/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H12/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
21-24
15-23
21-18
23-21
21-27
12-26
26-13
13-21
14-22
22-14
20-14
32-9
33-26
28-12
20-16
28-13
26-22
35-26
20-24
27-9
26-23
23-14
22-18
21-30
21-26
17-14
24-22
23-20
24-13
18-20
29-22
19-17
18-20
21-9
22-14
16-14
25-21
23-15
24-28
166.2Avg total
90.4Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.477.7169.1+13.875%
Season at home (6)88.370.5158.8+17.867%
Season away (6)94.584.8179.3+9.783%
Last 10 (10)90.475.8166.2+14.670%
Last 5 (5)88.673.8162.4+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)78.574.5153.0+4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)88.875.7164.5+13.175%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163.5
Over 163.5
58.3%
Under 163.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168.5
Over 168.5
45.9%
Under 168.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173.5
Over 173.5
34.0%
Under 173.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Ukmerges Stekas total 81.5
Over 81.5
16.6%
Under 81.5
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ukmerges Stekas total 85.5
Over 85.5
8.7%
Under 85.5
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ukmerges Stekas total 89.5
Over 89.5
4.1%
Under 89.5
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduva-Mantinga total 79
Over 79
95.2%
Under 79
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduva-Mantinga total 83
Over 83
89.6%
Under 83
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduva-Mantinga total 87
Over 87
80.1%
Under 87
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Ukmerges Stekas -3
UKME -3
1.7%
SUDU +3
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
UKME
No market prices yet.
SUDU
No market prices yet.
Spread Ukmerges Stekas 0
UKME 0
2.7%
SUDU 0
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
UKME
No market prices yet.
SUDU
No market prices yet.
Spread Ukmerges Stekas +3
UKME +3
3.8%
SUDU -3
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
UKME
No market prices yet.
SUDU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
Ukmerges StekasSuduva-Mantinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H15/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A22/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H24/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A29/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H03/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A05/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H07/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H12/11
NKL
83.5Avg total
35.5Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.745.582.2-8.817%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.544.180.6-7.622%-
Last 30 away (12)37.047.584.5-10.58%-
Last 10 (10)35.548.083.5-12.510%-
Last 5 (5)32.846.479.2-13.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.245.481.6-9.217%-
vs Similar (6)38.745.784.3-7.017%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Suduva-Mantinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Suduva-MantingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#16
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A15/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H17/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H24/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
65-35
65
35
+30
H27/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A29/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H31/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A03/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A05/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H07/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NKL
85.8Avg total
46.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.836.981.7+7.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.635.781.2+9.962%-
Last 30 away (14)43.938.282.1+5.771%-
Last 10 (10)46.239.685.8+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.682.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)34.039.073.0-5.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.636.782.3+8.968%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.5
51.8%
54.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
31.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
67.1%13.1
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Suduva-Mantingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Suduva-Mantinga: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.1
55.1%
54.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.5
34.8%
31.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.312.5
61.6%
67.1%12.5
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
WLLLLWLLLW
Suduva-Mantinga
WWWLWWWLLW
#14
League position
#4
-9.0
Net rating
+11.3
90.1
Offensive rating
100.1
99.1
Defensive rating
88.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.7%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
15.0%
Turnover %
11.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.8%
3-point %
34.8%
64.6%
Assist %
64.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 100.1Defence99.1 · 88.9Shooting50.1% · 53.7%3-point %31.8% · 34.8%Ball care15.0% · 11.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Suduva-Mantinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ukmerges Stekas wins
8
Suduva-Mantinga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HRytas 276-69
07/11/26HAlytaus Patriotai58-73
05/11/26AVilkaviskis74-97
03/11/26HNeptunas 264-87
29/10/26AKedainiai BC76-97
24/10/26HMazeikiai74-70
22/10/26ATelsiai70-104
17/10/26HBC Olimpas Palanga76-107
15/10/26HOmega-Tauras73-87
10/10/26AKretinga99-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HBC Olimpas Palanga88-78
07/11/26HVilkaviskis80-60
05/11/26ANeptunas 294-75
03/11/26ASilute83-92
31/10/26HKedainiai BC98-64
29/10/26AMazeikiai109-85
27/10/26HKauno Atletas113-63
24/10/26HTelsiai69-71
17/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-87
15/10/26AKretinga88-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %31%38%20%
Points / game77.677.278.2
Allowed / game87.983.894.6
Point differential-10.3-6.5-16.4
Avg total165.5161.0172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%12%0%
Suduva-Mantinga
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%67%83%
Points / game91.488.394.5
Allowed / game77.770.584.8
Point differential+13.8+17.8+9.7
Avg total169.1158.8179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1211192%90.478.0+12.4
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1310377%94.884.9+9.9
4 Suduva-Mantinga129375%91.477.7+13.8
5 Vytis VDU118373%97.490.4+7.0
6 Neptunas 2139469%78.174.7+3.4
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Omega-Tauras137654%90.586.2+4.2
9 Plunges Olimpas137654%82.579.9+2.6
10 Alytaus Patriotai137654%83.785.2-1.5
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
12 Vilkaviskis135838%82.186.6-4.5
13 Kedainiai BC134931%76.584.1-7.5
14 Ukmerges Stekas134931%77.687.9-10.3
15 Mazeikiai1331023%78.889.2-10.5
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1321115%79.092.8-13.8
18 Rytas 2131128%77.086.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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