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Ukraine vs Denmark Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-71
18-20 28-16 27-10 15-25
Position#22
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game73.2
Ukraine 🏆
vs
Position#79
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game78.8
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Xiaomi Arena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukraine winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denmark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUkraine
Date
Competition
Portugal
#14
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
H23/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
75-88
75
88
-13
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
66avg 75
H21/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
88-60
88
60
+28
95avg 75
A24/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#43
L
64-66
64
66
-2
no box
A06/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
H09/08
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
H16/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
98-86
98
86
+12
no box
A20/08
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
16-21
27-15
18-17
19-16
18-20
18-29
18-21
16-11
24-18
17-27
18-32
22-24
14-21
19-21
16-18
24-17
17-15
30-18
17-10
14-18
13-12
20-15
17-21
24-24
21-14
17-14
18-19
28-12
13-19
21-24
11-9
17-20
32-20
20-27
29-19
15-23
28-25
23-13
26-18
155.4Avg total
79.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.473.2154.6+8.280%
Season at home (2)76.567.5144.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)84.777.0161.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)79.176.3155.4+2.850%
Last 5 (5)81.473.2154.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.981.1157.0-5.212%
vs Similar (9)82.384.6166.9-2.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.570.7153.2+11.885%
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDenmark
Date
Competition
Finland
#34
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
52-72
52
72
-20
no box
H21/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
51-98
51
98
-47
no box
A24/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
60-62
60
62
-2
48avg 61
A21/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
77-83
77
83
-6
73avg 61
H24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
89-71
89
71
+18
no box
H02/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
71-100
71
100
-29
no box
A09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
A13/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
H20/08
World Cup
Spain
#27
L
64-74
64
74
-10
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
31-19
14-30
13-17
6-29
13-14
16-19
17-10
17-25
11-25
11-20
12-28
21-19
4-18
20-11
15-14
25-24
22-17
23-18
7-24
25-15
20-21
20-17
24-18
14-24
29-32
16-21
12-23
15-12
22-15
18-22
24-21
21-12
17-24
19-24
19-19
23-25
10-20
14-15
17-14
150.2Avg total
70.4Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.878.8154.6-3.040%
Season at home (3)76.374.7151.0+1.733%
Season away (2)75.085.0160.0-10.050%
Last 10 (10)70.479.8150.2-9.420%
Last 5 (5)75.878.8154.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)65.884.6150.3-18.80%
vs Similar (9)73.471.3144.8+2.133%
vs Weaker (12)79.773.0152.7+6.767%
This opponent (Ukraine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
UkraineDenmark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UkraineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal
#14
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H25/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H23/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A25/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A24/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#43
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A06/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/08
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H16/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A20/08
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A27/11
World Cup
76.7Avg total
39.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.778.4+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.037.176.1+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)42.238.280.5+4.062%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.676.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.478.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.839.175.9-2.450%-
vs Similar (9)42.639.081.6+3.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.935.977.8+6.069%-
This opponent (Denmark) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenmarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#34
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A26/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
19-43
19
43
-24
H21/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A24/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A21/02
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H02/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A13/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H20/08
World Cup
Spain
#27
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H27/11
World Cup
78.6Avg total
37.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.138.375.4-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.238.475.7-1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)37.038.175.1-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)37.341.378.6-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.079.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.445.078.4-11.611%-
vs Similar (9)34.235.169.3-0.944%-
vs Weaker (12)42.135.677.7+6.583%-
This opponent (Ukraine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukrainetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukraine: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.3
54.7%
-38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.7
36.5%
-23.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.5
67.5%
-13.5
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denmarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.1
51.0%
-36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.6
27.3%
-22.8
🏀 Free throws19.212.4
64.6%
-12.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukraine
WWWWLWLLLL
Denmark
LLWLWLLLLL
#22
League position
#79
-6.3
Net rating
-2.5
104.6
Offensive rating
98.9
110.8
Defensive rating
101.4
54.7%
Effective FG%
46.6%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
21.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.5%
3-point %
27.3%
75.9%
Assist %
62.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Ukraine   ■ Denmark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ukraine wins
0
Denmark wins
No previous meetings.
Ukrainelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25AGeorgia92-79
20/08/25ASlovakia98-86
16/08/25HSwitzerland73-64
09/08/25HSlovakia80-71
06/08/25ASwitzerland64-66
24/02/25APortugal88-60
21/02/25HSlovenia71-84
25/11/24AIsrael75-88
23/11/24HIsrael73-86
25/02/24HPortugal77-79
Denmarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HSpain64-74
20/08/25HCroatia76-79
13/08/25ANorway79-70
09/08/25ACroatia71-100
02/08/25HNorway89-71
24/02/25HFinland77-83
21/02/25AGeorgia60-62
24/11/24ASerbia51-98
21/11/24HSerbia52-72
26/02/24AFinland85-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukraine
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game81.476.584.7
Allowed / game73.267.577.0
Point differential+8.2+9.0+7.7
Avg total154.6144.0161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denmark
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game75.876.375.0
Allowed / game78.874.785.0
Point differential-3.0+1.7-10.0
Avg total154.6151.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines110100%87.046.0+41.0
2 Canada110100%111.075.0+36.0
3 Jordan220100%87.053.5+33.5
4 Uruguay110100%93.060.0+33.0
5 Croatia550100%96.465.6+30.8
6 Greece110100%91.064.0+27.0
7 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
8 Japan110100%90.064.0+26.0
9 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
10 Turkey220100%89.065.5+23.5
11 Portugal110100%83.062.0+21.0
12 Iran220100%90.069.5+20.5
13 Germany110100%89.069.0+20.0
14 Czech Republic110100%97.080.0+17.0
15 Brazil110100%82.066.0+16.0
16 France110100%79.063.0+16.0
17 Argentina110100%80.068.0+12.0
18 Poland110100%90.078.0+12.0
19 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
20 Spain110100%74.064.0+10.0
21 Dominican Republic110100%92.085.0+7.0
22 Australia110100%84.079.0+5.0
23 Serbia110100%90.086.0+4.0
24 South Korea110100%80.076.0+4.0
25 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
26 Jamaica110100%92.090.0+2.0
27 Estonia110100%94.093.0+1.0
28 Lebanon110100%75.074.0+1.0
29 Ukraine54180%81.473.2+8.2
30 Netherlands54180%79.873.0+6.8
31 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
32 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
33 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
34 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
35 Romania96367%75.774.0+1.7
36 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
37 Hungary53260%82.072.8+9.2
38 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
39 Austria95456%88.077.8+10.2
40 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
41 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
42 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
43 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
44 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
45 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
46 Denmark52340%75.878.8-3.0
47 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
48 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
49 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
50 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
51 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
52 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
53 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
54 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
55 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
56 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
57 Qatar1010%74.075.0-1.0
58 Slovenia1010%93.094.0-1.0
59 Puerto Rico1010%90.092.0-2.0
60 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
61 China1010%76.080.0-4.0
62 New Zealand1010%79.084.0-5.0
63 Finland1010%82.089.0-7.0
64 Mexico1010%85.092.0-7.0
65 Latvia1010%78.086.0-8.0
66 Cuba1010%68.080.0-12.0
67 Nigeria2020%66.578.5-12.0
68 Rwanda2020%68.080.5-12.5
69 Georgia1010%79.092.0-13.0
70 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
71 Belgium1010%63.079.0-16.0
72 Chile1010%66.082.0-16.0
73 Sweden1010%80.097.0-17.0
74 Israel1010%69.089.0-20.0
75 Iraq2020%69.590.0-20.5
76 Montenegro1010%62.083.0-21.0
77 Bosnia & Herzegovina1010%71.093.0-22.0
78 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
79 Chinese Taipei1010%64.090.0-26.0
80 Panama1010%60.093.0-33.0
81 Syria2020%53.587.0-33.5
82 Bahamas1010%75.0111.0-36.0
83 Cyprus1010%60.0100.0-40.0
84 Guam1010%46.087.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 84 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukraine1828271588
Denmark2016102571
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