PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ukraine vs Portugal Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-79
16-26 16-21 27-15 18-17
Position#36
Record0-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#14
Record5-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game70.9
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Arena Riga
Other2023
Meetings · Ukraine v Portugal
01 Mar 2027
UKRA v PORT
upcoming
25 Feb 2024
UKRA77
PORT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukraine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portugal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUkraine
Date
Competition
Estonia
#34
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
79-99
79
99
-20
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A08/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
H11/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#77
W
96-77
96
77
+19
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
79-72
79
72
+7
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
75-85
75
85
-10
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
72-56
72
56
+16
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#11
L
73-87
73
87
-14
67avg 67
A22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
18-14
23-26
18-12
16-21
22-21
19-15
27-16
20-23
26-16
11-32
22-28
21-21
21-24
25-22
18-23
21-24
24-18
22-27
19-25
28-21
31-14
19-21
18-21
14-18
21-15
16-20
28-19
21-23
22-20
14-15
18-27
18-17
16-14
23-8
15-17
22-21
18-18
13-25
20-23
160.9Avg total
80.3Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.087.0160.0-14.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)73.087.0160.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)80.380.6160.9-0.350%
Last 5 (5)79.075.4154.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.881.0153.8-8.20%
vs Similar (13)80.282.8162.9-2.631%
vs Weaker (13)80.868.8149.5+12.077%
This opponent (Portugal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
France
#8
L
56-69
56
69
-13
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Hungary
#42
L
68-69
68
69
-1
no box
A01/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
62-77
62
77
-15
no box
H04/07
World Cup
Romania
#16
W
75-59
75
59
+16
no box
A25/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
102-69
102
69
+33
no box
H28/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
92-62
92
62
+30
no box
H13/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
82-90
82
90
-8
74avg 67
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 67
H22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
19-17
8-15
13-20
13-21
18-19
21-13
16-16
14-19
16-26
21-21
11-11
17-14
25-16
19-19
14-10
35-17
23-22
23-18
21-12
21-20
23-32
23-12
21-14
27-14
27-27
18-10
20-11
21-9
17-27
26-22
11-8
19-19
21-24
18-27
24-20
19-19
17-19
17-18
17-16
148.1Avg total
77.0Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.470.9154.3+12.671%
Season at home (4)88.070.2158.2+17.875%
Season away (3)77.371.7149.0+5.767%
Last 10 (10)77.071.1148.1+5.950%
Last 5 (5)81.473.6155.0+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.775.3139.0-11.722%
vs Similar (9)76.880.9157.7-4.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.566.2146.7+14.383%
This opponent (Ukraine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
UkrainePortugal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UkraineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia
#34
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H05/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A06/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A08/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H11/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#77
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A11/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H14/11
World Cup
Italy
#17
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A23/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H26/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A22/02
EuroBasket
79.9Avg total
41.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.575.6+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.632.769.4+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)41.239.881.0+1.556%-
Last 10 (10)41.538.479.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.278.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.840.875.5-6.025%-
vs Similar (13)39.638.478.0+1.254%-
vs Weaker (13)39.933.273.2+6.777%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H27/02
World Cup
Hungary
#42
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A01/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H04/07
World Cup
Romania
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A25/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H28/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H10/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H13/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A23/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H22/02
EuroBasket
80.6Avg total
40.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.976.0+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.436.176.5+4.269%-
Last 30 away (14)37.837.775.5+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.880.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.084.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.834.269.0+0.656%-
vs Similar (9)38.141.980.0-3.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.235.178.3+8.275%-
This opponent (Ukraine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukrainetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukraine: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
50.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.0
27.6%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws25.017.0
68.0%
71.4%17.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.3
55.4%
50.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.5%
32.5%25.7
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
71.4%14.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/7 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukraine
LWLWWLLLWW
Portugal
LLWWWWWLLL
#36
League position
#14
-21.5
Net rating
+17.3
95.3
Offensive rating
113.3
116.7
Defensive rating
96.1
45.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
18.9%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.6%
3-point %
33.5%
78.3%
Assist %
66.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 113.3Defence116.7 · 96.1Shooting45.8% · 53.3%3-point %27.6% · 33.5%Ball care17.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds18.9% · 37.1%Free throws0.42 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Ukraine   ■ Portugal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ukraine wins
0
Portugal wins
No previous meetings.
Ukrainelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24ASlovenia73-87
26/02/23HNetherlands72-56
23/02/23AItaly75-85
14/11/22HIceland79-72
11/11/22ANetherlands96-77
11/09/22HPoland86-94
08/09/22ACroatia85-90
06/09/22AGreece79-99
05/09/22HItaly84-73
03/09/22AEstonia74-73
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HIsrael70-72
26/02/23ABulgaria82-90
23/02/23ACyprus75-66
13/11/22HRomania92-62
10/11/22HBulgaria88-78
28/08/22HCyprus102-69
25/08/22ARomania75-59
04/07/22HMontenegro62-77
01/07/22AHungary68-69
27/02/22HFrance56-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukraine
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential-14.0--14.0
Avg total160.0-160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Portugal
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game83.488.077.3
Allowed / game70.970.271.7
Point differential+12.6+17.8+5.7
Avg total154.3158.2149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%99.066.0+33.0
2 Lithuania110100%83.064.0+19.0
3 Serbia110100%77.061.0+16.0
4 Italy220100%85.071.0+14.0
5 France110100%73.061.0+12.0
6 Slovenia220100%87.576.0+11.5
7 Belgium220100%66.556.5+10.0
8 Greece110100%72.064.0+8.0
9 Latvia220100%71.563.5+8.0
10 Estonia110100%74.069.0+5.0
11 Great Britain110100%98.094.0+4.0
12 Croatia119282%83.467.1+16.3
13 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
14 Portugal75271%83.470.9+12.6
15 Poland75271%79.670.7+8.9
16 North Macedonia75271%72.164.1+8.0
17 Slovakia128467%73.268.8+4.4
18 Denmark159660%76.771.1+5.7
19 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
20 Germany21150%73.564.0+9.5
21 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
22 Montenegro21150%78.077.5+0.5
23 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
24 Israel21150%75.579.0-3.5
25 Sweden21150%77.082.5-5.5
26 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
27 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
28 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
29 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
30 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
31 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
32 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
33 Cyprus131128%63.580.0-16.5
34 Netherlands1010%94.098.0-4.0
35 Spain2020%64.068.5-4.5
36 Georgia1010%69.075.0-6.0
37 Czech Republic1010%64.072.0-8.0
38 Hungary2020%63.576.5-13.0
39 Ukraine1010%73.087.0-14.0
40 Finland1010%61.077.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukraine1616271877
Portugal2621151779
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.