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Ukraine vs Spain Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 66-86
21-17 12-15 14-33 19-21
Position#22
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Spain 🏆
Position#27
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game62.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 3· Xiaomi Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Ukraine v Spain
27 Feb 2026
UKRA66
SPAI86
07 Jul 2022
UKRA76
SPAI77
14 Sep 2018
UKRA76
SPAI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukraine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUkraine
Date
Competition
Israel
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
H23/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
75-88
75
88
-13
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H21/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
88-60
88
60
+28
no box
A24/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#43
L
64-66
64
66
-2
no box
A06/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
H09/08
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
H16/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
98-86
98
86
+12
no box
A20/08
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
88-71
88
71
+17
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
18-20
18-29
18-21
16-11
24-18
17-27
18-32
22-24
14-21
19-21
16-18
24-17
17-15
30-18
17-10
14-18
13-12
20-15
17-21
24-24
21-14
17-14
18-19
28-12
13-19
21-24
11-9
17-20
32-20
20-27
29-19
15-23
28-25
23-13
26-18
18-20
28-16
27-10
15-25
155.7Avg total
80.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.572.8155.3+9.783%
Season at home (3)80.368.7149.0+11.7100%
Season away (3)84.777.0161.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)80.275.5155.7+4.760%
Last 5 (5)86.274.2160.4+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.981.1157.0-5.212%
vs Similar (9)82.384.6166.9-2.233%
vs Weaker (13)81.871.3153.2+10.585%
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpain
Date
Competition
Slovakia
#23
W
84-71
84
71
+13
no box
H25/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
no box
A20/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
59-52
59
52
+7
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
69-83
69
83
-14
59avg 74
A28/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
88-67
88
67
+21
87avg 74
H30/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
91-47
91
47
+44
97avg 74
H31/08
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 74
A02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
74avg 74
H04/09
EuroBasket
Denmark
#79
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
90-61
90
61
+29
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
25-14
24-25
13-14
17-20
17-21
16-22
16-20
11-11
11-14
20-15
17-12
17-20
18-17
14-20
20-26
24-16
20-14
28-17
16-20
19-9
22-8
29-12
21-18
18-10
18-20
11-19
16-18
20-31
15-19
28-18
23-22
25-23
20-10
15-14
14-17
19-22
28-11
23-13
20-15
145.5Avg total
77.0Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.062.5144.5+19.5100%
Season at home (1)90.061.0151.0+29.0100%
Season away (1)74.064.0138.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.068.5145.5+8.560%
Last 5 (5)80.865.8146.6+15.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.672.0139.6-4.420%
vs Similar (7)78.176.4154.6+1.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.671.6157.2+14.089%
This opponent (Ukraine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
UkraineSpain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UkraineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H23/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A25/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A24/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#43
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A06/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/08
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H16/08
World Cup
Slovakia
#69
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A20/08
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A27/11
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/11
World Cup
77.0Avg total
40.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.878.4+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.537.076.5+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.738.580.3+3.260%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.577.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.683.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.839.175.9-2.450%-
vs Similar (9)42.639.081.6+3.667%-
vs Weaker (13)41.636.177.7+5.569%-
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovakia
#23
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H25/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A20/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H31/08
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/09
EuroBasket
Denmark
#79
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A27/11
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H30/11
World Cup
71.4Avg total
38.6Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.134.874.9+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.135.675.7+4.456%-
Last 30 away (14)40.233.974.1+6.479%-
Last 10 (10)38.632.871.4+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.673.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.432.666.0+0.840%-
vs Similar (7)38.734.373.0+4.486%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.635.678.2+6.967%-
This opponent (Ukraine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukrainetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukraine: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.3
54.7%
-38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.7
36.5%
-23.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.5
67.5%
-13.5
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.7
49.0%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.3
29.9%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws21.114.0
66.4%
-14.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukraine
WWWWWLWLLL
Spain
WWLLWWLWLW
#22
League position
#27
-6.3
Net rating
+5.9
104.6
Offensive rating
99.0
110.8
Defensive rating
93.1
54.7%
Effective FG%
47.1%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
21.7%
Turnover %
17.9%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.5%
3-point %
29.9%
75.9%
Assist %
74.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Ukraine   ■ Spain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ukraine wins
3
Spain wins
DateGameScore
07/07/22Ukraine v Spain76-77
24/02/22Spain v Ukraine88-74
02/12/18Spain v Ukraine72-68
14/09/18Ukraine v Spain76-65
Ukrainelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HDenmark88-71
27/11/25AGeorgia92-79
20/08/25ASlovakia98-86
16/08/25HSwitzerland73-64
09/08/25HSlovakia80-71
06/08/25ASwitzerland64-66
24/02/25APortugal88-60
21/02/25HSlovenia71-84
25/11/24AIsrael75-88
23/11/24HIsrael73-86
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HGeorgia90-61
27/11/25ADenmark74-64
04/09/25HGreece86-90
02/09/25AItaly63-67
31/08/25HCyprus91-47
30/08/25HBosnia & Herzegovina88-67
28/08/25AGeorgia69-83
23/02/25HBelgium59-52
20/02/25ALatvia66-83
25/11/24HSlovakia84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukraine
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game82.580.384.7
Allowed / game72.868.777.0
Point differential+9.7+11.7+7.7
Avg total155.3149.0161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spain
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.090.074.0
Allowed / game62.561.064.0
Point differential+19.5+29.0+10.0
Avg total144.5151.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Argentina220100%92.558.5+34.0
2 Jordan220100%87.053.5+33.5
3 Croatia660100%94.566.5+28.0
4 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
5 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
6 Turkey220100%89.065.5+23.5
7 Angola110100%90.068.0+22.0
8 Iran220100%90.069.5+20.5
9 Germany220100%86.066.5+19.5
10 Spain220100%82.062.5+19.5
11 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
12 Greece220100%83.566.0+17.5
13 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
14 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
15 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
16 Czech Republic220100%97.086.0+11.0
17 Ivory Coast110100%90.080.0+10.0
18 Mali110100%86.077.0+9.0
19 D.R. Congo110100%87.079.0+8.0
20 Poland220100%87.580.5+7.0
21 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
22 Serbia220100%82.079.0+3.0
23 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
24 Ukraine65183%82.572.8+9.7
25 Philippines32167%82.762.0+20.7
26 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
27 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
28 Japan32167%83.374.7+8.7
29 Hungary64267%82.874.8+8.0
30 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
31 Netherlands64267%80.375.0+5.3
32 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
33 South Korea32167%78.376.3+2.0
34 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
35 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
36 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
37 Romania106460%75.674.6+1.0
38 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
39 Austria105550%86.078.6+7.4
40 Portugal21150%75.569.0+6.5
41 Latvia21150%82.077.0+5.0
42 Slovenia21150%93.588.5+5.0
43 France21150%77.573.0+4.5
44 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
45 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
46 Qatar21150%80.079.0+1.0
47 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
48 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
49 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
50 Lebanon21150%79.080.0-1.0
51 Estonia21150%93.095.0-2.0
52 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
53 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
54 Montenegro21150%71.079.0-8.0
55 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
56 New Zealand31233%75.076.3-1.3
57 China31233%79.783.3-3.7
58 Denmark62433%75.080.3-5.3
59 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
60 Chinese Taipei31233%71.378.3-7.0
61 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
62 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
63 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
64 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
65 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
66 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
67 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
68 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
69 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
70 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
71 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
72 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
73 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
74 Madagascar1010%79.087.0-8.0
75 Belgium2020%74.083.0-9.0
76 Egypt1010%77.086.0-9.0
77 Senegal1010%80.090.0-10.0
78 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
79 Bosnia & Herzegovina2020%71.583.5-12.0
80 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
81 Sweden2020%81.595.5-14.0
82 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
83 Israel2020%70.087.0-17.0
84 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
85 Iraq2020%69.590.0-20.5
86 Georgia2020%70.091.0-21.0
87 Uganda1010%68.090.0-22.0
88 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
89 Guam3030%65.791.7-26.0
90 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
91 Cyprus2020%62.091.5-29.5
92 Syria2020%53.587.0-33.5
93 Cuba2020%58.592.5-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukraine2112141966
Spain1715332186
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