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Ulcinj vs Decic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-95
30-30 18-22 16-28 25-15
Position#15
Record5-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game88.1
vs
Decic 🏆
Montenegro
Position#10
Record9-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game90.4
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 25
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulcinj winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Decic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Ulcinj
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.0
82.2▲ 4.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.1
102.0▲ 13.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
54%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.0
15.5▲ 0.5
🔥 Form · Decic
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.4
93.8▲ 7.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 90.3
92.4▲ 2.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 61%
63%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.8
20.0▲ 0.2
UlcinjMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
75-128
75
128
-53
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
64-86
64
86
-22
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
76-109
76
109
-33
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
L
95-118
95
118
-23
A10/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H16/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
85-111
85
111
-26
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
20-14
23-27
19-22
24-22
21-12
15-30
12-21
16-30
20-34
19-33
20-31
16-38
14-21
17-6
17-21
21-25
25-25
9-15
16-12
17-26
16-16
22-23
26-24
27-29
19-29
9-29
21-22
26-31
25-26
17-38
27-23
25-18
14-25
21-18
14-22
23-28
20-23
24-35
18-25
173.5Avg total
76.8Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.088.1166.2-10.121%
Season at home (12)75.384.2159.6-8.917%
Season away (12)80.892.0172.8-11.225%
Last 10 (10)76.896.7173.5-19.90%
Last 5 (5)82.2102.0184.2-19.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)78.589.1167.6-10.619%
vs Similar (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
vs Weaker (2)97.576.5174.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Decic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecicMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A22/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
76-115
76
115
-39
H03/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
87-102
87
102
-15
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
104-84
104
84
+20
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
103-125
103
125
-22
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
16-22
19-20
19-22
17-17
20-18
24-27
31-25
22-23
26-30
6-38
22-24
21-22
26-34
20-19
15-21
25-25
14-25
32-23
16-29
23-25
31-14
25-18
17-25
16-22
19-24
20-23
26-18
30-20
23-12
27-26
24-26
21-30
27-27
29-26
26-42
18-18
23-20
20-23
24-23
184.0Avg total
88.4Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.290.4176.5-4.238%
Season at home (12)86.885.9172.7+0.858%
Season away (12)85.694.8180.4-9.217%
Last 10 (10)88.495.6184.0-7.240%
Last 5 (5)93.892.4186.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)85.891.5177.3-5.738%
vs Similar (11)86.589.1175.6-2.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)93.088.0181.0+5.067%
This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
UlcinjDecic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlcinjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
36-64
36
64
-28
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
30-59
30
59
-29
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A10/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A21/03
Prva A Liga
89.2Avg total
40.2Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.445.585.9-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.145.586.6-4.429%-
Last 30 away (16)39.845.685.4-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.249.089.2-8.820%-
Last 5 (5)42.450.292.6-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.046.486.3-6.426%-
vs Similar (1)31.039.070.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (2)51.037.588.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Decic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A22/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H03/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A14/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/03
Prva A Liga
90.0Avg total
44.2Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.745.287.9-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.540.985.4+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.949.590.4-8.713%-
Last 10 (10)44.245.890.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.488.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.544.686.1-3.131%-
vs Similar (11)42.545.487.8-2.945%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)49.748.097.7+1.767%-
This opponent (Ulcinj) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulcinjtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulcinj: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.6
53.7%
58.8%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.25.8
25.8%
31.5%17.2
🏀 Free throws29.821.2
71.4%
69.7%21.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Decictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decic: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.923.0
65.9%
58.8%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.1
30.7%
31.5%27.4
🏀 Free throws23.517.4
73.9%
69.7%17.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulcinj
LLLLLLLLLL
Decic
WLWLWLLLWL
#15
League position
#10
-24.5
Net rating
-3.4
102.8
Offensive rating
116.4
127.3
Defensive rating
119.8
48.4%
Effective FG%
56.8%
59.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.48
Free-throw rate
0.36
25.8%
3-point %
30.7%
54.8%
Assist %
61.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 116.4Defence127.3 · 119.8Shooting48.4% · 56.8%3-point %25.8% · 30.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.48 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Ulcinj   ■ Decic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulcinj wins
0
Decic wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Decic v Ulcinj88-91
Ulcinjlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26APrimorje85-111
16/03/26HStudentski Centar74-83
10/03/26ATivat95-118
07/03/26HVukovi Zeta76-109
14/02/26AIbar Rozaje81-89
11/02/26HDanilovgrad71-77
07/02/26HPodgorica64-86
31/01/26ASutjeska75-128
24/01/26HKotor72-85
17/01/26ALovcen Cetinje75-81
Deciclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HPodgorica85-84
14/03/26ASutjeska103-125
10/03/26HKotor104-84
07/03/26ALovcen Cetinje81-87
14/02/26HMornar Bar96-82
11/02/26AJedinstvo87-102
07/02/26ADanilovgrad82-96
03/02/26HSutjeska76-115
31/01/26HPrimorje92-87
22/01/26AStudentski Centar78-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulcinj
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%17%25%
Points / game78.075.380.8
Allowed / game88.184.292.0
Point differential-10.1-8.9-11.2
Avg total166.2159.6172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Decic
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW38%
HomeWLWWW58%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%58%17%
Points / game86.286.885.6
Allowed / game90.485.994.8
Point differential-4.2+0.8-9.2
Avg total176.5172.7180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (8)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2419579%98.681.8+16.8
2 Primorje2418675%92.082.6+9.5
3 Mornar Bar2417771%85.981.7+4.2
4 Lovcen Cetinje2416867%79.375.7+3.6
5 Podgorica25141156%81.077.9+3.1
6 Jedinstvo25141156%86.585.8+0.7
7 Studentski Centar24111346%81.582.4-0.8
8 Kotor24111346%78.981.4-2.5
9 Decic2491538%86.290.4-4.2
10 Tivat2491538%89.994.3-4.4
11 Danilovgrad2491538%80.285.8-5.6
12 Ibar Rozaje2491538%76.282.7-6.5
13 Vukovi Zeta2481633%82.886.7-3.9
14 Ulcinj2451921%78.088.1-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulcinj3018162589
Decic3022281595
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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