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Ulm vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 114-91
32-16 24-29 32-17 26-29
Position#13
Record7-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game89.8
Ulm 🏆
vs
BC Wolves
Position#10
Record6-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game84.8
EuropeEurocupRound 12· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#13
W
82-72
82
72
+10
74avg 78
H02/11
BBL
Buducnost
#14
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
96avg 78
A06/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
79avg 78
A09/11
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
59avg 78
H13/11
Eurocup
Gottingen
#17
W
109-70
109
70
+39
117avg 78
H17/11
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 78
A28/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
95-75
95
75
+20
94avg 78
A01/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
83-69
83
69
+14
75avg 78
H03/12
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
102-88
102
88
+14
100avg 78
A11/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#4
L
67-69
67
69
-2
62avg 78
H14/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
14-27
21-17
22-16
22-25
20-19
20-26
26-18
22-22
22-25
27-22
17-27
16-13
20-28
16-15
20-24
26-14
34-21
27-22
22-13
19-28
23-20
19-17
21-15
11-23
31-17
24-16
29-19
19-19
19-21
20-12
25-17
32-16
24-26
29-28
17-18
20-22
28-11
12-17
7-19
168.4Avg total
88.0Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.589.8176.4-3.364%
Season at home (4)81.578.5160.0+3.075%
Season away (7)89.496.3185.7-6.957%
Last 10 (10)88.080.4168.4+7.660%
Last 5 (5)85.876.2162.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.080.3156.3-4.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.288.4173.7-3.242%
vs Weaker (14)83.074.6157.6+8.486%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
103-93
103
93
+10
96avg 80
H02/11
LKL
Gran Canaria
#4
W
68-66
68
66
+2
34avg 80
A06/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 80
A09/11
LKL
Trento
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
82avg 80
H12/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
77avg 80
A17/11
LKL
Buducnost
#14
L
77-104
77
104
-27
65avg 80
A29/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 80
A04/12
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
102-86
102
86
+16
94avg 80
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
104-100
104
100
+4
97avg 80
H11/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
W
110-100
110
100
+10
104avg 80
A15/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
26-24
25-26
29-24
10-11
22-19
16-14
20-22
22-26
18-25
23-16
27-18
25-21
19-30
22-13
22-19
11-15
15-22
29-17
27-17
18-29
19-28
24-25
16-22
18-19
18-15
18-25
20-25
36-14
24-25
20-7
22-40
25-31
31-27
25-25
23-17
19-26
28-30
28-20
35-24
177.0Avg total
89.8Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.584.8168.3-1.455%
Season at home (5)86.087.0173.0-1.060%
Season away (6)81.383.0164.3-1.750%
Last 10 (10)89.887.2177.0+2.680%
Last 5 (5)93.494.8188.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.988.3173.2-3.440%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.085.8170.8-0.856%
vs Weaker (11)89.485.5174.8+3.964%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
UlmBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/11
BBL
Buducnost
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A09/11
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H13/11
Eurocup
Gottingen
#17
W
60-35
60
35
+25
H17/11
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A28/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A01/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#20
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H03/12
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A11/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H14/12
BBL
85.6Avg total
44.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.481.5+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.336.377.6+5.050%-
Last 30 away (16)40.844.184.9-3.244%-
Last 10 (10)44.740.985.6+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.685.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.042.080.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.144.985.0-4.833%-
vs Weaker (14)41.835.977.6+5.964%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H02/11
LKL
Gran Canaria
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A06/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A09/11
LKL
Trento
#16
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H12/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A17/11
LKL
Buducnost
#14
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A29/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H07/12
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H11/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#6
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A15/12
LKL
88.3Avg total
42.7Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.844.187.8-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.144.291.3+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)40.943.984.8-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)42.745.688.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)47.248.896.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.945.188.0-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.145.486.6-4.333%-
vs Weaker (11)46.742.088.7+4.773%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.6
55.8%
53.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.411.2
39.4%
34.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.214.2
78.0%
76.0%14.2
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.3
52.6%
53.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.5
40.1%
34.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.919.7
79.1%
76.0%19.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWWWWWLLLW
BC Wolves
WWWLLWWWWW
#13
League position
#10
+10.3
Net rating
+3.2
117.4
Offensive rating
118.9
107.1
Defensive rating
115.7
57.3%
Effective FG%
56.1%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
21.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
38.1%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.40
39.4%
3-point %
40.1%
59.7%
Assist %
60.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 118.9Defence107.1 · 115.7Shooting57.3% · 56.1%3-point %39.4% · 40.1%Ball care21.0% · 17.1%Off. rebounds38.1% · 32.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Ulm   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
0
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
08/10/24BC Wolves v Ulm76-94
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HHeidelberg67-69
11/12/24AJoventut Badalona102-88
03/12/24HTrefl Sopot83-69
01/12/24ABonn95-75
28/11/24AHapoel Tel-Aviv82-80
17/11/24HGottingen109-70
13/11/24HBahcesehir Kol.72-80
09/11/24AAlba Berlin88-96
06/11/24ABuducnost100-105 OT
02/11/24HHamburg82-72
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24AJuventus110-100
11/12/24HHapoel Tel-Aviv104-100
07/12/24HNeptunas102-86
04/12/24ABahcesehir Kol.74-84
29/11/24ABuducnost77-104
17/11/24ARytas82-71
12/11/24HTrento88-83
09/11/24ANevezis90-85
06/11/24AGran Canaria68-66
02/11/24HSiauliai103-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%75%57%
Points / game86.581.589.4
Allowed / game89.878.596.3
Point differential-3.3+3.0-6.9
Avg total176.4160.0185.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %18%0%29%
BC Wolves
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game83.586.081.3
Allowed / game84.887.083.0
Point differential-1.4-1.0-1.7
Avg total168.3173.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia10100100%95.780.4+15.3
2 Bahcesehir Kol.1210283%84.172.8+11.3
3 Gran Canaria129375%80.273.1+7.1
4 Besiktas117464%86.481.8+4.5
5 Ulm117464%86.589.8-3.3
6 Hapoel Jerusalem127558%84.779.2+5.4
7 Turk Telekom127558%79.479.1+0.3
8 Cedevita Olimpija127558%83.883.8+0.1
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%87.279.6+7.5
10 JL Bourg116555%86.382.2+4.1
11 Cluj-Napoca116555%88.887.3+1.5
12 BC Wolves116555%83.584.8-1.4
13 Venezia115645%80.183.4-3.3
14 Buducnost125742%86.387.4-1.1
15 Trento124833%79.885.9-6.1
16 Lietkabelis113827%81.786.2-4.5
17 Joventut Badalona113827%77.584.2-6.6
18 Aris123925%75.280.2-4.9
19 Hamburg123925%77.289.0-11.8
20 Trefl Sopot110110%75.188.2-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm32243226114
BC Wolves1629172991
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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