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BC Wolves vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 102-86
36-14 24-25 20-7 22-40
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#7
Record6-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game87.8
LithuaniaLKL· Avia Solutions Group Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · BC Wolves v Neptunas
11 May 2025
WOL96
NEP84
07 Dec 2024
WOL102
NEP86
18 May 2024
WOL91
NEP80
13 May 2024
WOL91
NEP84
27 Jan 2024
WOL92
NEP73
15 Feb 2023
WOL79
NEP63
17 Nov 2022
WOL84
NEP90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
96avg 78
A22/10
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
100-82
100
82
+18
103avg 78
H27/10
LKL
Besiktas
#9
W
93-78
93
78
+15
96avg 78
H29/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
103-93
103
93
+10
96avg 78
H02/11
LKL
Gran Canaria
#4
W
68-66
68
66
+2
34avg 78
A06/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 78
A09/11
LKL
Trento
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
82avg 78
H12/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
77avg 78
A17/11
LKL
Buducnost
#14
L
77-104
77
104
-27
65avg 78
A29/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
64avg 78
A04/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
22-22
19-25
18-22
20-20
23-18
32-14
25-30
20-26
27-16
31-14
15-22
23-19
26-24
25-26
29-24
10-11
22-19
16-14
20-22
22-26
18-25
23-16
27-18
25-21
19-30
22-13
22-19
11-15
15-22
29-17
27-17
18-29
19-28
24-25
16-22
18-19
18-15
18-25
20-25
171.2Avg total
87.4Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.383.4171.8+4.967%
Season at home (4)93.284.2177.5+9.075%
Season away (5)84.482.8167.2+1.660%
Last 10 (10)87.483.8171.2+3.680%
Last 5 (5)82.285.4167.6-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.186.8170.9-2.740%
vs Similar (8)81.984.0165.9-2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.385.8173.1+1.658%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
L
96-107
96
107
-11
92avg 81
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
105-74
105
74
+31
107avg 81
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 81
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 81
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
62avg 81
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
111-110 OT
111
110
+1
94avg 81
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 81
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
94avg 81
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
59avg 81
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
102-101
102
101
+1
98avg 81
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
20-20
25-29
29-30
22-19
30-15
23-20
30-20
23-18
20-14
21-21
25-28
27-13
25-20
16-20
23-17
19-28
19-25
12-23
20-21
24-23
21-20
13-19
27-23
18-18
31-26
16-16
18-14
22-22
22-23
30-24
17-22
19-15
13-22
20-16
11-21
14-25
22-29
31-23
35-24
180.3Avg total
91.1Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.287.8175.0-0.660%
Season at home (4)78.083.0161.0-5.050%
Season away (6)93.391.0184.3+2.367%
Last 10 (10)91.189.2180.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)92.092.6184.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.786.2169.9-2.650%
vs Similar (5)88.689.0177.6-0.460%
vs Weaker (13)93.792.2185.9+1.538%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
BC WolvesNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A22/10
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/10
LKL
Besiktas
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H02/11
LKL
Gran Canaria
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A06/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A09/11
LKL
Trento
#16
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H12/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A17/11
LKL
Buducnost
#14
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A29/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
Eurocup
82.1Avg total
40.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.185.9-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.842.587.4+2.362%-
Last 30 away (17)41.143.684.7-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.082.1-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.646.082.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.943.485.3-1.550%-
vs Similar (8)40.444.184.5-3.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.042.287.2+2.867%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
85.6Avg total
43.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.485.6+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.040.984.9+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)44.441.986.4+2.564%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.385.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.685.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.540.781.2-0.250%-
vs Similar (5)47.042.089.0+5.080%-
vs Weaker (13)46.541.888.3+4.877%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.9
53.0%
55.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.2
37.6%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.920.0
80.3%
75.0%20.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.5
57.4%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.8
35.4%
35.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.616.7
73.9%
75.0%16.7
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
LLWWWWWWWW
Neptunas
WLLWWLWWWL
#4
League position
#7
+4.5
Net rating
+2.5
115.1
Offensive rating
116.2
110.6
Defensive rating
113.8
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.8%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.6%
3-point %
35.4%
62.3%
Assist %
66.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 116.2Defence110.6 · 113.8Shooting54.5% · 55.4%3-point %37.6% · 35.4%Ball care17.9% · 17.8%Off. rebounds31.3% · 34.6%Free throws0.41 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
BC Wolves wins
3
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Neptunas v BC Wolves89-74
18/05/24BC Wolves v Neptunas91-80
15/05/24Neptunas v BC Wolves95-76
13/05/24BC Wolves v Neptunas91-84
01/05/24Neptunas v BC Wolves85-86
27/01/24BC Wolves v Neptunas92-73
08/10/23Neptunas v BC Wolves66-98
07/05/23Neptunas v BC Wolves75-104
15/02/23BC Wolves v Neptunas79-63
17/11/22BC Wolves v Neptunas84-90
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24ABahcesehir Kol.74-84
29/11/24ABuducnost77-104
17/11/24ARytas82-71
12/11/24HTrento88-83
09/11/24ANevezis90-85
06/11/24AGran Canaria68-66
02/11/24HSiauliai103-93
29/10/24HBesiktas93-78
27/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas100-82
22/10/24ATrefl Sopot99-92 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24ANevezis102-101
30/11/24HJuventus63-74
27/11/24HSiauliai101-104 OT
16/11/24ANevezis83-74
13/11/24HJonava111-110 OT
10/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas70-97
06/11/24AMazeikiai91-70
02/11/24ALietkabelis89-81
30/10/24HJuventus105-74
27/10/24AMazeikiai96-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game88.393.284.4
Allowed / game83.484.282.8
Point differential+4.9+9.0+1.6
Avg total171.8177.5167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game87.278.093.3
Allowed / game87.883.091.0
Point differential-0.6-5.0+2.3
Avg total175.0161.0184.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas108280%89.971.5+18.4
2 Rytas108280%92.385.2+7.1
3 BC Wolves96367%88.383.4+4.9
4 Neptunas106460%87.287.8-0.6
5 Lietkabelis116555%82.181.0+1.1
6 Juventus105550%80.276.6+3.6
7 Jonava105550%86.391.1-4.8
8 Siauliai104640%91.698.9-7.3
9 Nevezis112918%84.388.6-4.4
10 Mazeikiai111109%80.496.0-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves36242022102
Neptunas142574086
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