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Ulm vs Heidelberg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 67-69
20-22 28-11 12-17 7-19
Position#2
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#4
Record7-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game79.8
GermanyBBLRound 11· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Ulm v Heidelberg
24 Jan 2026
ULM77
HEI79
14 Dec 2024
ULM67
HEI69
22 Dec 2023
ULM98
HEI89
11 Feb 2023
ULM92
HEI84
12 Apr 2022
ULM90
HEI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Heidelberg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Trento
#16
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 78
H30/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#13
W
82-72
82
72
+10
74avg 78
H02/11
BBL
Buducnost
#14
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
96avg 78
A06/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
79avg 78
A09/11
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
59avg 78
H13/11
Eurocup
Gottingen
#17
W
109-70
109
70
+39
117avg 78
H17/11
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 78
A28/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
95-75
95
75
+20
94avg 78
A01/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
83-69
83
69
+14
75avg 78
H03/12
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
102-88
102
88
+14
100avg 78
A11/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
15-21
35-23
16-18
25-12
14-27
21-17
22-16
22-25
20-19
20-26
26-18
22-22
22-25
27-22
17-27
16-13
20-28
16-15
20-24
26-14
34-21
27-22
22-13
19-28
23-20
19-17
21-15
11-23
31-17
24-16
29-19
19-19
19-21
20-12
25-17
32-16
24-26
29-28
17-18
171.4Avg total
89.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.878.4163.2+6.378%
Season at home (5)84.871.2156.0+13.6100%
Season away (4)84.887.5172.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)89.781.7171.4+8.070%
Last 5 (5)94.276.4170.6+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.080.3156.3-4.333%
vs Similar (12)85.288.4173.7-3.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.474.4158.7+10.093%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
108-93
108
93
+15
105avg 71
A03/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
72-65
72
65
+7
67avg 71
A05/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
78-73
78
73
+5
72avg 71
H13/10
German Cup
Bonn
#14
L
76-95
76
95
-19
54avg 71
H20/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
95-72
95
72
+23
99avg 71
A26/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
67-72
67
72
-5
55avg 71
H02/11
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
95-73
95
73
+22
90avg 71
A09/11
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 71
H15/11
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 71
H30/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
85-100
85
100
-15
78avg 71
A07/12
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
29-26
25-25
24-27
19-15
19-16
13-17
21-17
19-10
23-25
15-15
21-23
22-29
22-16
16-24
16-26
20-16
23-23
28-12
24-21
19-11
8-20
23-26
17-15
23-20
18-17
21-18
33-18
26-10
11-22
11-22
25-14
14-18
21-21
23-24
28-18
18-34
17-21
27-29
23-16
162.7Avg total
83.5Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.479.8163.2+3.670%
Season at home (5)76.478.0154.4-1.660%
Season away (5)90.481.6172.0+8.880%
Last 10 (10)83.579.2162.7+4.370%
Last 5 (5)81.278.8160.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.590.5171.0-10.133%
vs Similar (11)85.786.4172.1-0.655%
vs Weaker (2)95.072.5167.5+22.5100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
UlmHeidelberg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#16
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H30/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/11
BBL
Buducnost
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A09/11
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H13/11
Eurocup
Gottingen
#17
W
60-35
60
35
+25
H17/11
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A28/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A01/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#20
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H03/12
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A11/12
Eurocup
84.9Avg total
43.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.481.4+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.836.577.3+4.246%-
Last 30 away (17)41.143.484.5-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.784.9+1.530%-
Last 5 (5)47.641.088.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.042.080.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (12)40.144.985.0-4.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.635.877.4+5.964%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A03/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A05/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H13/10
German Cup
Bonn
#14
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H20/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H02/11
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A09/11
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H15/11
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H30/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A07/12
German Cup
78.6Avg total
40.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.585.6-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.641.182.7+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)42.545.988.4-3.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.578.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.873.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.745.685.3-5.927%-
vs Similar (11)45.343.188.4+2.255%-
vs Weaker (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.3
55.1%
52.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.6
40.6%
33.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.115.3
80.1%
73.5%15.3
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.7
53.2%
52.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.18.3
37.6%
33.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.816.2
81.8%
73.5%16.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWWLLLWW
Heidelberg
LWWWLWLWWW
#2
League position
#4
+10.7
Net rating
+5.6
118.9
Offensive rating
113.6
108.2
Defensive rating
108.0
57.7%
Effective FG%
54.3%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
20.5%
Turnover %
17.5%
37.8%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.6%
3-point %
37.6%
60.2%
Assist %
55.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 113.6Defence108.2 · 108.0Shooting57.7% · 54.3%3-point %40.6% · 37.6%Ball care20.5% · 17.5%Off. rebounds37.8% · 31.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Heidelberg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ulm wins
0
Heidelberg wins
DateGameScore
04/05/24Heidelberg v Ulm57-73
22/12/23Ulm v Heidelberg98-89
11/02/23Ulm v Heidelberg92-84
20/11/22Heidelberg v Ulm96-106 OT
12/04/22Ulm v Heidelberg90-74
27/12/21Heidelberg v Ulm79-84
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24AJoventut Badalona102-88
03/12/24HTrefl Sopot83-69
01/12/24ABonn95-75
28/11/24AHapoel Tel-Aviv82-80
17/11/24HGottingen109-70
13/11/24HBahcesehir Kol.72-80
09/11/24AAlba Berlin88-96
06/11/24ABuducnost100-105 OT
02/11/24HHamburg82-72
30/10/24HTrento84-82
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24ASyntainics MBC85-100
30/11/24HRostock86-81
15/11/24HHamburg73-68
09/11/24AGottingen95-73
02/11/24HWurzburg67-72
26/10/24AFrankfurt95-72
20/10/24HBonn76-95
13/10/24HChemnitz78-73
05/10/24ABasketball Braunschweig72-65
03/10/24ASyntainics MBC108-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game84.884.884.8
Allowed / game78.471.287.5
Point differential+6.3+13.6-2.8
Avg total163.2156.0172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Heidelberg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game83.476.490.4
Allowed / game79.878.081.6
Point differential+3.6-1.6+8.8
Avg total163.2154.4172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%0%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulm97278%84.878.4+6.3
2 Heidelberg107370%83.479.8+3.6
3 Wurzburg96367%80.873.1+7.7
4 Bayern96367%80.474.3+6.1
5 Chemnitz96367%80.078.1+1.9
6 Ludwigsburg95456%77.173.2+3.9
7 Syntainics MBC95456%85.884.0+1.8
8 Basketball Braunschweig95456%76.475.6+0.9
9 Bonn95456%83.184.2-1.1
10 Vechta95456%82.083.7-1.7
11 Rostock94544%77.276.0+1.2
12 Oldenburg94544%84.685.1-0.6
13 Hamburg83538%81.982.4-0.5
14 Alba Berlin93633%82.982.8+0.1
15 Bamberg82625%80.586.1-5.6
16 Frankfurt102820%77.684.3-6.7
17 Gottingen81712%77.197.0-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm202812767
Heidelberg2211171969
← all games of the day
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