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Alba Berlin vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 96-88
22-22 25-22 22-27 27-17
Position#6
Record2-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#2
Record5-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game77.5
GermanyBBLRound 8· Uber Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Ulm
25 Oct 2026
ABE98
ULM82
20 Dec 2025
ABE66
ULM67
19 Oct 2025
ABE90
ULM68
21 May 2025
ABE62
ULM74
09 Nov 2024
ABE96
ULM88
17 Feb 2024
ABE79
ULM87
04 Feb 2024
ABE98
ULM88
19 May 2023
ABE81
ULM93
14 May 2023
ABE64
ULM88
30 Apr 2023
ABE91
ULM79
15 Apr 2022
ABE78
ULM73
01 Jun 2021
ABE92
ULM78
30 May 2021
ABE71
ULM73
19 Dec 2020
ABE93
ULM83
03 Nov 2019
ABE109
ULM89
26 May 2019
ABE v ULM
upcoming
18 May 2019
ABE107
ULM78
02 Apr 2019
ABE92
ULM81
01 May 2018
ABE102
ULM73
03 Oct 2016
ABE94
ULM98
01 Oct 2015
ABE74
ULM54
12 Oct 2014
ABE88
ULM68
15 May 2014
ABE64
ULM71
10 May 2014
ABE86
ULM66
30 Mar 2014
ABE86
ULM80
16 Nov 2013
ABE102
ULM74
20 Oct 2012
ABE80
ULM88
23 Dec 2011
ABE89
ULM58
09 Mar 2011
ABE100
ULM90
25 Oct 2009
ABE78
ULM56
25 Mar 2009
ABE84
ULM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
76avg 76
A13/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
82avg 76
H15/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
68avg 76
H17/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
76avg 76
H20/10
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
57-80
57
80
-23
48avg 76
A24/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
65-61
65
61
+4
57avg 76
H27/10
BBL
Paris
#9
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 76
H29/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
70-86
70
86
-16
61avg 76
H31/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 76
A03/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
71-92
71
92
-21
65avg 76
A07/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
11-17
22-19
25-12
20-13
16-23
28-18
20-25
16-15
15-23
16-20
24-20
21-21
20-16
19-25
18-19
13-24
13-15
14-24
17-17
17-14
20-17
17-9
11-21
26-16
18-21
19-28
20-27
19-25
16-26
17-17
18-18
18-18
16-21
24-22
24-26
14-23
18-18
18-22
21-29
154.6Avg total
73.6Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.881.2164.0+1.733%
Season at home (3)82.770.7153.3+12.067%
Season away (3)83.091.7174.7-8.70%
Last 10 (10)73.681.0154.6-7.430%
Last 5 (5)74.283.6157.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.484.0157.4-10.622%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.175.5152.5+1.655%
vs Weaker (10)89.580.2169.7+9.360%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
63-62
63
62
+1
60avg 78
H05/10
BBL
BC Wolves
#10
W
94-76
94
76
+18
91avg 78
A08/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
L
100-103
100
103
-3
100avg 78
A12/10
German Cup
Besiktas
#9
L
74-107
74
107
-33
60avg 78
A14/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
L
66-93
66
93
-27
53avg 78
A19/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#4
L
78-125
78
125
-47
72avg 78
A22/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
74avg 78
H26/10
BBL
Trento
#16
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 78
H30/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#13
W
82-72
82
72
+10
74avg 78
H02/11
BBL
Buducnost
#14
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
96avg 78
A06/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
22-18
15-7
14-18
21-20
24-21
23-25
26-10
31-21
20-25
18-25
31-32
9-31
19-30
21-28
25-18
14-25
15-21
12-25
25-22
22-36
15-32
23-29
18-28
25-18
25-14
16-26
19-18
18-20
15-21
35-23
16-18
25-12
14-27
21-17
22-16
22-25
20-19
20-26
26-18
172.7Avg total
82.6Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.577.5156.0+1.083%
Season at home (4)78.871.5150.2+7.2100%
Season away (2)78.089.5167.5-11.550%
Last 10 (10)82.690.1172.7-7.550%
Last 5 (5)85.892.0177.8-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.081.0155.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.284.8169.0-0.546%
vs Weaker (15)86.276.3162.5+9.993%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
Alba BerlinUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A13/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H15/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H17/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H20/10
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A24/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/10
BBL
Paris
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H29/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H31/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/11
Euroleague
73.6Avg total
34.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.978.9-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.738.678.3+1.159%-
Last 30 away (13)38.241.679.8-3.523%-
Last 10 (10)34.439.273.6-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.876.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.941.475.3-7.611%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.239.078.2+0.255%-
vs Weaker (10)43.539.583.0+4.060%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/10
BBL
BC Wolves
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A12/10
German Cup
Besiktas
#9
L
28-61
28
61
-33
A14/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A19/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#4
L
37-68
37
68
-31
A22/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H26/10
BBL
Trento
#16
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H30/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/11
BBL
Buducnost
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/11
Eurocup
84.3Avg total
38.8Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.482.0+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.138.180.3+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)41.142.483.6-1.356%-
Last 10 (10)38.845.584.3-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.885.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.037.073.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.744.585.2-3.846%-
vs Weaker (15)42.136.778.9+5.467%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.6
53.5%
52.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.26.8
28.1%
33.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.911.4
67.5%
73.5%11.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.6
49.7%
52.3%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.3
39.5%
33.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.5%14.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLLLWLLLWW
Ulm
LWWWLLLLWW
#6
League position
#2
-9.4
Net rating
-10.4
100.9
Offensive rating
107.3
110.3
Defensive rating
117.7
49.1%
Effective FG%
54.1%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
20.4%
Turnover %
21.7%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.1%
3-point %
39.5%
62.8%
Assist %
62.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 107.3Defence110.3 · 117.7Shooting49.1% · 54.1%3-point %28.1% · 39.5%Ball care20.4% · 21.7%Off. rebounds33.6% · 33.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alba Berlin wins
5
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm79-87
04/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm98-88
07/10/23Ulm v Alba Berlin100-88
24/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin83-81
19/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm81-93
17/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin77-91
14/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm64-88
30/04/23Alba Berlin v Ulm91-79
18/12/22Ulm v Alba Berlin83-110
15/04/22Alba Berlin v Ulm78-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24ACrvena zvezda71-92
03/11/24ABamberg82-87
31/10/24HAnadolu Efes70-86
29/10/24HParis83-92
27/10/24HBasketball Braunschweig65-61
24/10/24ABaskonia57-80
20/10/24HChemnitz78-81
17/10/24HFenerbahce71-78
15/10/24HLyon-Villeurbanne84-79
13/10/24ACrailsheim Merlins75-74
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/24ABuducnost100-105 OT
02/11/24HHamburg82-72
30/10/24HTrento84-82
26/10/24HVechta85-76
22/10/24AGran Canaria78-125
19/10/24AOldenburg66-93
14/10/24ABesiktas74-107
12/10/24ABamberg100-103
08/10/24ABC Wolves94-76
05/10/24HLudwigsburg63-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game82.882.783.0
Allowed / game81.270.791.7
Point differential+1.7+12.0-8.7
Avg total164.0153.3174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game78.578.878.0
Allowed / game77.571.589.5
Point differential+1.0+7.2-11.5
Avg total156.0150.2167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulm65183%78.577.5+1.0
2 Bayern75271%79.174.0+5.1
3 Chemnitz64267%79.777.7+2.0
4 Wurzburg53260%80.074.4+5.6
5 Bonn53260%87.083.0+4.0
6 Ludwigsburg74357%76.972.6+4.3
7 Rostock74357%78.675.6+3.0
8 Syntainics MBC74357%86.183.7+2.4
9 Heidelberg74357%82.982.3+0.6
10 Oldenburg63350%81.781.8-0.2
11 Vechta73443%80.683.3-2.7
12 Basketball Braunschweig52340%77.075.0+2.0
13 Alba Berlin62433%82.881.2+1.7
14 Hamburg62433%82.784.7-2.0
15 Frankfurt62433%74.278.2-4.0
16 Bamberg62433%77.082.2-5.2
17 Gottingen5050%75.496.8-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2225222796
Ulm2222271788
← all games of the day
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