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Ulm vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-72
25-12 14-27 21-17 22-16
Position#2
Record4-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game78.6
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#13
Record2-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game85.2
GermanyBBLRound 7· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Ulm v Hamburg
06 Feb 2027
ULM v HAM
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
ULM81
HAM72
02 Nov 2024
ULM82
HAM72
13 Feb 2024
ULM83
HAM70
09 Apr 2023
ULM112
HAM78
12 Dec 2021
ULM78
HAM74
03 Mar 2021
ULM89
HAM76
24 Nov 2019
ULM102
HAM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
85-76
85
76
+9
77avg 78
H28/09
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
87-83
87
83
+4
78avg 78
H01/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
63-62
63
62
+1
60avg 78
H05/10
BBL
BC Wolves
#10
W
94-76
94
76
+18
91avg 78
A08/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
L
100-103
100
103
-3
100avg 78
A12/10
German Cup
Besiktas
#9
L
74-107
74
107
-33
60avg 78
A14/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
L
66-93
66
93
-27
53avg 78
A19/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#4
L
78-125
78
125
-47
72avg 78
A22/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
74avg 78
H26/10
BBL
Trento
#16
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 78
H30/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
21-15
28-21
23-25
25-17
18-19
16-16
28-31
12-19
22-18
15-7
14-18
21-20
24-21
23-25
26-10
31-21
20-25
18-25
31-32
9-31
19-30
21-28
25-18
14-25
15-21
12-25
25-22
22-36
15-32
23-29
18-28
25-18
25-14
16-26
19-18
18-20
15-21
35-23
16-18
169.9Avg total
81.6Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.878.6156.4-0.880%
Season at home (3)77.771.3149.0+6.3100%
Season away (2)78.089.5167.5-11.550%
Last 10 (10)81.688.3169.9-6.760%
Last 5 (5)77.496.6174.0-19.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.081.0155.0-7.00%
vs Similar (14)82.683.4166.0-0.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.576.6163.1+9.993%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#12
L
80-100
80
100
-20
76avg 77
H24/09
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
80avg 77
A29/09
BBL
Valencia
#1
L
78-105
78
105
-27
71avg 77
A02/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
86avg 77
H06/10
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
74-89
74
89
-15
65avg 77
A09/10
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
67-103
67
103
-36
53avg 77
H15/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
80avg 77
A18/10
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 77
A22/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
75-96
75
96
-21
64avg 77
H26/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
W
89-77
89
77
+12
78avg 77
H29/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-35
24-29
21-18
19-18
21-21
20-21
19-16
20-23
29-30
15-22
21-30
13-23
21-23
20-20
19-21
27-14
18-21
19-25
17-13
20-30
16-19
11-28
21-34
19-22
21-23
23-24
19-24
22-20
16-22
15-24
17-16
20-18
17-21
13-28
17-19
28-28
27-18
16-21
22-12
24-26
168.3Avg total
78.3Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.885.2170.0-0.440%
Season at home (3)86.384.7171.0+1.767%
Season away (2)82.586.0168.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)78.390.0168.3-11.720%
Last 5 (5)76.889.4166.2-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.187.8164.9-10.714%
vs Similar (9)84.487.1171.6-2.744%
vs Weaker (6)92.880.0172.8+12.883%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
UlmHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H28/09
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H01/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/10
BBL
BC Wolves
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A12/10
German Cup
Besiktas
#9
L
28-61
28
61
-33
A14/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A19/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#4
L
37-68
37
68
-31
A22/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H26/10
BBL
Trento
#16
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H30/10
Eurocup
82.2Avg total
38.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.082.0+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.638.980.6+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)40.442.883.2-2.356%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.882.2-5.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.449.685.0-14.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.037.073.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (14)39.345.384.6-6.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.436.678.9+5.871%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#12
L
40-64
40
64
-24
H24/09
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A29/09
BBL
Valencia
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A02/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H06/10
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A09/10
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H15/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A18/10
BBL
Venezia
#11
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A22/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H26/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/10
Eurocup
85.3Avg total
37.8Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.984.9-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.142.383.5-1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)40.945.586.3-4.620%-
Last 10 (10)37.847.585.3-9.710%-
Last 5 (5)35.045.680.6-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.945.382.2-8.414%-
vs Similar (9)42.846.389.1-3.633%-
vs Weaker (6)48.737.386.0+11.383%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.715.7
48.0%
52.3%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.2
38.5%
33.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.615.6
72.2%
73.5%15.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.8
54.6%
52.3%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.1
34.5%
33.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.111.6
72.0%
73.5%11.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWLLLLWWWW
Hamburg
WLLLLLWLLL
#2
League position
#13
-9.1
Net rating
-15.6
106.5
Offensive rating
101.4
115.6
Defensive rating
116.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.2%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
20.4%
Turnover %
22.3%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.5%
3-point %
34.5%
65.1%
Assist %
67.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 101.4Defence115.6 · 116.9Shooting52.6% · 53.2%3-point %38.5% · 34.5%Ball care20.4% · 22.3%Off. rebounds31.9% · 27.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Ulm   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Ulm wins
0
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
13/02/24Ulm v Hamburg83-70
21/10/23Hamburg v Ulm78-94
09/04/23Ulm v Hamburg112-78
07/01/23Hamburg v Ulm65-80
29/01/22Hamburg v Ulm90-91
12/12/21Ulm v Hamburg78-74
03/03/21Ulm v Hamburg89-76
13/12/20Hamburg v Ulm69-73
24/11/19Ulm v Hamburg102-69
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/24HTrento84-82
26/10/24HVechta85-76
22/10/24AGran Canaria78-125
19/10/24AOldenburg66-93
14/10/24ABesiktas74-107
12/10/24ABamberg100-103
08/10/24ABC Wolves94-76
05/10/24HLudwigsburg63-62
01/10/24HJoventut Badalona87-83
28/09/24HWurzburg85-76
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/24HTurk Telekom89-77
26/10/24HSyntainics MBC75-96
22/10/24AVenezia68-80
18/10/24AWurzburg85-91
15/10/24HCluj-Napoca67-103
09/10/24AHapoel Jerusalem74-89
06/10/24HOldenburg87-78
02/10/24AValencia78-105
29/09/24ABayern80-81
24/09/24HJL Bourg80-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game77.877.778.0
Allowed / game78.671.389.5
Point differential-0.8+6.3-11.5
Avg total156.4149.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game84.886.382.5
Allowed / game85.284.786.0
Point differential-0.4+1.7-3.5
Avg total170.0171.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulm54180%77.878.6-0.8
2 Ludwigsburg64267%76.871.5+5.3
3 Bayern64267%77.374.3+3.0
4 Wurzburg53260%80.074.4+5.6
5 Bonn53260%87.083.0+4.0
6 Oldenburg53260%82.679.8+2.8
7 Chemnitz53260%76.475.6+0.8
8 Rostock74357%78.675.6+3.0
9 Heidelberg74357%82.982.3+0.6
10 Basketball Braunschweig42250%78.271.2+7.0
11 Syntainics MBC63350%85.284.8+0.3
12 Alba Berlin52340%83.080.0+3.0
13 Hamburg52340%84.885.2-0.4
14 Frankfurt62433%74.278.2-4.0
15 Bamberg41325%69.277.5-8.2
16 Vechta51420%76.881.6-4.8
17 Gottingen4040%72.297.0-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2514212282
Hamburg1227171672
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