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Ulm vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 72-86
15-32 19-21 20-18 18-15
Position#15
Record7-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#11
Record7-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game84.6
EuropeEurocupRound 17
European cup2021
Meetings · Ulm v Bursaspor
01 Feb 2023
ULM92
BUR86
29 Mar 2022
ULM72
BUR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#11
W
86-78
86
78
+8
85avg 81
H07/02
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
96-104
96
104
-8
94avg 81
H09/02
Eurocup
Gottingen
#10
L
87-91
87
91
-4
80avg 81
A12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
59-78
59
78
-19
49avg 81
H15/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
92-86
92
86
+6
89avg 81
H18/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
88-76
88
76
+12
87avg 81
A04/03
BBL
Promitheas
#18
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
A08/03
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#6
L
93-94
93
94
-1
91avg 81
H15/03
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#17
W
85-72
85
72
+13
86avg 81
A22/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
61-58
61
58
+3
50avg 81
A25/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
17-14
27-24
22-22
34-28
21-22
15-23
26-31
28-22
10-29
21-17
28-23
16-26
17-17
16-19
10-16
20-21
19-21
26-19
27-25
17-21
30-25
13-14
28-16
17-19
11-17
10-22
30-21
26-26
18-22
22-23
27-23
20-21
18-17
19-13
28-21
12-12
14-13
12-20
23-13
163.1Avg total
81.5Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.381.8165.1+1.644%
Season at home (8)84.183.5167.6+0.638%
Season away (8)82.580.0162.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)81.581.6163.1-0.150%
Last 5 (5)79.075.8154.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)86.684.3170.9+2.343%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.777.2158.8+4.575%
vs Weaker (11)81.778.2159.9+3.564%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#15
W
81-65
81
65
+16
75avg 77
A16/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
80-86 OT
80
86
-6
no box
A19/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
94-98
94
98
-4
84avg 77
A03/03
Eurocup
Tofas
#9
W
90-83
90
83
+7
83avg 77
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#6
L
81-87
81
87
-6
79avg 77
A09/03
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#17
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 77
H15/03
Eurocup
Venezia
#14
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 77
H18/03
Eurocup
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
91-70
91
70
+21
96avg 77
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#4
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
H23/03
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#5
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 77
H26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
17-21
25-13
23-15
18-22
20-15
13-12
24-26
23-14
21-37
29-27
21-20
33-20
20-12
18-28
19-23
26-24
16-28
18-19
21-16
17-25
27-28
28-19
24-17
27-17
14-18
23-18
16-13
32-18
18-15
24-15
17-22
21-18
22-22
21-26
28-23
17-22
28-15
21-23
17-21
168.2Avg total
86.8Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.284.6165.8-3.444%
Season at home (8)84.182.0166.1+2.175%
Season away (8)78.287.1165.4-8.912%
Last 10 (10)86.881.4168.2+5.470%
Last 5 (5)88.479.0167.4+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.492.4176.9-8.014%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.580.5161.9+1.062%
vs Weaker (10)86.574.3160.8+12.270%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
UlmBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H07/02
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H09/02
Eurocup
Gottingen
#10
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H15/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H18/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A04/03
BBL
Promitheas
#18
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A08/03
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H15/03
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#17
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A22/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A25/03
BBL
79.6Avg total
38.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.580.6+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.637.479.0+4.267%-
Last 30 away (15)42.639.582.1+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.179.6-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.675.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)46.036.982.9+9.186%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.038.080.0+4.067%-
vs Weaker (11)39.740.079.7-0.345%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A16/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A19/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A03/03
Eurocup
Tofas
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A09/03
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#17
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H15/03
Eurocup
Venezia
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H18/03
Eurocup
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H23/03
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.0Avg total
43.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.583.7+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.839.382.1+3.577%-
Last 30 away (17)43.641.484.9+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)43.340.784.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.684.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.948.089.9-6.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.740.283.9+3.562%-
vs Weaker (10)43.635.579.1+8.190%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.0
56.4%
52.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.2
38.5%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.514.9
72.7%
74.8%14.9
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.620.6
59.5%
52.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.2
39.8%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.315.9
86.9%
74.8%15.9
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWLLWWLLLW
Bursaspor
WWWWWLWLLW
#15
League position
#11
-0.1
Net rating
+11.5
111.4
Offensive rating
124.0
111.5
Defensive rating
112.5
56.9%
Effective FG%
59.6%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
19.8%
Turnover %
15.4%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.5%
3-point %
39.8%
64.9%
Assist %
59.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 124.0Defence111.5 · 112.5Shooting56.9% · 59.6%3-point %38.5% · 39.8%Ball care19.8% · 15.4%Off. rebounds29.4% · 29.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
1
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
21/12/21Bursaspor v Ulm68-66
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/22AFrankfurt61-58
22/03/22AJL Bourg85-72
15/03/22HGran Canaria93-94
08/03/22APromitheas68-79
04/03/22As.Oliver Wurzburg88-76
18/02/22Hs.Oliver Wurzburg92-86
15/02/22HBasketball Braunschweig59-78
12/02/22AGottingen87-91
09/02/22HCedevita Olimpija96-104
07/02/22HOldenburg86-78
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/22HDarussafaka83-81
23/03/22HValencia92-89
21/03/22ABuyukcekmece91-70
18/03/22HVenezia80-66
15/03/22HJL Bourg96-89
09/03/22AGran Canaria81-87
06/03/22ATofas90-83
03/03/22AVirtus Bologna94-98
19/02/22ABesiktas80-86 OT
16/02/22AYalovaspor81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWLWLL38%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%38%50%
Points / game83.384.182.5
Allowed / game81.883.580.0
Point differential+1.6+0.6+2.5
Avg total165.1167.6162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Bursaspor
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW44%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%75%12%
Points / game81.284.178.2
Allowed / game84.682.087.1
Point differential-3.4+2.1-8.9
Avg total165.8166.1165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joventut Badalona1612475%81.270.5+10.8
2 Gran Canaria1612475%82.976.8+6.1
3 Partizan1611569%85.577.6+7.9
4 Valencia1611569%86.581.1+5.4
5 Lokomotiv Kuban128467%90.485.8+4.7
6 Boulogne-Levallois1610662%83.481.5+1.9
7 Virtus Bologna169756%84.983.1+1.9
8 Cedevita Olimpija169756%87.285.4+1.8
9 MoraBanc Andorra169756%80.879.8+1.1
10 Buducnost169756%78.278.7-0.5
11 Lietkabelis158753%78.575.4+3.1
12 Turk Telekom157847%75.179.5-4.3
13 Ulm167944%83.381.8+1.6
14 Venezia167944%76.977.7-0.8
15 Bursaspor167944%81.284.6-3.4
16 Hamburg146843%84.588.7-4.2
17 JL Bourg1651131%79.581.8-2.2
18 Promitheas1641225%73.182.9-9.8
19 Slask Wroclaw1531220%73.182.5-9.5
20 Trento151147%72.584.7-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1519201872
Bursaspor3221181586
← all games of the day
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