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Tofas vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 83-90
20-33 12-20 28-18 23-19
Position#9
Record12-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#6
Record10-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game79.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 22
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Tofas v Bursaspor
01 Jan 2027
TOF v BUR
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
TOF84
BUR70
03 Nov 2024
TOF94
BUR71
03 Dec 2023
TOF91
BUR85
07 Jan 2023
TOF82
BUR83
06 Mar 2022
TOF83
BUR90
07 Feb 2021
TOF84
BUR77
12 Jan 2020
TOF109
BUR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#11
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
no box
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
89-87
89
87
+2
86avg 81
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
W
81-65
81
65
+16
73avg 81
H23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
W
91-81
91
81
+10
no box
H25/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#13
W
91-83
91
83
+8
86avg 81
A29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#3
W
74-68
74
68
+6
67avg 81
H02/02
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
78-96
78
96
-18
75avg 81
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Treviso
#14
W
92-51
92
51
+41
no box
A08/02
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
65avg 81
A13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
H15/02
Turkish Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
21-19
32-14
14-28
20-24
20-22
26-21
23-20
20-20
21-17
13-23
27-5
17-31
30-17
21-17
23-16
20-27
22-18
22-21
27-17
20-20
22-14
8-17
24-17
13-21
20-30
23-21
22-24
23-10
23-14
28-11
18-16
15-29
23-16
21-20
18-19
25-16
23-21
16-15
12-24
165.7Avg total
85.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.982.5168.3+3.457%
Season at home (11)91.082.8173.8+8.255%
Season away (10)80.282.1162.3-1.960%
Last 10 (10)85.680.1165.7+5.570%
Last 5 (5)81.878.4160.2+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.082.0154.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.280.3160.6-0.150%
vs Weaker (12)92.879.7172.4+13.183%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
L
68-86
68
86
-18
56avg 75
A06/01
Eurocup
Buducnost
#10
L
82-83
82
83
-1
74avg 75
A12/01
Eurocup
Merkezefendi
#14
W
90-67
90
67
+23
84avg 75
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
86-103
86
103
-17
66avg 75
A02/02
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#1
L
96-99
96
99
-3
99avg 75
A06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Promitheas
#18
W
87-76
87
76
+11
79avg 75
H08/02
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#3
W
99-78
99
78
+21
85avg 75
H12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
W
81-65
81
65
+16
75avg 75
A16/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
80-86 OT
80
86
-6
no box
A19/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
94-98
94
98
-4
84avg 75
A03/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-23
20-19
21-20
20-24
29-18
23-24
21-16
9-25
26-20
17-17
27-12
20-18
32-33
19-26
19-20
16-24
20-27
28-20
22-26
26-26
23-17
21-26
26-19
17-14
25-23
26-12
18-25
30-18
16-16
17-21
25-13
23-15
18-22
20-15
13-12
24-26
23-14
21-37
29-27
21-20
170.4Avg total
86.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.979.0161.9+4.050%
Season at home (9)84.977.2162.1+7.778%
Season away (11)81.380.4161.6+0.927%
Last 10 (10)86.384.1170.4+2.240%
Last 5 (5)88.280.6168.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.891.1175.9-6.425%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.280.3157.5-3.242%
vs Weaker (10)84.774.9159.6+9.860%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
TofasBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H25/01
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H02/02
Champions League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Treviso
#14
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A08/02
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/02
Turkish Cup
81.6Avg total
41.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.984.2+2.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.141.287.3+4.959%-
Last 30 away (13)39.640.580.1-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.581.6+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.279.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.044.079.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.041.683.6+0.450%-
vs Weaker (12)45.339.985.2+5.442%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A06/01
Eurocup
Buducnost
#10
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A12/01
Eurocup
Merkezefendi
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A02/02
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Promitheas
#18
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H08/02
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#3
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A16/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A19/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A03/03
Eurocup
86.1Avg total
43.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.783.7+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.583.7+2.669%-
Last 30 away (17)41.142.683.7-1.541%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.086.1+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.682.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.447.691.0-4.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.742.082.7-1.342%-
vs Weaker (10)42.536.679.1+5.980%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.124.0
57.0%
53.2%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.89.1
39.9%
36.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.713.6
81.4%
75.6%13.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.4
55.4%
53.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.1
40.2%
36.5%33.3
🏀 Free throws15.912.3
77.4%
75.6%12.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLWLWWWWWW
Bursaspor
LLWWWLLWLL
#9
League position
#6
+19.5
Net rating
+3.9
119.8
Offensive rating
116.7
100.2
Defensive rating
112.8
58.0%
Effective FG%
57.6%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.0%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.9%
3-point %
40.2%
68.3%
Assist %
56.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 116.7Defence100.2 · 112.8Shooting58.0% · 57.6%3-point %39.9% · 40.2%Ball care15.5% · 15.0%Off. rebounds29.6% · 27.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Tofas   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tofas wins
3
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
06/11/21Bursaspor v Tofas87-75
07/02/21Tofas v Bursaspor84-77
24/10/20Bursaspor v Tofas83-70
12/01/20Tofas v Bursaspor109-59
29/09/19Bursaspor v Tofas80-76
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/22HFenerbahce88-93 OT
13/02/22AAnadolu Efes77-84
08/02/22ATreviso92-51
05/02/22HBahcesehir Kol.78-96
02/02/22HManresa74-68
29/01/22APetkim Spor91-83
25/01/22HDarussafaka91-81
23/01/22HDarussafaka81-65
15/01/22ABuyukcekmece89-87
08/01/22HTurk Telekom95-93 OT
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/22AVirtus Bologna94-98
19/02/22ABesiktas80-86 OT
16/02/22AYalovaspor81-65
12/02/22HGalatasaray99-78
08/02/22HPromitheas87-76
06/02/22AFenerbahce96-99
02/02/22ACedevita Olimpija86-103
15/01/22HMerkezefendi90-67
12/01/22ABuducnost82-83
06/01/22AValencia68-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeLWWWL55%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%55%60%
Points / game85.991.080.2
Allowed / game82.582.882.1
Point differential+3.4+8.2-1.9
Avg total168.3173.8162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %50%78%27%
Points / game82.984.981.3
Allowed / game79.077.280.4
Point differential+4.0+7.7+0.9
Avg total161.8162.1161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%44%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)50% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2117481%83.673.8+9.8
2 Anadolu Efes2016480%90.579.8+10.7
3 Darussafaka2216673%79.573.2+6.3
4 Karsiyaka2014670%81.176.2+5.0
5 Galatasaray2213959%88.982.5+6.4
6 Gaziantep2213959%80.075.2+4.8
7 Bahcesehir Kol.2213959%86.781.9+4.8
8 Tofas2112957%85.982.5+3.4
9 Besiktas22121055%76.674.8+1.8
10 Bursaspor20101050%82.979.0+4.0
11 Turk Telekom21101148%76.873.6+3.1
12 Merkezefendi2061430%75.984.2-8.3
13 Yalovaspor2161529%75.381.2-5.9
14 Buyukcekmece2251723%77.586.3-8.8
15 Afyon Belediye2241818%71.396.4-25.1
16 Petkim Spor2231914%75.085.4-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2012282383
Bursaspor3320181990
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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