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Bursaspor vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-89
21-18 22-22 21-26 28-23
Position#11
Record6-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game84.3
Bursaspor 🏆
vs
Valencia
Position#4
Record11-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeEurocupRound 16
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#18
W
87-76
87
76
+11
79avg 77
H08/02
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#3
W
99-78
99
78
+21
85avg 77
H12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
W
81-65
81
65
+16
75avg 77
A16/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
80-86 OT
80
86
-6
no box
A19/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
94-98
94
98
-4
84avg 77
A03/03
Eurocup
Tofas
#9
W
90-83
90
83
+7
83avg 77
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#6
L
81-87
81
87
-6
79avg 77
A09/03
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#17
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 77
H15/03
Eurocup
Venezia
#14
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 77
H18/03
Eurocup
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
91-70
91
70
+21
96avg 77
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
21-26
26-19
17-14
25-23
26-12
18-25
30-18
16-16
17-21
25-13
23-15
18-22
20-15
13-12
24-26
23-14
21-37
29-27
21-20
33-20
20-12
18-28
19-23
26-24
16-28
18-19
21-16
17-25
27-28
28-19
24-17
27-17
14-18
23-18
16-13
32-18
18-15
24-15
17-22
167.7Avg total
87.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.584.3164.7-3.840%
Season at home (7)83.081.0164.0+2.071%
Season away (8)78.287.1165.4-8.912%
Last 10 (10)87.979.8167.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)87.679.0166.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)84.691.7176.3-7.114%
vs Similar (13)81.581.8163.4-0.354%
vs Weaker (10)86.574.3160.8+12.270%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
94-93
94
93
+1
87avg 80
A06/02
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
83-77
83
77
+6
78avg 80
H09/02
Eurocup
Breogan
#10
L
82-99
82
99
-17
66avg 80
A13/02
ACB
Murcia
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 80
H05/03
ACB
JL Bourg
#17
W
88-77
88
77
+11
93avg 80
A08/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 80
A12/03
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 80
H14/03
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
79avg 80
H16/03
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 80
H20/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-30
20-18
23-23
20-22
24-17
16-21
12-25
31-14
16-20
27-21
22-35
17-23
14-28
19-24
31-9
19-25
21-21
19-21
24-19
22-15
26-22
16-16
16-25
30-14
17-16
17-21
9-21
25-18
22-18
28-28
16-15
24-24
11-22
26-20
27-22
22-16
19-11
19-23
25-23
18-22
166.9Avg total
84.1Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.380.3166.7+6.073%
Season at home (8)90.283.1173.4+7.175%
Season away (7)81.977.1159.0+4.771%
Last 10 (10)84.182.8166.9+1.370%
Last 5 (5)82.679.4162.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.093.0187.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (14)85.185.3170.4-0.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.176.4163.5+10.886%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
BursasporValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#18
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H08/02
Eurocup
Galatasaray
#3
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A16/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A19/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A03/03
Eurocup
Tofas
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A09/03
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#17
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H15/03
Eurocup
Venezia
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H18/03
Eurocup
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.8Avg total
44.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.184.3+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.939.882.8+3.175%-
Last 30 away (18)43.441.985.3+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.884.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.087.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.448.691.0-6.129%-
vs Similar (13)43.341.484.7+1.954%-
vs Weaker (10)43.635.579.1+8.190%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A06/02
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H09/02
Eurocup
Breogan
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/02
ACB
Murcia
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H05/03
ACB
JL Bourg
#17
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A08/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/03
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H14/03
ACB
Venezia
#14
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H16/03
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H20/03
ACB
82.6Avg total
40.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.981.6-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.241.482.6-0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)40.040.380.3-0.354%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.882.6-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.479.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.048.099.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (14)40.342.182.4-1.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.938.479.3+2.464%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.9
58.0%
52.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.311.6
44.1%
35.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws16.213.7
84.6%
74.8%13.7
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.1
52.6%
52.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.8
32.7%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.616.2
75.0%
74.8%16.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
WWWLWLLWWW
Valencia
WWWLWWLLWW
#11
League position
#4
+11.2
Net rating
+2.4
123.9
Offensive rating
111.6
112.7
Defensive rating
109.2
61.6%
Effective FG%
51.2%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
38.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
44.1%
3-point %
32.7%
60.3%
Assist %
62.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence123.9 · 111.6Defence112.7 · 109.2Shooting61.6% · 51.2%3-point %44.1% · 32.7%Ball care15.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.5% · 38.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bursaspor wins
1
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
06/01/22Valencia v Bursaspor86-68
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/22ABuyukcekmece91-70
18/03/22HVenezia80-66
15/03/22HJL Bourg96-89
09/03/22AGran Canaria81-87
06/03/22ATofas90-83
03/03/22AVirtus Bologna94-98
19/02/22ABesiktas80-86 OT
16/02/22AYalovaspor81-65
12/02/22HGalatasaray99-78
08/02/22HPromitheas87-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/22HBasket Zaragoza81-79
16/03/22HVenezia86-80
14/03/22HManresa90-85
12/03/22AJoventut Badalona68-76
08/03/22AJL Bourg88-77
05/03/22HBarcelona86-76
18/02/22HMurcia83-86
13/02/22ABreogan82-99
09/02/22HVirtus Bologna83-77
06/02/22AReal Madrid94-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW40%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%71%12%
Points / game80.583.078.2
Allowed / game84.381.087.1
Point differential-3.8+2.0-8.9
Avg total164.7164.0165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Valencia
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%75%71%
Points / game86.390.281.9
Allowed / game80.383.177.1
Point differential+6.0+7.1+4.7
Avg total166.7173.4159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joventut Badalona1512380%81.569.5+12.0
2 Valencia1511473%86.380.3+6.0
3 Gran Canaria1511473%82.877.7+5.1
4 Partizan1611569%85.577.6+7.9
5 Lokomotiv Kuban128467%90.485.8+4.7
6 Boulogne-Levallois159660%83.381.7+1.5
7 Buducnost159660%79.178.3+0.8
8 MoraBanc Andorra169756%80.879.8+1.1
9 Lietkabelis158753%78.575.4+3.1
10 Cedevita Olimpija158753%86.085.1+0.9
11 Virtus Bologna158753%85.184.5+0.5
12 Venezia157847%76.075.9+0.1
13 Turk Telekom157847%75.179.5-4.3
14 Ulm167944%83.381.8+1.6
15 Hamburg146843%84.588.7-4.2
16 Bursaspor156940%80.584.3-3.8
17 JL Bourg1651131%79.581.8-2.2
18 Promitheas1541127%73.982.9-9.0
19 Slask Wroclaw1531220%73.182.5-9.5
20 Trento151147%72.584.7-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bursaspor2122212892
Valencia1822262389
← all games of the day
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