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Tofas vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 82-83
21-20 22-22 16-21 23-20
Position#6
Record6-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#5
Record9-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game76.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 14
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Tofas v Bursaspor
01 Jan 2027
TOF v BUR
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
TOF84
BUR70
03 Nov 2024
TOF94
BUR71
03 Dec 2023
TOF91
BUR85
07 Jan 2023
TOF82
BUR83
06 Mar 2022
TOF83
BUR90
07 Feb 2021
TOF84
BUR77
12 Jan 2020
TOF109
BUR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#10
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 76
H22/11
Champions League
Gaziantep
#15
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
no box
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Szombathely
#31
W
77-64
77
64
+13
71avg 76
A07/12
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
77-87
77
87
-10
71avg 76
H21/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
L
70-73
70
73
-3
62avg 76
A04/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
25-14
16-17
14-26
18-23
24-12
22-29
14-24
15-15
25-25
13-22
24-27
21-11
13-12
19-20
24-21
23-23
23-19
23-23
21-14
18-25
29-18
16-17
13-24
14-22
21-18
19-25
23-22
15-20
16-17
18-18
29-10
19-25
16-28
15-17
32-18
20-16
17-19
12-17
21-21
157.6Avg total
78.0Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.777.8157.5+1.946%
Season at home (6)84.771.0155.7+13.783%
Season away (7)75.483.6159.0-8.114%
Last 10 (10)78.079.6157.6-1.630%
Last 5 (5)76.679.4156.0-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.283.0159.2-6.820%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.679.4159.0+0.329%
vs Weaker (8)85.570.6156.1+14.975%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
95-80
95
80
+15
88avg 80
H30/11
Eurocup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
91-103
91
103
-12
no box
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#10
L
65-78
65
78
-13
58avg 80
A06/12
Eurocup
Konyaspor
#16
W
99-87
99
87
+12
no box
A10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lietkabelis
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
66avg 80
H13/12
Eurocup
Manisa
#11
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brescia
#13
L
74-110
74
110
-36
67avg 80
A20/12
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#4
L
80-81
80
81
-1
no box
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
no box
H28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
no box
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
18-23
25-13
28-25
23-22
14-30
22-26
32-25
18-20
13-14
17-29
17-15
29-25
24-23
27-16
19-23
16-22
20-13
20-11
19-23
25-23
26-11
28-25
17-26
22-25
21-26
16-31
15-28
31-21
20-20
15-18
14-22
27-19
15-15
26-15
29-22
29-18
21-17
19-28
19-11
169.8Avg total
86.0Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.876.8160.5+7.069%
Season at home (7)89.682.1171.7+7.471%
Season away (6)77.070.5147.5+6.567%
Last 10 (10)86.083.8169.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)87.084.2171.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.282.7165.9+0.656%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.882.2165.0+0.754%
vs Weaker (8)85.172.0157.1+13.188%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
TofasBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H22/11
Champions League
Gaziantep
#15
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Szombathely
#31
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A07/12
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#9
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H21/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A31/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/01
Champions League
77.6Avg total
39.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.878.1+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.836.677.4+4.257%-
Last 30 away (16)39.938.878.7+1.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.477.6+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.678.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.643.085.6-0.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.738.976.6-1.241%-
vs Weaker (8)44.432.176.5+12.275%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H30/11
Eurocup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Venezia
#10
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/12
Eurocup
Konyaspor
#16
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lietkabelis
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H13/12
Eurocup
Manisa
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Brescia
#13
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A20/12
Eurocup
Karsiyaka
#4
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.2Avg total
43.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.181.4+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.139.382.4+3.864%-
Last 30 away (16)41.639.080.6+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.684.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.439.086.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.841.384.1+1.444%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.840.482.2+1.462%-
vs Weaker (8)42.634.677.2+8.088%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.8
54.3%
54.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.2
35.2%
35.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
76.0%13.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.5
53.2%
54.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.4
37.2%
35.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.814.9
68.3%
76.0%14.9
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLWLLWWLLL
Bursaspor
WWLLWWWLLW
#6
League position
#5
+12.4
Net rating
-3.8
110.8
Offensive rating
108.6
98.4
Defensive rating
112.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
54.2%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
18.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.2%
3-point %
37.2%
63.1%
Assist %
62.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 108.6Defence98.4 · 112.4Shooting53.7% · 54.2%3-point %35.2% · 37.2%Ball care18.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds32.3% · 31.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Tofas   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tofas wins
4
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
06/03/22Tofas v Bursaspor83-90
06/11/21Bursaspor v Tofas87-75
07/02/21Tofas v Bursaspor84-77
24/10/20Bursaspor v Tofas83-70
12/01/20Tofas v Bursaspor109-59
29/09/19Bursaspor v Tofas80-76
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23AAEK Athens70-73
31/12/22ADarussafaka82-88
25/12/22HPetkim Spor78-65
21/12/22HMurcia77-87
18/12/22AAnadolu Efes76-84
12/12/22HMerkezefendi90-79
07/12/22ASzombathely77-64
03/12/22ATurk Telekom77-89
27/11/22HGaziantep78-88
22/11/22HStrasbourg75-79
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/23HBesiktas88-74
28/12/22HDarussafaka97-71
24/12/22AKarsiyaka80-81
20/12/22ABrescia74-110
16/12/22HManisa96-85
13/12/22HLietkabelis75-69
10/12/22AKonyaspor99-87
06/12/22AVenezia65-78
03/12/22HBuyukcekmece91-103
30/11/22HCluj-Napoca95-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL46%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%83%14%
Points / game79.784.775.4
Allowed / game77.871.083.6
Point differential+1.9+13.7-8.1
Avg total157.5155.7159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game83.889.677.0
Allowed / game76.882.170.5
Point differential+7.0+7.4+6.5
Avg total160.5171.7147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1311285%84.576.2+8.2
2 Turk Telekom1310377%86.879.8+6.9
3 Anadolu Efes139469%89.081.6+7.4
4 Bursaspor139469%83.876.8+7.0
5 Karsiyaka139469%86.483.4+3.0
6 Galatasaray137654%79.876.2+3.7
7 Darussafaka137654%79.881.8-2.0
8 Bahcesehir Kol.147750%74.976.9-2.1
9 Tofas136746%79.777.8+1.9
10 Merkezefendi136746%78.080.5-2.5
11 Konyaspor146843%81.483.6-2.1
12 Petkim Spor135838%78.080.6-2.6
13 Gaziantep134931%74.677.9-3.3
14 Buyukcekmece134931%75.380.7-5.4
15 Besiktas1431121%77.683.1-5.6
16 Manisa1431121%74.185.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2122162382
Bursaspor2022212083
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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