PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ulm vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 78-69
27-13 16-25 22-11 13-20
Position#6
Record5-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game89.3
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record4-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeEurocupRound 11
European cup2022
Meetings · Ulm v Lietkabelis
30 Dec 2026
ULM v LIE
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
ULM79
LIE89
17 Oct 2023
ULM99
LIE74
18 Jan 2023
ULM78
LIE69
08 Feb 2017
ULM81
LIE86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
91-80
91
80
+11
81avg 76
H10/12
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
W
110-98
110
98
+12
110avg 76
H14/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
83-110
83
110
-27
73avg 76
H18/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
76avg 76
A21/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
82avg 76
A27/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-87
95
87
+8
88avg 76
H30/12
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
92-101
92
101
-9
85avg 76
H03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
80-65
80
65
+15
65avg 76
A07/01
BBL
Venezia
#10
L
69-89
69
89
-20
58avg 76
A11/01
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
83avg 76
H14/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
25-20
16-24
31-17
31-26
32-21
23-30
24-21
16-32
20-30
24-29
23-19
12-24
22-20
21-21
29-16
25-22
17-21
21-20
21-24
22-27
24-14
20-17
29-29
18-25
25-27
25-30
24-19
18-22
22-20
19-9
21-14
17-23
15-28
18-20
19-18
13-29
23-20
23-19
25-23
176.1Avg total
87.2Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.889.3173.1-5.550%
Season at home (4)83.886.0169.8-2.250%
Season away (6)83.891.5175.3-7.750%
Last 10 (10)87.288.9176.1-1.750%
Last 5 (5)84.086.6170.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.896.0179.8-12.225%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.089.0173.0-5.025%
vs Weaker (13)88.385.5173.8+2.862%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Brescia
#13
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 75
H07/12
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
no box
A10/12
LKL
Bursaspor
#15
L
69-75
69
75
-6
63avg 75
A13/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A18/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
68avg 75
H21/12
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
A28/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
A03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
78avg 75
H07/01
LKL
Prometey
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
54avg 75
H11/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 75
H14/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
17-22
14-20
22-14
23-27
21-24
29-18
17-21
22-16
13-20
11-20
23-19
12-24
25-8
14-27
26-26
21-16
18-21
19-32
18-21
15-21
26-21
19-27
26-11
15-19
25-17
21-20
24-25
18-19
19-27
23-18
26-20
24-12
10-21
17-22
21-25
16-19
23-29
22-16
12-17
164.2Avg total
80.7Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.481.5159.9-3.140%
Season at home (6)83.383.0166.3+0.367%
Season away (4)71.079.2150.2-8.20%
Last 10 (10)80.783.5164.2-2.840%
Last 5 (5)80.481.2161.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.783.2160.9-5.515%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.481.2162.6+0.162%
vs Weaker (9)86.879.2166.0+7.689%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
UlmLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H10/12
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H14/12
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-62
36
62
-26
H18/12
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A21/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A27/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H30/12
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H03/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A07/01
BBL
Venezia
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A11/01
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#11
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H14/01
BBL
88.6Avg total
41.6Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.785.7-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.946.189.9-2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)40.441.682.1-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)41.647.088.6-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.447.086.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.846.888.5-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.643.885.4-2.242%-
vs Weaker (13)42.543.285.8-0.746%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/12
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A10/12
LKL
Bursaspor
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A13/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A18/12
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/12
Eurocup
BC Wolves
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A28/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/01
LKL
Prometey
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H11/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/01
LKL
78.6Avg total
38.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.978.6+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.838.077.8+1.864%-
Last 30 away (16)39.839.679.4+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.778.6-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.079.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.239.276.4-2.154%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.438.477.8+1.050%-
vs Weaker (9)43.938.882.7+5.167%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.519.3
61.3%
53.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.2
35.8%
35.1%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.114.4
75.4%
74.2%14.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.9
55.0%
53.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.4
34.9%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.613.8
74.2%
74.2%13.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLWLWLWLWW
Lietkabelis
LLWWWLLLLW
#6
League position
#9
-1.4
Net rating
-2.3
112.9
Offensive rating
110.4
114.3
Defensive rating
112.7
57.5%
Effective FG%
53.9%
59.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
21.4%
Turnover %
19.1%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.8%
3-point %
34.9%
57.7%
Assist %
65.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 110.4Defence114.3 · 112.7Shooting57.5% · 53.9%3-point %35.8% · 34.9%Ball care21.4% · 19.1%Off. rebounds32.8% · 31.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
3
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
19/10/22Lietkabelis v Ulm80-76
08/02/17Ulm v Lietkabelis81-86
11/01/17Lietkabelis v Ulm86-84
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23HWurzburg84-91
11/01/23AVenezia69-89
07/01/23AHamburg80-65
03/01/23HBonn92-101
30/12/22HBasketball Braunschweig95-87
27/12/22ALudwigsburg84-87
21/12/22ACluj-Napoca84-81
18/12/22HAlba Berlin83-110
14/12/22HJL Bourg110-98
10/12/22HCrailsheim Merlins91-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23HNeptunas73-81
11/01/23HPrometey72-80
07/01/23HJonava86-84
03/01/23AJuventus85-81
28/12/22ABC Wolves86-80
21/12/22HJoventut Badalona76-90
18/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas77-85
13/12/22ABursaspor69-75
10/12/22ARytas104-109 OT
07/12/22HBrescia79-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game83.883.883.8
Allowed / game89.386.091.5
Point differential-5.5-2.2-7.7
Avg total173.1169.8175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game78.483.371.0
Allowed / game81.583.079.2
Point differential-3.1+0.3-8.2
Avg total159.9166.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria108280%84.878.9+5.9
2 Turk Telekom118373%86.279.4+6.8
3 JL Bourg118373%85.783.0+2.7
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv117464%88.879.8+9.0
5 Buducnost117464%79.571.8+7.6
6 Joventut Badalona117464%82.078.7+3.3
7 Paris117464%84.482.1+2.3
8 Prometey117464%85.684.1+1.5
9 Promitheas106460%82.182.3-0.2
10 Venezia116555%79.374.9+4.4
11 Bursaspor116555%83.983.5+0.5
12 Ulm105550%83.889.3-5.5
13 Brescia115645%81.879.0+2.8
14 London Lions104640%81.083.7-2.7
15 Lietkabelis104640%78.481.5-3.1
16 Cluj-Napoca103730%85.487.8-2.4
17 Hamburg113827%78.786.5-7.8
18 Cedevita Olimpija102820%85.491.1-5.7
19 Trento102820%71.282.3-11.1
20 Slask Wroclaw111109%74.685.2-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2716221378
Lietkabelis1325112069
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.