Mornar Bar vs Sutjeska Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 May 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 83-75

24-23 18-28 26-11 15-13

Position#3

Record8-4

FormLWWWL

Points / game89.0

Allowed / game81.1

Mornar Bar 🏆

Sutjeska

Position#4

Record19-9

FormWWWLW

Points / game80.3

Allowed / game76.5

Prva A LigaPrva A Liga - Semi-finals

Other2018-19

Meetings · Mornar Bar v Sutjeska

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sutjeska winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar Bar Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutjeska

106-87

106

+19

H29/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

95-96

-1

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

71-76

-5

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

86-71

+15

A05/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

90-74

+16

H07/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

84-90

-6

A09/05

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

98-95 OT

A11/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

90-77

+13

H13/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

88-74

+14

H15/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

73-75

-2

A17/05

Prva A Liga

26-21

31-27

28-20

21-19

29-20

18-23

23-29

25-24

30-17

17-23

10-24

14-12

31-16

13-21

23-13

19-21

20-16

23-24

26-13

21-21

26-26

16-22

26-20

25-23

24-23

13-26

25-15

26-14

24-21

22-20

18-22

19-22

18-15

32-15

19-22

26-20

15-10

11-21

21-24

169.6Avg total

88.1Scored

81.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	89.0	81.1	170.1	+7.9	67%
Season at home (6)	95.2	81.3	176.5	+13.8	83%
Season away (6)	82.8	80.8	163.7	+2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	88.1	81.5	169.6	+6.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	82.2	168.8	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	79.4	93.5	172.8	-14.1	9%
vs Similar (11)	82.5	80.1	162.5	+2.4	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	89.2	78.6	167.9	+10.6	75%

This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutjeska

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mornar Bar

87-106

106

-19

A29/04

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

79-60

+19

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

84-94

-10

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

76-68

H05/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

62-79

-17

A07/05

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

90-84

H09/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

99-84

+15

A11/05

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

84-74

+10

H13/05

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

74-88

-14

A15/05

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

75-73

H17/05

Prva A Liga

21-26

27-31

20-28

19-21

11-12

24-15

23-15

21-18

23-23

16-23

24-28

21-20

17-14

22-17

13-17

24-20

17-18

17-19

16-33

12-9

26-26

22-16

20-26

18-23

36-15

18-19

27-27

20-20

17-20

24-18

23-16

22-19

15-18

15-32

22-19

20-26

10-15

21-11

24-21

162.0Avg total

81.0Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	80.3	76.5	156.8	+3.8	68%
Season at home (14)	81.2	73.1	154.3	+8.1	86%
Season away (14)	79.4	79.9	159.3	-0.6	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	81.0	162.0	+0.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	80.6	165.0	+3.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	82.3	84.2	166.5	-1.9	50%
vs Similar (11)	79.0	81.1	160.1	-2.1	64%
vs Weaker (9)	81.0	74.7	155.7	+6.3	78%

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mornar BarSutjeska

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	19.5	45.3	+6.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.0	45.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.9	17.9	39.8	+4.0	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.9	19.9	42.8	+3.0	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	20.7	40.8	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.1	40.5	-1.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	22.4	22.5	44.9	-0.1	30%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.7	22.1	40.8	-3.4	27%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.9	16.6	35.5	+2.2	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.9	41.0	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.9	39.2	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.4	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	21.4	41.8	-0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.6	18.2	41.9	+5.4	75%	-

Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutjeska

57-48

H29/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

47-43

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

47-40

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

44-37

A05/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

43-40

H07/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

42-48

-6

A09/05

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

49-46

A11/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

50-35

+15

H13/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

37-37

H15/05

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

41-30

+11

A17/05

Prva A Liga

86.1Avg total

45.7Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	41.2	82.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	41.1	85.7	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	41.3	79.8	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	40.4	86.1	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	39.2	83.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.6	45.6	84.3	-7.0	36%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.5	38.0	80.5	+4.5	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	44.0	39.6	83.6	+4.4	62%	-

This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SutjeskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mornar Bar

48-57

-9

A29/04

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

35-27

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

39-46

-7

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

39-31

H05/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

34-37

-3

A07/05

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

48-42

H09/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

54-38

+16

A11/05

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

37-40

-3

H13/05

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

37-37

A15/05

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

30-41

-11

H17/05

Prva A Liga

79.7Avg total

40.1Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.1	40.6	81.7	+0.6	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.8	39.5	82.3	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	41.5	81.1	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	39.6	79.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	39.6	80.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	42.2	41.9	84.1	+0.3	30%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.2	43.5	82.6	-4.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.5	34.9	77.4	+7.6	75%	-

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	21.3	45.1	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.9	40.7	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.1	25.5	45.6	-5.5	18%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.2	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	23.9	17.1	41.0	+6.8	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	17.4	39.0	+4.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	22.4	41.7	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.7	41.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.7	17.1	38.8	+4.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	22.1	41.3	-2.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.6	21.5	41.2	-1.9	36%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.4	21.9	43.2	-0.5	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.8	45.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	60%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	43.1	84.4	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	42.3	86.7	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	43.9	82.0	-5.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.3	81.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	41.4	82.0	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.7	47.1	86.8	-7.4	9%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.9	42.1	82.0	-2.2	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	45.2	39.0	84.2	+6.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.7	40.0	79.7	-0.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.7	37.8	79.5	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	42.1	79.9	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	41.4	82.3	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	41.0	84.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	40.1	42.3	82.4	-2.2	30%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.8	37.6	77.5	+2.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.0	40.4	79.4	-1.4	38%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	19.0	50.8%	58.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	7.5	29.4%	31.5%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.3	71.2%	69.7%	15.3

They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Sutjeskatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	19.4	50.3%	58.8%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.1	35.0%	31.5%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.8	73.8%	69.7%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	18.3	50.7%	58.8%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.1	33.5%	31.5%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	21.6	15.5	71.7%	69.7%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	20.9	52.6%	58.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	9.6	38.2%	31.5%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.2	74.0%	69.7%	16.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mornar Bar wins

Sutjeska wins

Date	Game	Score
17/05/19	Sutjeska v Mornar Bar	75-73
15/05/19	Mornar Bar v Sutjeska	88-74
09/05/19	Sutjeska v Mornar Bar	90-84
29/04/19	Mornar Bar v Sutjeska	106-87
21/05/18	Sutjeska v Mornar Bar	78-100
19/05/18	Mornar Bar v Sutjeska	97-73
15/05/18	Sutjeska v Mornar Bar	70-74
30/04/18	Mornar Bar v Sutjeska	79-81

Mornar Barlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/05/19	A	Sutjeska	73-75
15/05/19	H	Sutjeska	88-74
13/05/19	H	Lovcen Cetinje	90-77
11/05/19	A	Buducnost	98-95 OT
09/05/19	A	Sutjeska	84-90
07/05/19	H	Ulcinj	90-74
05/05/19	A	Jedinstvo	86-71
03/05/19	A	Lovcen Cetinje	71-76
01/05/19	H	Buducnost	95-96
29/04/19	H	Sutjeska	106-87

Sutjeskalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/05/19	H	Mornar Bar	75-73
15/05/19	A	Mornar Bar	74-88
13/05/19	H	Buducnost	84-74
11/05/19	A	Jedinstvo	99-84
09/05/19	H	Mornar Bar	90-84
07/05/19	A	Lovcen Cetinje	62-79
05/05/19	H	Ulcinj	76-68
03/05/19	A	Buducnost	84-94
01/05/19	H	Jedinstvo	79-60
29/04/19	A	Mornar Bar	87-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar

Prva A Liga 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	67%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	LWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	67%	83%	50%
Points / game	89.0	95.2	82.8
Allowed / game	81.1	81.3	80.8
Point differential	+7.9	+13.8	+2.0
Avg total	170.1	176.5	163.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	83%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

Sutjeska

Prva A Liga 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	68%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	LLLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	68%	86%	50%
Points / game	80.3	81.2	79.4
Allowed / game	76.5	73.1	79.9
Point differential	+3.8	+8.1	-0.6
Avg total	156.8	154.3	159.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	43%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	100% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Buducnost	12	10	2	83%	94.7	80.6	+14.1
2	Lovcen Cetinje	28	22	6	79%	85.4	73.6	+11.8
3	Sutjeska	28	19	9	68%	80.3	76.5	+3.8
4	Mornar Bar	12	8	4	67%	89.0	81.1	+7.9
5	Ibar Rozaje	24	15	9	62%	80.0	73.8	+6.2
6	Ulcinj	26	12	14	46%	80.5	78.7	+1.8
7	Studentski Centar	24	9	15	38%	72.9	76.5	-3.6
8	Jedinstvo	26	9	17	35%	74.7	85.4	-10.8
9	Primorje	24	8	16	33%	75.3	78.7	-3.4
10	Danilovgrad	24	7	17	29%	71.0	79.9	-8.8
11	Vukovi Zeta	24	7	17	29%	74.0	84.0	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mornar Bar	24	18	26	15	83
Sutjeska	23	28	11	13	75

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Mornar Bar vs Sutjeska Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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