Sutjeska vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 May 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 90-84

26-26 22-16 22-16 20-26

Position#4

Record15-8

FormLWLWL

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game75.6

Sutjeska 🏆

Mornar Bar

Position#3

Record5-2

FormWLLWW

Points / game90.7

Allowed / game80.3

Prva A LigaRound 8

Other2018-19

Meetings · Sutjeska v Mornar Bar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutjeska winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mornar Bar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sutjeska

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Studentski Centar

58-83

-25

H08/03

Prva A Liga

Borac Mozzart

68-92

-24

A13/03

ABA League 2

Primorje

79-61

+18

A23/03

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

79-77

A25/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

103-78

103

+25

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

87-106

106

-19

A29/04

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

79-60

+19

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

84-94

-10

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

76-68

H05/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

62-79

-17

A07/05

Prva A Liga

21-14

12-21

10-31

15-17

19-31

15-20

13-26

21-15

26-13

10-16

22-18

21-14

15-18

19-14

29-18

16-27

23-18

32-19

22-19

26-22

21-26

27-31

20-28

19-21

11-12

24-15

23-15

21-18

23-23

16-23

24-28

21-20

17-14

22-17

13-17

24-20

17-18

17-19

16-33

12-9

157.3Avg total

77.5Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	79.4	75.6	155.0	+3.8	65%
Season at home (11)	80.7	72.0	152.7	+8.7	82%
Season away (12)	78.2	78.9	157.1	-0.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	79.8	157.3	-2.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	81.4	159.0	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	82.2	87.4	169.6	-5.1	38%
vs Similar (12)	78.3	79.7	158.0	-1.3	67%
vs Weaker (10)	77.5	71.4	148.9	+6.1	80%

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mornar Bar Montenegro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Igokea

60-81

-21

A02/03

ABA League

FMP Beograd

79-69

+10

H10/03

ABA League

Cedevita

80-94

-14

A15/03

ABA League

Jedinstvo

102-80

102

+22

H25/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

85-78

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

106-87

106

+19

H29/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

95-96

-1

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

71-76

-5

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

86-71

+15

A05/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

90-74

+16

H07/05

Prva A Liga

10-18

20-19

21-24

9-20

23-13

18-23

20-13

18-20

20-26

17-18

22-28

21-22

19-17

30-17

29-19

24-27

16-21

23-22

26-14

20-21

26-21

31-27

28-20

21-19

29-20

18-23

23-29

25-24

30-17

17-23

10-24

14-12

31-16

13-21

23-13

19-21

20-16

23-24

26-13

21-21

166.0Avg total

85.4Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	90.7	80.3	171.0	+10.4	71%
Season at home (4)	98.2	84.2	182.5	+14.0	75%
Season away (3)	80.7	75.0	155.7	+5.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	80.6	166.0	+4.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	80.8	170.4	+8.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	78.4	92.6	171.1	-14.2	7%
vs Similar (11)	80.9	80.7	161.6	+0.2	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	93.8	78.0	171.8	+15.8	100%

This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SutjeskaMornar Bar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	22.2	21.2	43.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.1	16.7	35.8	+2.4	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	21.8	44.2	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	20.6	38.3	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.5	40.9	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	18.0	45.2	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.4	23.9	43.2	-4.5	21%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	19.2	39.6	+1.3	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	18.7	41.7	+4.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	21.3	40.9	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	22.5	21.4	43.9	+1.1	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.7	20.6	41.2	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	21.8	44.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.6	23.1	42.7	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.4	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	24.0	22.2	46.2	+1.8	60%	-

SutjeskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Studentski Centar

33-35

-2

H08/03

Prva A Liga

Borac Mozzart

34-51

-17

A13/03

ABA League 2

Primorje

36-29

A23/03

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

34-32

A25/04

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

55-37

+18

H27/04

Prva A Liga

Mornar Bar

48-57

-9

A29/04

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

35-27

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

39-46

-7

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

39-31

H05/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

34-37

-3

A07/05

Prva A Liga

76.9Avg total

38.7Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.9	40.2	81.1	+0.7	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.8	38.3	81.1	+4.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	41.9	81.1	-2.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	38.2	76.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.6	78.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	44.8	42.6	87.4	+2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.1	42.5	81.6	-3.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	39.9	34.9	74.8	+5.0	67%	-

This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Igokea

30-37

-7

A02/03

ABA League

FMP Beograd

41-36

H10/03

ABA League

Cedevita

37-44

-7

A15/03

ABA League

Jedinstvo

49-34

+15

H25/04

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

39-43

-4

A27/04

Prva A Liga

Sutjeska

57-48

H29/04

Prva A Liga

Buducnost

47-43

H01/05

Prva A Liga

Lovcen Cetinje

47-40

A03/05

Prva A Liga

Jedinstvo

44-37

A05/05

Prva A Liga

Ulcinj

43-40

H07/05

Prva A Liga

83.6Avg total

43.4Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	42.8	83.9	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.9	43.5	88.4	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	42.0	78.7	-5.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	40.2	83.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	41.6	89.2	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.0	46.9	85.9	-7.9	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.3	38.6	79.9	+2.6	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	46.4	40.4	86.8	+6.0	80%	-

This opponent (Sutjeska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.5	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	23.3	42.5	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	24.2	43.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.9	23.0	42.9	-3.1	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.0	16.6	37.6	+4.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.4	20.0	38.4	-1.6	44%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	21.7	43.8	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	21.6	40.9	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.7	42.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.5	24.2	43.7	-4.7	21%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	26.4	15.8	42.2	+10.6	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.5	36.8	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.1	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.2	16.7	35.9	+2.6	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	36%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.7	21.1	40.8	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.3	39.1	77.4	-0.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.0	37.6	77.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	40.5	77.2	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	41.6	80.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	41.8	80.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.5	44.8	82.2	-7.2	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.2	37.2	76.4	+2.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (9)	37.7	36.7	74.3	+1.0	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	43.0	83.9	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	42.4	85.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	43.8	82.1	-5.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	40.4	82.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	39.2	81.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.4	45.7	85.1	-6.3	14%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.6	42.1	81.7	-2.5	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	47.4	37.6	85.0	+9.8	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sutjeskatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game

53%

30%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	19.0	50.8%	58.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	7.5	29.4%	31.5%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.3	71.2%	69.7%	15.3

They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	19.4	50.3%	58.8%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.1	35.0%	31.5%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.8	73.8%	69.7%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	18.3	50.7%	58.8%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.1	33.5%	31.5%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	21.6	15.5	71.7%	69.7%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	20.9	52.6%	58.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	9.6	38.2%	31.5%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.2	74.0%	69.7%	16.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sutjeska wins

Mornar Bar wins

Date	Game	Score
29/04/19	Mornar Bar v Sutjeska	106-87
21/05/18	Sutjeska v Mornar Bar	78-100
19/05/18	Mornar Bar v Sutjeska	97-73
15/05/18	Sutjeska v Mornar Bar	70-74
30/04/18	Mornar Bar v Sutjeska	79-81

Sutjeskalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/19	A	Lovcen Cetinje	62-79
05/05/19	H	Ulcinj	76-68
03/05/19	A	Buducnost	84-94
01/05/19	H	Jedinstvo	79-60
29/04/19	A	Mornar Bar	87-106
27/04/19	H	Lovcen Cetinje	103-78
25/04/19	A	Ulcinj	79-77
23/03/19	A	Primorje	79-61
13/03/19	A	Borac Mozzart	68-92
08/03/19	H	Studentski Centar	58-83

Mornar Barlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/19	H	Ulcinj	90-74
05/05/19	A	Jedinstvo	86-71
03/05/19	A	Lovcen Cetinje	71-76
01/05/19	H	Buducnost	95-96
29/04/19	H	Sutjeska	106-87
27/04/19	A	Ulcinj	85-78
25/04/19	H	Jedinstvo	102-80
15/03/19	A	Cedevita	80-94
10/03/19	H	FMP Beograd	79-69
02/03/19	A	Igokea	60-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutjeska

Prva A Liga 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	65%
Home	WLWWW	82%
Away	WWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	65%	82%	50%
Points / game	79.4	80.7	78.2
Allowed / game	75.6	72.0	78.9
Point differential	+3.8	+8.7	-0.8
Avg total	155.0	152.7	157.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	45%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Mornar Bar

Prva A Liga 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	71%
Home	WWLW	75%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	71%	75%	67%
Points / game	90.7	98.2	80.7
Allowed / game	80.3	84.2	75.0
Point differential	+10.4	+14.0	+5.7
Avg total	171.0	182.5	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	75%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Buducnost	7	7	0	100%	98.7	75.3	+23.4
2	Lovcen Cetinje	23	20	3	87%	84.4	70.6	+13.9
3	Mornar Bar	7	5	2	71%	90.7	80.3	+10.4
4	Sutjeska	23	15	8	65%	79.4	75.6	+3.8
5	Ibar Rozaje	24	15	9	62%	80.0	73.8	+6.2
6	Ulcinj	23	11	12	48%	79.3	77.2	+2.1
7	Jedinstvo	23	9	14	39%	74.4	84.1	-9.7
8	Studentski Centar	24	9	15	38%	72.9	76.5	-3.6
9	Primorje	24	8	16	33%	75.3	78.7	-3.4
10	Danilovgrad	24	7	17	29%	71.0	79.9	-8.8
11	Vukovi Zeta	24	7	17	29%	74.0	84.0	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sutjeska	26	22	22	20	90
Mornar Bar	26	16	16	26	84

← all games of the day

Sutjeska vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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