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Ulm vs Prometey Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 78-83
21-20 18-20 17-24 22-19
Position#6
Record8-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game85.9
Ulm
vs
Prometey 🏆
Position#2
Record10-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game83.9
EuropeEurocupRound 15
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prometey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#9
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 76
H18/01
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
91-87
91
87
+4
84avg 76
A22/01
BBL
Brescia
#13
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
A25/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#9
W
107-87
107
87
+20
94avg 76
H28/01
BBL
Bursaspor
#15
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 76
H01/02
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
W
80-64
80
64
+16
70avg 76
A05/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 76
A07/02
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
85avg 76
H11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
77-97
77
97
-20
66avg 76
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
82-62
82
62
+20
81avg 76
A03/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
16-25
22-11
13-20
26-31
22-25
16-16
27-15
15-18
21-21
22-16
27-17
24-25
20-20
37-28
26-14
18-26
26-24
22-16
26-20
23-21
25-12
18-11
14-20
18-13
17-11
26-24
15-34
24-20
20-25
22-25
26-14
20-23
21-19
19-29
17-26
12-20
27-11
20-12
23-19
165.0Avg total
86.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.585.9169.4-2.457%
Season at home (6)84.283.2167.3+1.067%
Season away (8)83.087.9170.9-4.950%
Last 10 (10)86.079.0165.0+7.080%
Last 5 (5)81.477.8159.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)82.293.2175.4-11.020%
vs Similar (9)85.785.1170.8+0.656%
vs Weaker (16)89.183.9173.0+5.175%
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrometey
Date
Competition
Parnu
#9
W
94-59
94
59
+35
no box
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
H01/02
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
94-68
94
68
+26
90avg 81
H08/02
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#2
W
92-73
92
73
+19
no box
A11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
107-68
107
68
+39
no box
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
94-65
94
65
+29
no box
H15/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
91-73
91
73
+18
no box
A17/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
W
98-67
98
67
+31
no box
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
23-19
24-15
19-12
26-20
23-18
23-19
23-33
18-12
25-18
20-16
20-33
25-24
27-19
26-15
16-10
25-19
18-29
17-18
32-7
26-15
30-15
32-15
19-23
29-17
12-15
28-9
25-24
14-18
27-20
27-17
23-18
25-16
18-17
31-20
24-14
26-15
24-27
23-10
15-15
164.5Avg total
93.6Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.583.9171.4+3.671%
Season at home (7)92.981.9174.7+11.086%
Season away (7)82.186.0168.1-3.957%
Last 10 (10)93.670.9164.5+22.7100%
Last 5 (5)95.668.0163.6+27.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)85.080.5165.5+4.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)94.476.5170.9+18.089%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +7.3+7.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +9.7+9.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +7.3+7.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +9.7+9.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
UlmPrometey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H18/01
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A22/01
BBL
Brescia
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/01
Eurocup
Bamberg
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H28/01
BBL
Bursaspor
#15
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H01/02
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#18
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A05/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A07/02
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/03
BBL
82.5Avg total
42.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.843.085.8-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.245.489.6-1.250%-
Last 30 away (16)41.640.982.5+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.382.5+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.076.4+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.442.282.6-1.860%-
vs Similar (9)44.043.987.9+0.144%-
vs Weaker (16)42.942.885.7+0.144%-
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#9
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H01/02
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/02
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H15/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
83.5Avg total
46.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.638.985.5+7.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.137.986.0+10.179%-
Last 30 away (16)45.439.785.1+5.762%-
Last 10 (10)46.936.683.5+10.390%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.081.2+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)39.537.076.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.139.086.1+8.171%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.019.5
62.9%
53.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.212.5
36.5%
35.1%37.5
🏀 Free throws20.615.1
73.3%
74.2%15.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prometeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prometey: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.2
54.6%
53.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.1
34.0%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.618.1
73.6%
74.2%18.1
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLWLWWWWWW
Prometey
WWWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#2
+17.8
Net rating
+9.1
123.2
Offensive rating
116.1
105.4
Defensive rating
106.9
58.7%
Effective FG%
53.0%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.5%
3-point %
34.0%
57.5%
Assist %
61.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence123.2 · 116.1Defence105.4 · 106.9Shooting58.7% · 53.0%3-point %36.5% · 34.0%Ball care16.7% · 15.4%Off. rebounds32.0% · 32.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 100%
■ Ulm   ■ Prometey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
0
Prometey wins
DateGameScore
30/11/22Prometey v Ulm105-106
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23AWurzburg82-62
14/02/23ABamberg77-97
11/02/23HHeidelberg92-84
07/02/23AJoventut Badalona76-82
05/02/23ABayreuth80-64
01/02/23HBursaspor92-86
28/01/23HBamberg107-87
25/01/23ABrescia85-72
22/01/23ASyntainics MBC91-87
18/01/23HLietkabelis78-69
Prometeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23ABK Liepaja88-67
01/03/23AViimsi98-67
17/02/23ATartu Ulikool91-73
15/02/23HTallinna Kalev94-65
14/02/23HKeila KK107-68
11/02/23AVEF Riga92-73
08/02/23HCedevita Olimpija94-68
04/02/23HBC Kalev/Cramo83-79
01/02/23HJoventut Badalona95-90
28/01/23HParnu94-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game83.584.283.0
Allowed / game85.983.287.9
Point differential-2.4+1.0-4.9
Avg total169.4167.3170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Prometey
Eurocup 2022
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game87.592.982.1
Allowed / game83.981.986.0
Point differential+3.6+11.0-3.9
Avg total171.4174.7168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria1411379%84.879.2+5.6
2 Turk Telekom1511473%84.777.8+6.9
3 Prometey1410471%87.583.9+3.6
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1510567%87.378.6+8.7
5 Joventut Badalona149564%83.680.6+3.0
6 Paris149564%86.984.5+2.4
7 Buducnost159660%80.074.7+5.3
8 Promitheas159660%82.982.7+0.3
9 JL Bourg148657%84.283.6+0.6
10 Ulm148657%83.585.9-2.4
11 Venezia147750%80.377.0+3.3
12 Brescia147750%82.178.9+3.2
13 Lietkabelis147750%79.281.4-2.2
14 Bursaspor157847%85.184.9+0.2
15 London Lions157847%79.079.1-0.1
16 Cluj-Napoca1551033%85.287.7-2.5
17 Hamburg1441029%81.186.0-4.9
18 Cedevita Olimpija1431121%83.690.1-6.6
19 Trento1421214%70.682.2-11.6
20 Slask Wroclaw151147%72.785.7-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2118172278
Prometey2020241983
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