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Ulm vs Promitheas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 65-71
20-15 12-16 14-23 19-17
Position#15
Record2-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#18
Record1-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game87.2
EuropeEurocupRound 5
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Promitheas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
no box
A02/10
German Cup
Bamberg
#9
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 81
H09/10
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 81
A16/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
79-86
79
86
-7
73avg 81
H20/10
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
77avg 81
A24/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A27/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
L
80-88
80
88
-8
79avg 81
H30/10
BBL
Venezia
#14
W
90-83 OT
90
83
+7
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
90-76
90
76
+14
91avg 81
A06/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
14-11
18-19
30-30
27-25
18-19
18-22
20-28
25-21
21-24
24-17
23-9
21-26
20-22
17-21
21-17
16-24
22-16
23-21
20-17
28-23
16-17
10-22
22-25
14-22
26-19
20-21
20-26
13-19
15-30
29-15
19-12
32-14
10-23
24-18
24-21
29-12
19-19
11-31
12-9
170.4Avg total
85.8Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.588.0174.5-1.550%
Season at home (2)84.584.5169.0+0.050%
Season away (2)88.591.5180.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)85.884.6170.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)87.486.0173.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)91.292.5183.8-1.250%
vs Similar (16)83.178.0161.1+5.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.378.2169.6+13.178%
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
PAOK
#8
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H09/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
75-108
75
108
-33
67avg 73
A17/10
Basket League
Valencia
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
79avg 73
A19/10
Eurocup
Larisa
#6
W
91-77
91
77
+14
89avg 73
H23/10
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
79avg 73
H26/10
Eurocup
Apollon Patras
#11
W
71-59
71
59
+12
61avg 73
A30/10
Basket League
JL Bourg
#17
L
62-92
62
92
-30
56avg 73
A02/11
Eurocup
Aris
#7
L
62-82
62
82
-20
53avg 73
H06/11
Basket League
Bursaspor
#11
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Ionikos
#13
W
88-65
88
65
+23
101avg 73
A13/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
28-21
22-18
19-18
24-28
17-24
18-26
16-30
24-28
19-19
20-22
19-23
20-19
22-18
27-20
22-20
25-25
19-24
22-17
15-19
23-16
17-11
12-16
19-16
19-25
17-25
13-17
13-25
20-20
10-16
12-17
20-29
12-19
18-21
21-13
17-15
27-15
22-16
28-22
11-12
159.6Avg total
77.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.087.2164.2-10.225%
Season at home (2)82.082.5164.5-0.550%
Season away (2)72.092.0164.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)77.981.7159.6-3.850%
Last 5 (5)73.275.6148.8-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.890.4166.1-14.612%
vs Similar (18)80.580.6161.1-0.156%
vs Weaker (4)83.269.2152.5+14.0100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -3.6-3.6
UlmPromitheas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/10
German Cup
Bamberg
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/10
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A16/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H20/10
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A24/10
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A27/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/10
BBL
Venezia
#14
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H03/11
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A10/11
Eurocup
82.2Avg total
40.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.781.7+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.940.380.2-0.446%-
Last 30 away (17)41.841.182.9+0.841%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.382.2-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.680.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.840.881.5+0.050%-
vs Similar (16)39.239.979.2-0.738%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.742.487.1+2.256%-
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H09/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A17/10
Basket League
Valencia
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A19/10
Eurocup
Larisa
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H23/10
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H26/10
Eurocup
Apollon Patras
#11
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A30/10
Basket League
JL Bourg
#17
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A02/11
Eurocup
Aris
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H06/11
Basket League
Bursaspor
#11
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H10/11
Eurocup
Ionikos
#13
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A13/11
Basket League
80.8Avg total
39.8Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.581.6-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.938.576.4-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)42.344.586.9-2.227%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.080.8-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.873.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.946.684.5-8.80%-
vs Similar (18)40.240.981.2-0.744%-
vs Weaker (4)44.034.078.0+10.075%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.4
57.8%
52.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.1
31.3%
35.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.815.3
73.6%
74.8%15.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.8
53.0%
52.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.0
35.2%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.612.6
71.6%
74.8%12.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWLLWLWLL
Promitheas
WWLLWLWLLW
#15
League position
#18
-1.5
Net rating
-5.5
108.6
Offensive rating
105.3
110.2
Defensive rating
110.7
53.7%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
19.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.3%
3-point %
35.2%
62.1%
Assist %
75.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 105.3Defence110.2 · 110.7Shooting53.7% · 52.9%3-point %31.3% · 35.2%Ball care19.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds31.2% · 27.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Promitheas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
0
Promitheas wins
No previous meetings.
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/21ACedevita Olimpija101-96 OT
06/11/21ABasketball Braunschweig90-76
03/11/21HVenezia90-83 OT
30/10/21HFrankfurt80-88
27/10/21AVirtus Bologna76-87
24/10/21AChemnitz81-78
20/10/21HBuducnost79-86
16/10/21ACrailsheim Merlins93-71
09/10/21HBamberg83-94
02/10/21AChemnitz85-87
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/21AIonikos88-65
10/11/21HBursaspor83-80 OT
06/11/21HAris62-82
02/11/21AJL Bourg62-92
30/10/21AApollon Patras71-59
26/10/21HGran Canaria81-85
23/10/21HLarisa91-77
19/10/21AValencia82-92
17/10/21AOlympiacos75-108
09/10/21HPAOK84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.584.588.5
Allowed / game88.084.591.5
Point differential-1.5+0.0-3.0
Avg total174.5169.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%50%50%
Promitheas
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.082.072.0
Allowed / game87.282.592.0
Point differential-10.2-0.5-20.0
Avg total164.2164.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joventut Badalona54180%78.465.4+13.0
2 Lokomotiv Kuban54180%92.081.4+10.6
3 Gran Canaria54180%83.074.4+8.6
4 Buducnost54180%80.272.6+7.6
5 Partizan43175%79.871.0+8.8
6 Virtus Bologna53260%91.285.2+6.0
7 Boulogne-Levallois53260%84.683.8+0.8
8 MoraBanc Andorra53260%81.081.4-0.4
9 Turk Telekom53260%75.276.8-1.6
10 Lietkabelis42250%81.876.2+5.5
11 Valencia42250%87.084.8+2.2
12 Ulm42250%86.588.0-1.5
13 Venezia52340%74.875.8-1.0
14 Bursaspor52340%80.083.0-3.0
15 Cedevita Olimpija52340%82.088.2-6.2
16 JL Bourg41325%70.576.0-5.5
17 Promitheas41325%77.087.2-10.2
18 Hamburg51420%85.693.2-7.6
19 Slask Wroclaw4040%70.885.8-15.0
20 Trento4040%67.585.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2012141965
Promitheas1516231771
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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