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Virtus Bologna vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-76
23-28 17-16 22-10 25-22
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game83.0
Virtus Bologna 🏆
vs
Ulm
Position#15
Record0-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeEurocupRound 2
European cup2021
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Ulm
26 Apr 2022
VIR83
ULM77
27 Oct 2021
VIR87
ULM76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
73-62
73
62
+11
62avg 86
H11/06
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
74-66
74
66
+8
no box
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#2
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#14
W
102-88
102
88
+14
104avg 86
A26/09
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
97-56
97
56
+41
101avg 86
H03/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
84-65
84
65
+19
75avg 86
A10/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
94avg 86
H16/10
Lega A
Bursaspor
#11
W
101-83
101
83
+18
107avg 86
A20/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
L
89-92
89
92
-3
78avg 86
A24/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
22-19
14-8
18-11
16-14
20-22
18-10
20-20
20-11
14-20
16-16
22-24
23-20
21-15
23-20
23-29
30-17
26-26
28-21
18-24
21-17
23-18
28-15
25-6
23-28
15-13
29-9
17-15
35-29
22-15
16-22
21-13
31-21
26-27
24-18
20-17
20-23
17-25
21-20
31-24
162.2Avg total
87.6Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)101.083.0184.0+18.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)101.083.0184.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.674.6162.2+13.090%
Last 5 (5)93.075.0168.0+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.077.5158.5+3.5100%
vs Similar (9)78.671.6150.1+7.089%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.879.7170.6+11.179%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
71avg 81
A01/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 81
H03/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 81
H05/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
no box
A26/09
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
A29/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
no box
A02/10
German Cup
Bamberg
#9
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 81
H09/10
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 81
A16/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
79-86
79
86
-7
73avg 81
H20/10
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
77avg 81
A24/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
15-19
24-19
21-26
21-16
16-23
16-14
19-27
15-20
21-16
13-17
26-24
23-20
12-23
20-15
20-17
26-22
19-15
15-14
13-25
23-27
14-11
18-19
30-30
27-25
18-19
18-22
20-28
25-21
21-24
24-17
23-9
21-26
20-22
17-21
21-17
16-24
22-16
23-21
20-17
162.9Avg total
80.5Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.086.0165.0-7.00%
Season at home (1)79.086.0165.0-7.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.582.4162.9-1.930%
Last 5 (5)84.283.2167.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)94.093.5187.5+0.550%
vs Similar (16)81.478.5159.9+2.950%
vs Weaker (11)89.379.3168.5+10.073%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
Virtus BolognaUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H11/06
Lega A
Tortona
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A26/09
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H03/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H16/10
Lega A
Bursaspor
#11
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A20/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/10
Lega A
84.8Avg total
44.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.483.2+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.982.0+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.641.984.5+0.760%-
Last 10 (10)44.440.484.8+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.643.289.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.033.072.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (9)38.839.278.0-0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.241.786.9+3.563%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A01/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/09
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A29/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/10
German Cup
Bamberg
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/10
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A16/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H20/10
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A24/10
BBL
81.0Avg total
39.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.381.5+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.838.880.6+3.064%-
Last 30 away (16)40.641.782.3-1.131%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.781.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.084.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)35.546.081.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (16)40.239.079.2+1.244%-
vs Weaker (11)44.041.585.5+2.564%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.6
53.7%
52.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.8
38.7%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.314.6
75.6%
74.8%14.6
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.5
56.9%
52.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.4
33.3%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.516.3
75.8%
74.8%16.3
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWWWWWWWWW
Ulm
WLWLLLWLLL
#2
League position
#15
+19.4
Net rating
-1.4
116.0
Offensive rating
111.3
96.5
Defensive rating
112.7
55.4%
Effective FG%
54.3%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.7%
3-point %
33.3%
66.6%
Assist %
56.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 111.3Defence96.5 · 112.7Shooting55.4% · 54.3%3-point %38.7% · 33.3%Ball care14.7% · 18.2%Off. rebounds27.9% · 29.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virtus Bologna wins
0
Ulm wins
No previous meetings.
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/21ABasket Napoli89-92
20/10/21ABursaspor101-83
16/10/21HTrieste94-79
10/10/21AVenezia84-65
03/10/21HVarese97-56
26/09/21ATrento102-88
21/09/21AOlimpia Milano90-84
20/09/21AVenezia72-71
18/09/21HTortona74-66
11/06/21HOlimpia Milano73-62
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/21AChemnitz81-78
20/10/21HBuducnost79-86
16/10/21ACrailsheim Merlins93-71
09/10/21HBamberg83-94
02/10/21AChemnitz85-87
29/09/21ABonn73-76
26/09/21ABayern86-83 OT
05/06/21HAlba Berlin75-77
03/06/21HAlba Berlin72-80
01/06/21AAlba Berlin78-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game101.0-101.0
Allowed / game83.0-83.0
Point differential+18.0-+18.0
Avg total184.0-184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Ulm
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential-7.0-7.0-
Avg total165.0165.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joventut Badalona220100%79.556.0+23.5
2 Virtus Bologna110100%101.083.0+18.0
3 Partizan110100%106.097.0+9.0
4 Turk Telekom110100%73.065.0+8.0
5 Cedevita Olimpija220100%85.078.0+7.0
6 Lokomotiv Kuban220100%89.083.0+6.0
7 Buducnost220100%78.574.5+4.0
8 Lietkabelis21150%77.072.0+5.0
9 Valencia21150%81.076.5+4.5
10 Venezia21150%67.566.0+1.5
11 Gran Canaria21150%81.080.0+1.0
12 MoraBanc Andorra21150%83.583.0+0.5
13 Bursaspor21150%76.581.5-5.0
14 Promitheas2020%81.588.5-7.0
15 Ulm1010%79.086.0-7.0
16 Boulogne-Levallois1010%65.073.0-8.0
17 Slask Wroclaw1010%59.070.0-11.0
18 JL Bourg2020%70.582.0-11.5
19 Hamburg2020%76.589.5-13.0
20 Trento2020%64.585.5-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2317222587
Ulm2816102276
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