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Crailsheim Merlins vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 71-93
21-25 24-21 17-24 9-23
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game100.3
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.3
GermanyBBLRound 4
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Ulm
27 Apr 2024
CME66
ULM86
18 Mar 2023
CME76
ULM68
16 Oct 2021
CME71
ULM93
29 Dec 2020
CME86
ULM84
29 Dec 2019
CME91
ULM79
18 Apr 2019
CME79
ULM82
18 Oct 2015
CME99
ULM90
06 Dec 2014
CME80
ULM88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#8
W
77-70
77
70
+7
75avg 81
A09/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
66-86
66
86
-20
52avg 81
A19/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
75avg 81
A21/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
96avg 81
H23/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
72-86
72
86
-14
62avg 81
H25/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
111-84
111
84
+27
110avg 81
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 81
A28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
65-63 OT
65
63
+2
no box
H02/10
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
111-116 OT
111
116
-5
no box
A10/10
BBL
Bakken Bears
#17
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
20-18
20-11
23-19
13-22
25-29
17-15
11-20
20-25
19-17
19-25
21-16
32-19
22-16
18-21
24-26
16-16
16-24
21-24
19-22
27-24
20-26
36-14
28-20
25-17
15-26
25-25
14-14
19-19
16-14
10-10
8-10
24-33
29-22
25-22
21-22
18-24
27-19
20-18
26-17
167.7Avg total
84.7Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)100.394.0194.3+6.333%
Season at home (1)111.084.0195.0+27.0100%
Season away (2)95.099.0194.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)84.783.0167.7+1.750%
Last 5 (5)91.484.6176.0+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.085.0160.0-10.040%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.884.6168.5-0.845%
vs Weaker (13)92.484.4176.8+8.069%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
W
70-66
70
66
+4
62avg 81
H24/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
96-88
96
88
+8
94avg 81
H26/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
73-71
73
71
+2
68avg 81
A30/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
71avg 81
A01/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 81
H03/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 81
H05/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
no box
A26/09
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
A29/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
no box
A02/10
German Cup
Bamberg
#9
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 81
H09/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
19-14
12-25
20-16
16-17
17-25
33-25
30-21
20-16
14-21
15-20
24-14
18-28
15-19
24-19
21-26
21-16
16-23
16-14
19-27
15-20
21-16
13-17
26-24
23-20
12-23
20-15
20-17
26-22
19-15
15-14
13-25
23-27
14-11
18-19
30-30
27-25
18-19
18-22
20-28
160.5Avg total
79.1Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.784.3165.0-3.733%
Season at home (1)83.094.0177.0-11.00%
Season away (2)79.579.5159.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)79.181.4160.5-2.340%
Last 5 (5)80.483.4163.8-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.093.5187.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.778.5159.2+2.246%
vs Weaker (14)90.376.9167.2+13.479%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
Crailsheim MerlinsUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A19/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A21/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H23/05
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H02/10
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A10/10
BBL
Bakken Bears
#17
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
84.9Avg total
41.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.483.9+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.440.482.7+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)42.642.384.9+0.338%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.284.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.044.888.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.880.6-1.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.042.983.9-1.927%-
vs Weaker (13)45.441.086.4+4.462%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H24/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H26/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A30/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A01/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/09
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A29/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/10
German Cup
Bamberg
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/10
BBL
76.1Avg total
37.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.381.3+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.337.280.5+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.582.1-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.876.1-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.679.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.546.081.5-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.837.877.6+2.146%-
vs Weaker (14)45.339.985.2+5.471%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.117.7
60.8%
54.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.3
38.7%
35.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.416.2
79.4%
73.1%16.2
They take 55.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.8
54.0%
54.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.1
30.9%
35.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.316.9
79.3%
73.1%16.9
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
WLWLWLWLLW
Ulm
LLLWLLLWWW
#8
League position
#5
+2.1
Net rating
-2.9
116.4
Offensive rating
108.2
114.2
Defensive rating
111.1
59.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
20.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.7%
3-point %
30.9%
64.3%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 108.2Defence114.2 · 111.1Shooting59.5% · 51.0%3-point %38.7% · 30.9%Ball care20.4% · 17.9%Off. rebounds28.1% · 30.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Crailsheim Merlins wins
7
Ulm wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/21ABakken Bears91-78
10/10/21ASyntainics MBC111-116 OT
02/10/21HLudwigsburg65-63 OT
28/09/21AOldenburg79-82
25/09/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg111-84
25/05/21HBayern72-86
23/05/21HBayern96-82
21/05/21ABayern79-83
19/05/21ABayern66-86
09/05/21ABamberg77-70
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/21HBamberg83-94
02/10/21AChemnitz85-87
29/09/21ABonn73-76
26/09/21ABayern86-83 OT
05/06/21HAlba Berlin75-77
03/06/21HAlba Berlin72-80
01/06/21AAlba Berlin78-92
30/05/21AAlba Berlin73-71
26/05/21HOldenburg96-88
24/05/21HOldenburg70-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game100.3111.095.0
Allowed / game94.084.099.0
Point differential+6.3+27.0-4.0
Avg total194.3195.0194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Ulm
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game80.783.079.5
Allowed / game84.394.079.5
Point differential-3.7-11.0+0.0
Avg total165.0177.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %33%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Heidelberg330100%77.769.7+8.0
2 Bamberg330100%88.382.0+6.3
3 Bonn43175%82.881.2+1.5
4 Chemnitz43175%83.582.5+1.0
5 Gottingen32167%81.377.3+4.0
6 Syntainics MBC32167%98.799.0-0.3
7 Bayern21150%89.583.0+6.5
8 Bayreuth21150%80.079.0+1.0
9 Ludwigsburg42250%74.575.0-0.5
10 s.Oliver Wurzburg21150%87.099.5-12.5
11 Alba Berlin31233%83.075.0+8.0
12 Crailsheim Merlins31233%100.394.0+6.3
13 Giessen31233%80.379.3+1.0
14 Hamburg31233%81.080.7+0.3
15 Oldenburg31233%82.782.7+0.0
16 Ulm31233%80.784.3-3.7
17 Basketball Braunschweig41325%88.592.8-4.2
18 Frankfurt4040%69.887.5-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins212417971
Ulm2521242393
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