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Chemnitz vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-85
27-23 11-14 19-18 30-30
Position#4
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#10
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyGerman Cup
Other2021-22
Meetings · Chemnitz v Ulm
13 Feb 2027
CHE v ULM
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
CHE79
ULM66
29 Oct 2025
CHE89
ULM78
22 Sep 2024
CHE86
ULM90
02 Mar 2024
CHE83
ULM82
09 Dec 2023
CHE78
ULM87
21 Apr 2023
CHE92
ULM86
24 Oct 2021
CHE78
ULM81
02 Oct 2021
CHE87
ULM85
02 May 2021
CHE70
ULM85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Vechta
#18
L
69-82
69
82
-13
63avg 74
A10/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
73-85
73
85
-12
69avg 74
H14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
98-97
98
97
+1
104avg 74
H19/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
62-86
62
86
-24
52avg 74
A25/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
71-95
71
95
-24
62avg 74
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
70-85
70
85
-15
65avg 74
H02/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
84-83
84
83
+1
78avg 74
A05/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
77avg 74
H09/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
82avg 74
H25/09
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
90-82
90
82
+8
87avg 74
A29/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
13-16
20-25
21-20
27-15
14-23
13-21
19-26
20-29
28-16
31-21
19-31
12-32
16-19
17-20
17-15
15-23
22-39
16-21
18-12
27-17
17-24
21-31
5-13
26-22
21-17
17-16
20-28
25-31
21-23
11-17
24-20
20-19
19-19
16-21
24-19
21-19
17-22
24-22
28-19
164.1Avg total
77.7Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.786.4164.1-8.740%
Last 5 (5)80.883.8164.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.288.9167.2-10.732%
vs Similar (11)82.180.6162.7+1.573%
vs Weakerno games
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 81
A20/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 81
A22/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
70-66
70
66
+4
62avg 81
H24/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
96-88
96
88
+8
94avg 81
H26/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
73-71
73
71
+2
68avg 81
A30/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
78-92
78
92
-14
71avg 81
A01/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 81
H03/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 81
H05/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
no box
A26/09
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
A29/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
27-13
20-16
27-27
11-24
23-15
28-19
13-19
19-11
19-14
12-25
20-16
16-17
17-25
33-25
30-21
20-16
14-21
15-20
24-14
18-28
15-19
24-19
21-26
21-16
16-23
16-14
19-27
15-20
21-16
13-17
26-24
23-20
12-23
20-15
20-17
26-22
19-15
15-14
13-25
158.9Avg total
79.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.179.8158.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)76.881.6158.4-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.093.5187.5+0.550%
vs Similar (14)80.478.7159.1+1.743%
vs Weaker (14)90.976.9167.9+14.079%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
ChemnitzUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#18
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A10/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H19/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A25/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
37-62
37
62
-25
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H02/05
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A05/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H09/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H25/09
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A29/09
BBL
84.2Avg total
39.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.982.1-3.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.744.586.2-2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)36.941.278.1-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.644.684.2-5.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.685.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)38.244.282.4-6.037%-
vs Similar (11)41.140.581.6+0.564%-
vs Weakerno games
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A20/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A22/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H24/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H26/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A30/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A01/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/09
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A29/09
BBL
76.1Avg total
37.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.581.8+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.936.979.8+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.842.083.8-0.240%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.076.1-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.477.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.546.081.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (14)39.737.977.6+1.843%-
vs Weaker (14)45.940.186.0+5.971%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.917.8
55.8%
51.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.5
38.2%
34.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.110.5
69.5%
72.2%10.5
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
43%
37%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.8
53.6%
51.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.4
35.1%
34.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
72.2%15.9
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWLWLLLWLL
Ulm
LWLLLWWWLW
#4
League position
#10
-10.4
Net rating
-0.1
103.7
Offensive rating
109.5
114.1
Defensive rating
109.6
56.5%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
24.4%
Turnover %
18.3%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.2%
3-point %
35.1%
69.3%
Assist %
57.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 109.5Defence114.1 · 109.6Shooting56.5% · 53.2%3-point %38.2% · 35.1%Ball care24.4% · 18.3%Off. rebounds29.6% · 28.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
2
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
02/05/21Chemnitz v Ulm70-85
24/01/21Ulm v Chemnitz102-63
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/21AHamburg90-82
25/09/21HOldenburg79-78
09/05/21HAlba Berlin81-91
05/05/21As.Oliver Wurzburg84-83
02/05/21HUlm70-85
30/04/21HGiessen71-95
25/04/21ABonn62-86
19/04/21HHamburg98-97
14/04/21HCrailsheim Merlins73-85
10/04/21AVechta69-82
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/21ABonn73-76
26/09/21ABayern86-83 OT
05/06/21HAlba Berlin75-77
03/06/21HAlba Berlin72-80
01/06/21AAlba Berlin78-92
30/05/21AAlba Berlin73-71
26/05/21HOldenburg96-88
24/05/21HOldenburg70-66
22/05/21AOldenburg75-77
20/05/21AOldenburg93-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
German Cup 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Ulm
German Cup 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2711193087
Ulm2314183085
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