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Ulm vs Trefl Sopot Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-69
19-19 19-21 20-12 25-17
Position#13
Record5-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game92.3
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#20
Record0-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game89.4
EuropeEurocupRound 10· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trefl Sopot winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
L
78-125
78
125
-47
72avg 79
A22/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
74avg 79
H26/10
BBL
Trento
#16
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 79
H30/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#13
W
82-72
82
72
+10
74avg 79
H02/11
BBL
Buducnost
#14
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
96avg 79
A06/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
79avg 79
A09/11
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
59avg 79
H13/11
Eurocup
Gottingen
#17
W
109-70
109
70
+39
117avg 79
H17/11
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 79
A28/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
95-75
95
75
+20
94avg 79
A01/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-36
15-32
23-29
18-28
25-18
25-14
16-26
19-18
18-20
15-21
35-23
16-18
25-12
14-27
21-17
22-16
22-25
20-19
20-26
26-18
22-22
22-25
27-22
17-27
16-13
20-28
16-15
20-24
26-14
34-21
27-22
22-13
19-28
23-20
19-17
21-15
11-23
31-17
24-16
29-19
173.6Avg total
87.5Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.292.3177.6-7.156%
Season at home (3)81.081.7162.7-0.767%
Season away (6)87.397.7185.0-10.350%
Last 10 (10)87.586.1173.6+1.460%
Last 5 (5)89.280.2169.4+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.080.3156.3-4.333%
vs Similar (11)83.788.5172.2-4.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.774.8161.5+11.993%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl SopotLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSopot
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#10
L
92-99 OT
92
99
-7
90avg 76
H22/10
Eurocup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
102avg 76
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
67-79
67
79
-12
54avg 76
A30/10
Eurocup
Szczecin
#7
W
99-96
99
96
+3
92avg 76
A02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Besiktas
#9
L
79-100
79
100
-21
77avg 76
H05/11
Eurocup
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
93-108
93
108
-15
no box
H08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
64-93
64
93
-29
52avg 76
H12/11
Eurocup
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
92-68
92
68
+24
90avg 76
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gran Canaria
#4
L
58-84
58
84
-26
48avg 76
A28/11
Eurocup
Torun
#8
W
75-68
75
68
+7
67avg 76
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
22-22
25-19
22-18
26-20
23-18
24-25
23-18
15-15
12-28
19-10
21-26
22-34
18-18
30-24
29-20
25-32
26-25
23-24
5-19
30-22
24-32
22-26
17-28
16-22
16-23
18-22
14-26
30-20
27-12
19-20
16-16
10-19
21-20
11-23
16-22
20-11
22-28
12-12
21-17
169.1Avg total
81.5Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.389.4165.8-13.10%
Season at home (5)80.293.2173.4-13.00%
Season away (4)71.584.8156.2-13.20%
Last 10 (10)81.587.6169.1-6.140%
Last 5 (5)76.484.2160.6-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.389.4165.8-13.10%
vs Similar (10)85.185.1170.2+0.060%
vs Weaker (10)84.773.3158.0+11.490%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
UlmTrefl Sopot
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
L
37-68
37
68
-31
A22/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H26/10
BBL
Trento
#16
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H30/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/11
BBL
Buducnost
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A09/11
BBL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H13/11
Eurocup
Gottingen
#17
W
60-35
60
35
+25
H17/11
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A28/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A01/12
BBL
86.0Avg total
42.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.080.9+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.736.077.7+5.754%-
Last 30 away (17)40.443.083.4-2.647%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.586.0-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.287.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.042.080.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (11)38.645.283.8-6.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.535.377.9+7.273%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl SopotLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H22/10
Eurocup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A30/10
Eurocup
Szczecin
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Besiktas
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H05/11
Eurocup
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H12/11
Eurocup
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gran Canaria
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A28/11
Eurocup
Torun
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
86.6Avg total
42.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.179.9-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.439.781.1+1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)37.840.778.5-2.946%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.686.6-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.885.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.844.680.3-8.811%-
vs Similar (10)39.341.080.3-1.750%-
vs Weaker (10)45.235.780.9+9.580%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.4
53.5%
53.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.012.2
40.7%
34.3%36.6
🏀 Free throws16.713.1
78.4%
76.0%13.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trefl Sopottheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.0
54.6%
53.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.4
35.1%
34.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.614.2
76.3%
76.0%14.2
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWLLLWWWL
Trefl Sopot
WLWLLLWLWL
#13
League position
#20
+1.8
Net rating
-4.5
114.2
Offensive rating
107.5
112.4
Defensive rating
112.0
57.0%
Effective FG%
53.8%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.2%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.7%
3-point %
35.1%
60.1%
Assist %
61.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 107.5Defence112.4 · 112.0Shooting57.0% · 53.8%3-point %40.7% · 35.1%Ball care20.4% · 19.2%Off. rebounds34.0% · 26.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Trefl Sopot
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
0
Trefl Sopot wins
DateGameScore
25/09/24Trefl Sopot v Ulm93-96 OT
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24ABonn95-75
28/11/24AHapoel Tel-Aviv82-80
17/11/24HGottingen109-70
13/11/24HBahcesehir Kol.72-80
09/11/24AAlba Berlin88-96
06/11/24ABuducnost100-105 OT
02/11/24HHamburg82-72
30/10/24HTrento84-82
26/10/24HVechta85-76
22/10/24AGran Canaria78-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HTorun75-68
28/11/24AGran Canaria58-84
16/11/24HDabrowa Gornicza92-68
12/11/24HHapoel Tel-Aviv64-93
08/11/24HAnwil Wloclawek93-108
05/11/24HBesiktas79-100
02/11/24ASzczecin99-96
30/10/24ABahcesehir Kol.67-79
26/10/24HOstrow Wielkopolski96-81
22/10/24HBC Wolves92-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %56%67%50%
Points / game85.281.087.3
Allowed / game92.381.797.7
Point differential-7.1-0.7-10.3
Avg total177.6162.7185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %22%0%33%
Trefl Sopot
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.380.271.5
Allowed / game89.493.284.8
Point differential-13.1-13.0-13.2
Avg total165.8173.4156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %22%40%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia880100%96.980.4+16.5
2 Bahcesehir Kol.98189%85.671.7+13.9
3 Hapoel Jerusalem97278%85.175.6+9.6
4 Gran Canaria97278%81.673.7+7.9
5 Cedevita Olimpija106460%85.285.0+0.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv95456%84.978.0+6.9
7 Besiktas95456%85.781.1+4.6
8 JL Bourg95456%85.681.4+4.1
9 BC Wolves95456%82.283.2-1.0
10 Ulm95456%85.292.3-7.1
11 Cluj-Napoca105550%88.887.4+1.4
12 Buducnost94544%85.285.4-0.2
13 Turk Telekom94544%76.478.3-1.9
14 Venezia94544%80.684.8-4.2
15 Joventut Badalona93633%77.281.0-3.8
16 Trento93633%77.685.6-8.0
17 Lietkabelis82625%80.985.2-4.4
18 Aris92722%74.680.9-6.3
19 Hamburg92722%76.189.9-13.8
20 Trefl Sopot9090%76.389.4-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1919202583
Trefl Sopot1921121769
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