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Trefl Sopot vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-96 (OT)
32-23 9-15 21-17 19-26 12-15
Position#20
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Ulm 🏆
Position#13
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEurocupRound 1· Cortes C.
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trefl Sopot winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Trefl SopotLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSopot
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#6
W
88-70
88
70
+18
82avg 76
H21/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 76
A25/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
69avg 76
A27/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 76
H31/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
84-81
84
81
+3
73avg 76
H02/06
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
59-75
59
75
-16
47avg 76
A05/06
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
68avg 76
A07/06
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
88-84
88
84
+4
84avg 76
H10/06
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
101-80
101
80
+21
99avg 76
A13/06
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
77-71
77
71
+6
71avg 76
H16/06
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
27-12
26-10
18-27
18-20
18-15
10-22
24-19
20-13
16-18
27-26
18-20
14-16
15-22
23-24
21-20
18-19
17-20
28-25
21-17
14-15
8-19
20-23
17-18
22-23
14-12
15-26
25-20
24-23
21-18
22-18
21-25
23-19
27-26
24-20
27-15
26-14
12-16
20-14
19-27
157.4Avg total
79.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.777.7157.4+2.060%
Last 5 (5)80.278.2158.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)81.096.0177.0-15.00%
vs Similar (16)86.382.1168.4+4.269%
vs Weaker (12)79.274.9154.2+4.367%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
86-66
86
66
+20
75avg 80
A27/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
64avg 80
H01/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
73-57
73
57
+16
71avg 80
A04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
91-74
91
74
+17
95avg 80
H09/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
77-72
77
72
+5
69avg 80
A12/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
49avg 80
H18/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
100-64
100
64
+36
98avg 80
H20/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 80
A22/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
63avg 80
A24/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
82avg 80
A22/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
28-20
21-13
19-21
20-19
16-18
13-27
25-17
24-17
18-14
18-15
13-11
19-18
20-10
21-27
31-19
23-21
22-11
14-21
18-19
20-23
18-17
18-18
9-20
22-22
28-17
26-11
24-14
18-20
16-24
23-20
22-18
14-16
17-20
23-17
18-22
24-18
23-20
22-21
21-27
154.2Avg total
80.7Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.773.5154.2+7.260%
Last 5 (5)81.277.0158.2+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.880.5158.2-2.850%
vs Similar (14)82.581.6164.1+0.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.276.3164.6+11.992%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
Trefl SopotUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Trefl SopotLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#6
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A25/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A27/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H31/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/06
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A05/06
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/06
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/06
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A13/06
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H16/06
Energa Basket Liga
73.2Avg total
37.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.981.0+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.337.680.9+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)40.840.381.1+0.567%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.173.2+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.075.2+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)47.051.098.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (16)42.340.682.9+1.862%-
vs Weaker (12)41.835.577.3+6.383%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A27/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H09/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A12/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H18/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H20/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A22/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A24/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A22/09
BBL
76.5Avg total
40.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.983.0+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.142.086.1+2.154%-
Last 30 away (17)42.538.280.7+4.271%-
Last 10 (10)40.835.776.5+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.479.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.538.578.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (14)42.442.084.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.337.883.2+7.583%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trefl Sopottheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.1
51.4%
53.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.2
34.1%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws24.517.1
69.8%
76.0%17.1
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.7
54.7%
53.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.3
31.6%
34.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
76.0%14.2
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trefl Sopot
WWWLLWLWLW
Ulm
WLLWLWWWLW
#20
League position
#13
+2.7
Net rating
+9.0
107.3
Offensive rating
106.4
104.6
Defensive rating
97.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.3%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.1%
3-point %
31.6%
55.1%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 106.4Defence104.6 · 97.4Shooting51.2% · 51.3%3-point %34.1% · 31.6%Ball care18.4% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.5%Free throws0.41 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Trefl Sopot   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trefl Sopot wins
0
Ulm wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/24HSzczecin77-71
13/06/24ASzczecin101-80
10/06/24HSzczecin88-84
07/06/24ASzczecin76-81
05/06/24ASzczecin59-75
02/06/24HSzczecin84-81
31/05/24HSzczecin73-82
27/05/24ASlask Wroclaw81-77
25/05/24ASlask Wroclaw70-76
21/05/24HSlask Wroclaw88-70
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/24AChemnitz90-86
24/05/24AWurzburg72-75
22/05/24AWurzburg79-82
20/05/24HWurzburg100-64
18/05/24HWurzburg65-78
12/05/24ABasketball Braunschweig77-72
09/05/24HOldenburg91-74
04/05/24AHeidelberg73-57
01/05/24HBayern74-81
27/04/24ACrailsheim Merlins86-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trefl Sopot
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Ulm
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg110100%100.080.0+20.0
2 Bahcesehir Kol.110100%80.069.0+11.0
3 Cedevita Olimpija110100%93.086.0+7.0
4 Turk Telekom110100%72.066.0+6.0
5 Gran Canaria110100%84.081.0+3.0
6 Joventut Badalona110100%78.075.0+3.0
7 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%75.078.0-3.0
8 Trento1010%81.084.0-3.0
9 Lietkabelis1010%66.072.0-6.0
10 Cluj-Napoca1010%86.093.0-7.0
11 BC Wolves1010%69.080.0-11.0
12 Hamburg1010%80.0100.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Trefl Sopot32921191293
Ulm231517261596
← all games of the day
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