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Ulm vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-82
18-20 15-21 35-23 16-18
Position#13
Record3-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game96.8
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#16
Record2-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeEurocupRound 6· Ratiopharm Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Ulm v Trento
04 Dec 2025
ULM87
TRE100
30 Oct 2024
ULM84
TRE82
03 Oct 2023
ULM80
TRE70
27 Dec 2017
ULM84
TRE94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
90avg 79
A25/09
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
W
85-76
85
76
+9
77avg 79
H28/09
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
87-83
87
83
+4
78avg 79
H01/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
63-62
63
62
+1
60avg 79
H05/10
BBL
BC Wolves
#10
W
94-76
94
76
+18
91avg 79
A08/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
L
100-103
100
103
-3
100avg 79
A12/10
German Cup
Besiktas
#9
L
74-107
74
107
-33
60avg 79
A14/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
L
66-93
66
93
-27
53avg 79
A19/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#4
L
78-125
78
125
-47
72avg 79
A22/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
74avg 79
H26/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
15-9
17-21
26-19
13-15
21-15
28-21
23-25
25-17
18-19
16-16
28-31
12-19
22-18
15-7
14-18
21-20
24-21
23-25
26-10
31-21
20-25
18-25
31-32
9-31
19-30
21-28
25-18
14-25
15-21
12-25
25-22
22-36
15-32
23-29
18-28
25-18
25-14
16-26
19-18
172.2Avg total
82.8Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.896.8182.6-11.060%
Season at home (1)87.083.0170.0+4.0100%
Season away (4)85.5100.2185.8-14.850%
Last 10 (10)82.889.4172.2-6.660%
Last 5 (5)80.6100.8181.4-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.581.0150.5-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.583.5166.0-1.138%
vs Weaker (14)86.576.6163.1+9.993%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 75
A24/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
95avg 75
A28/09
Lega A
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 75
H02/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#8
W
82-70
82
70
+12
77avg 75
H05/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#14
L
64-85
64
85
-21
49avg 75
H09/10
Eurocup
Varese
#12
W
106-100
106
100
+6
98avg 75
H13/10
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
70-110
70
110
-40
57avg 75
A16/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
85avg 75
A20/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 75
H23/10
Eurocup
Sassari
#10
W
84-81
84
81
+3
78avg 75
A27/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
27-22
7-15
25-24
24-16
22-23
25-22
21-15
25-15
19-21
17-28
23-14
17-21
22-20
25-15
18-14
16-18
19-24
9-23
20-20
25-27
25-31
29-14
27-28
25-26
14-37
16-20
15-27
23-16
25-16
18-24
17-20
26-18
15-20
16-20
22-15
26-19
20-19
23-21
15-22
165.8Avg total
82.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.686.0161.6-10.440%
Season at home (3)75.778.7154.3-3.067%
Season away (2)75.597.0172.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)82.583.3165.8-0.870%
Last 5 (5)84.488.0172.4-3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.991.1166.0-16.218%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.584.8170.3+0.854%
vs Weaker (5)89.882.2172.0+7.6100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
UlmTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#20
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/09
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H28/09
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H01/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/10
BBL
BC Wolves
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/10
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A12/10
German Cup
Besiktas
#9
L
28-61
28
61
-33
A14/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#9
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A19/10
BBL
Gran Canaria
#4
L
37-68
37
68
-31
A22/10
Eurocup
Vechta
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H26/10
BBL
82.7Avg total
38.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.881.6+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.338.881.1+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)39.742.382.0-2.653%-
Last 10 (10)38.943.882.7-4.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.050.689.6-11.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.036.068.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.845.685.4-5.846%-
vs Weaker (14)42.436.678.9+5.871%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A24/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A28/09
Lega A
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H02/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H05/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#14
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/10
Eurocup
Varese
#12
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H13/10
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A16/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A20/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H23/10
Eurocup
Sassari
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A27/10
Lega A
86.9Avg total
43.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.385.4-3.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.143.183.2-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.145.587.5-3.453%-
Last 10 (10)43.743.286.9+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.845.890.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.547.887.3-8.427%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.643.284.8-1.546%-
vs Weaker (5)46.840.687.4+6.280%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.4
48.5%
53.5%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.1
37.9%
34.3%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.5
71.4%
76.0%15.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.7
52.4%
53.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
34.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.012.7
74.7%
76.0%12.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLLLLWWWWW
Trento
WWWLWLWWWL
#13
League position
#16
-9.4
Net rating
-2.2
106.9
Offensive rating
105.0
116.3
Defensive rating
107.2
52.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
20.2%
Turnover %
21.1%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.9%
3-point %
35.8%
65.5%
Assist %
48.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 105.0Defence116.3 · 107.2Shooting52.4% · 52.9%3-point %37.9% · 35.8%Ball care20.2% · 21.1%Off. rebounds33.0% · 32.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ulm wins
2
Trento wins
DateGameScore
06/12/23Trento v Ulm83-85
03/10/23Ulm v Trento80-70
27/12/17Ulm v Trento84-94
08/11/17Trento v Ulm77-66
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24HVechta85-76
22/10/24AGran Canaria78-125
19/10/24AOldenburg66-93
14/10/24ABesiktas74-107
12/10/24ABamberg100-103
08/10/24ABC Wolves94-76
05/10/24HLudwigsburg63-62
01/10/24HJoventut Badalona87-83
28/09/24HWurzburg85-76
25/09/24ATrefl Sopot96-93 OT
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24ASassari84-81
23/10/24HHapoel Tel-Aviv79-73
20/10/24ATreviso83-76
16/10/24ABahcesehir Kol.70-110
13/10/24HVarese106-100
09/10/24HBuducnost64-85
05/10/24HVenezia82-70
02/10/24HTrefl Sopot84-78
28/09/24AReggiana92-76
24/09/24AGran Canaria81-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game85.887.085.5
Allowed / game96.883.0100.2
Point differential-11.0+4.0-14.8
Avg total182.6170.0185.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%25%
Trento
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game75.675.775.5
Allowed / game86.078.797.0
Point differential-10.4-3.0-21.5
Avg total161.6154.3172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia550100%99.281.6+17.6
2 Bahcesehir Kol.65183%85.268.8+16.3
3 Gran Canaria65183%84.777.2+7.5
4 JL Bourg54180%83.873.2+10.6
5 Hapoel Jerusalem64267%82.076.7+5.3
6 Cedevita Olimpija64267%81.881.2+0.7
7 Hapoel Tel-Aviv53260%83.478.8+4.6
8 Ulm53260%85.896.8-11.0
9 Cluj-Napoca63350%87.583.3+4.2
10 BC Wolves63350%84.582.7+1.8
11 Besiktas63350%85.784.5+1.2
12 Turk Telekom63350%74.276.0-1.8
13 Buducnost52340%82.884.4-1.6
14 Trento52340%75.686.0-10.4
15 Venezia62433%80.784.8-4.2
16 Joventut Badalona62433%75.780.2-4.5
17 Aris51420%74.679.4-4.8
18 Lietkabelis51420%74.082.8-8.8
19 Hamburg61517%76.092.3-16.3
20 Trefl Sopot6060%81.088.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1815351684
Trento2021231882
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