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Ulm vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 60-86
9-24 25-21 15-22 11-19
Position#17
Record3-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game69.2
EuropeEurocupRound 6
European cup2016
Meetings · Ulm v Valencia
12 Jan 2022
ULM70
VAL76
16 Nov 2016
ULM60
VAL86
27 Oct 2015
ULM79
VAL82
26 Nov 2013
ULM92
VAL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bremerhaven
#12
W
96-83
96
83
+13
H08/10
BBL
Valencia
#1
L
58-95
58
95
-37
A12/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#11
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A16/10
BBL
Petrol Olimpija
#18
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H19/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H22/10
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A26/10
Eurocup
Giessen
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A29/10
BBL
Bonn
#6
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H05/11
BBL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H09/11
Eurocup
Jena
#14
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A12/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
25-13
23-38
23-18
16-26
18-22
11-23
13-24
21-21
18-14
16-16
24-22
25-23
20-18
18-15
24-26
23-21
25-13
28-17
21-29
28-13
18-16
18-19
13-14
19-17
21-14
19-16
20-28
23-18
25-21
23-20
22-11
25-19
28-18
23-15
27-25
17-14
25-14
14-26
28-20
162.4Avg total
85.3Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.279.0160.2+2.275%
Season at home (2)95.079.5174.5+15.5100%
Season away (2)67.578.5146.0-11.050%
Last 10 (10)85.377.1162.4+8.290%
Last 5 (5)87.271.6158.8+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.584.9161.5-8.445%
vs Similar (7)83.083.1166.1-0.157%
vs Weaker (12)92.681.9174.5+10.7100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-94
75
94
-19
H06/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A09/10
ACB
Ulm
#17
W
95-58
95
58
+37
H12/10
Eurocup
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H19/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
92-75
92
75
+17
A23/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H30/10
ACB
Petrol Olimpija
#18
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H02/11
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#12
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A05/11
ACB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A09/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
W
99-91
99
91
+8
H13/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
19-19
18-34
21-18
22-18
15-18
24-21
23-18
26-16
22-18
23-11
24-13
16-20
20-21
22-20
19-20
22-14
16-16
22-25
32-20
16-10
22-17
21-15
29-20
24-16
22-16
15-14
26-28
20-21
13-16
19-14
16-22
17-17
16-17
21-13
19-17
17-16
24-16
27-26
31-33
158.5Avg total
83.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.069.2152.2+13.875%
Season at home (3)86.371.0157.3+15.367%
Season away (1)73.064.0137.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.874.7158.5+9.170%
Last 5 (5)83.072.8155.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.086.8164.8-8.825%
vs Similar (5)81.277.8159.0+3.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.072.5155.4+10.571%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
UlmValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bremerhaven
#12
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H08/10
BBL
Valencia
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A12/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A16/10
BBL
Petrol Olimpija
#18
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H19/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H22/10
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A26/10
Eurocup
Giessen
#9
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A29/10
BBL
Bonn
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H05/11
BBL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H09/11
Eurocup
Jena
#14
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A12/11
BBL
79.4Avg total
44.5Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.082.4+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.537.982.5+6.677%-
Last 30 away (17)40.841.682.4-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)44.534.979.4+9.690%-
Last 5 (5)45.832.878.6+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.539.578.0-0.945%-
vs Similar (7)42.743.486.1-0.757%-
vs Weaker (12)45.838.684.3+7.283%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H06/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A09/10
ACB
Ulm
#17
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H12/10
Eurocup
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H19/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A23/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H30/10
ACB
Petrol Olimpija
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H02/11
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#12
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A05/11
ACB
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A09/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/11
ACB
73.1Avg total
38.6Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.576.2+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.635.976.5+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.837.175.9+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)38.634.573.1+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.470.6+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.540.277.8-2.825%-
vs Similar (5)37.235.072.2+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.736.176.9+4.657%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
4
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
12/10/16Valencia v Ulm95-58
02/12/15Valencia v Ulm93-88
27/10/15Ulm v Valencia79-82
26/11/13Ulm v Valencia92-84
23/10/13Valencia v Ulm88-74
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/16AJena84-74
09/11/16HHapoel M. Jerusalem103-77
05/11/16HBonn93-70
29/10/16AGiessen79-75
26/10/16ALokomotiv Kuban77-62
22/10/16HLudwigsburg97-80
19/10/16HPetrol Olimpija87-82
16/10/16AFrankfurt79-73
12/10/16AValencia58-95
08/10/16HBremerhaven96-83
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16HBaskonia99-91
09/11/16ALokomotiv Kuban73-64
05/11/16AFuenlabrada68-73
02/11/16HPetrol Olimpija87-74
30/10/16HMoraBanc Andorra88-62
23/10/16AObradoiro CAB92-75
19/10/16HHapoel M. Jerusalem77-81
12/10/16HUlm95-58
09/10/16AGran Canaria84-75
06/10/16HReal Madrid75-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.295.067.5
Allowed / game79.079.578.5
Point differential+2.2+15.5-11.0
Avg total160.2174.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Eurocup 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWLW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game83.086.373.0
Allowed / game69.271.064.0
Point differential+13.8+15.3+9.0
Avg total152.2157.3137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria54180%96.279.0+17.2
2 Murcia54180%84.880.4+4.4
3 Valencia43175%83.069.2+13.8
4 Bayern43175%77.867.5+10.2
5 Ulm43175%81.279.0+2.2
6 Hapoel M. Jerusalem43175%84.283.2+1.0
7 Alba Berlin43175%92.293.8-1.5
8 Khimki M.53260%89.079.4+9.6
9 Cedevita53260%86.086.6-0.6
10 Lietkabelis53260%79.281.2-2.0
11 Unicaja42250%79.076.2+2.8
12 Zenit Petersburg42250%83.283.5-0.2
13 Fuenlabrada42250%85.888.0-2.2
14 Nizhny Novgorod42250%80.086.0-6.0
15 Rytas52340%91.291.0+0.2
16 Lokomotiv Kuban52340%70.873.6-2.8
17 Bilbao41325%76.885.2-8.5
18 MZT Skopje5050%80.690.4-9.8
19 Petrol Olimpija5050%71.682.4-10.8
20 Buducnost5050%67.482.0-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm925151160
Valencia2421221986
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