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Valencia vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-74
24-16 22-16 15-14 26-28
Position#1
Record1-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#18
Record0-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeEurocupRound 4
European cup2016
Meetings · Valencia v Petrol Olimpija
02 Nov 2016
VAL87
POL74
04 Dec 2013
VAL91
POL93
22 Dec 2010
VAL78
POL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A04/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
H07/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H09/06
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A02/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-94
75
94
-19
H06/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A09/10
ACB
Ulm
#17
W
95-58
95
58
+37
H12/10
Eurocup
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H19/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
92-75
92
75
+17
A23/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H30/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
29-22
24-21
25-35
25-19
22-26
17-11
10-18
18-25
20-19
15-9
27-29
24-18
18-25
15-9
23-16
17-23
19-19
18-34
21-18
22-18
15-18
24-21
23-18
26-16
22-18
23-11
24-13
16-20
20-21
22-20
19-20
22-14
16-16
22-25
32-20
16-10
22-17
21-15
29-20
162.4Avg total
84.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.069.5155.5+16.550%
Season at home (2)86.069.5155.5+16.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.677.8162.4+6.860%
Last 5 (5)87.270.2157.4+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.288.4169.6-7.220%
vs Similar (3)78.078.0156.0+0.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.771.6154.3+11.176%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#8
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H09/10
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H12/10
Eurocup
Polzela
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#2
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
A16/10
ABA League
Ulm
#17
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A19/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#7
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H22/10
ABA League
Portoroz
#12
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H26/10
Eurocup
Helios Domzale
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A29/10
Liga Nova KBM
Karpos
#11
W
87-83 OT
87
83
+4
A31/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
21-24
27-13
13-20
12-12
12-19
19-21
21-20
21-19
20-26
22-20
17-13
22-20
20-21
21-17
12-17
23-25
18-20
15-18
26-24
20-25
21-23
14-20
17-21
31-21
25-21
19-15
21-23
16-23
23-18
15-21
20-27
17-20
17-23
23-19
27-14
19-13
19-17
17-20
18-23
161.7Avg total
80.5Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.382.7156.0-9.30%
Season at home (2)69.080.5149.5-11.50%
Season away (1)82.087.0169.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)80.581.2161.7-0.750%
Last 5 (5)82.683.4166.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.583.3162.8-3.718%
vs Similar (11)83.981.5165.4+2.545%
vs Weaker (8)81.076.5157.5+4.588%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
ValenciaPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A04/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H07/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H09/06
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A02/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H06/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A09/10
ACB
Ulm
#17
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H12/10
Eurocup
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H19/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A23/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H30/10
ACB
78.2Avg total
39.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.177.2+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.137.278.4+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)39.036.975.9+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.378.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.433.673.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.841.081.8-0.240%-
vs Similar (3)37.336.373.7+1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.336.076.3+4.357%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/10
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H12/10
Eurocup
Polzela
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A16/10
ABA League
Ulm
#17
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A19/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H22/10
ABA League
Portoroz
#12
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H26/10
Eurocup
Helios Domzale
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A29/10
Liga Nova KBM
Karpos
#11
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A31/10
ABA League
80.2Avg total
39.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.979.7-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.980.7+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)37.741.078.7-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.580.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.340.579.8-1.336%-
vs Similar (11)39.637.577.1+2.264%-
vs Weaker (8)40.642.583.1-1.925%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.8
52.5%
54.3%31.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.8
34.7%
34.3%26.2
🏀 Free throws23.518.8
79.8%
75.3%18.8
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
3
Petrol Olimpija wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/16HMoraBanc Andorra88-62
23/10/16AObradoiro CAB92-75
19/10/16HHapoel M. Jerusalem77-81
12/10/16HUlm95-58
09/10/16AGran Canaria84-75
06/10/16HReal Madrid75-94
02/10/16ATecnyconta Zaragoza80-68
09/06/16HReal Madrid80-82
07/06/16HReal Madrid87-86 OT
04/06/16AReal Madrid88-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/16AKarpos87-83 OT
29/10/16AHelios Domzale84-76
26/10/16HHapoel M. Jerusalem74-89
24/10/16HPortoroz96-80
22/10/16HCibona72-89
19/10/16AUlm82-87
16/10/16APartizan85-86 OT
14/10/16APolzela80-78
12/10/16HLokomotiv Kuban64-72
09/10/16HMornar Bar81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game69.569.5-
Point differential+16.5+16.5-
Avg total155.5155.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Petrol Olimpija
Eurocup 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.369.082.0
Allowed / game82.780.587.0
Point differential-9.3-11.5-5.0
Avg total156.0149.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gran Canaria220100%103.578.0+25.5
2 Hapoel M. Jerusalem330100%86.776.7+10.0
3 Alba Berlin43175%92.293.8-1.5
4 Khimki M.32167%87.777.3+10.3
5 Bayern32167%81.075.3+5.7
6 Zenit Petersburg32167%82.380.3+2.0
7 Murcia32167%85.084.0+1.0
8 Lietkabelis32167%80.780.0+0.7
9 Nizhny Novgorod32167%81.084.0-3.0
10 Ulm32167%74.079.7-5.7
11 Valencia21150%86.069.5+16.5
12 Unicaja21150%74.068.0+6.0
13 Fuenlabrada21150%85.086.5-1.5
14 Bilbao21150%78.580.5-2.0
15 Lokomotiv Kuban31233%71.077.0-6.0
16 Cedevita31233%80.388.7-8.3
17 Rytas3030%87.393.3-6.0
18 MZT Skopje3030%82.789.0-6.3
19 Petrol Olimpija3030%73.382.7-9.3
20 Buducnost3030%72.785.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2422152687
Petrol Olimpija1616142874
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