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Ulm vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2013
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-86
22-24 11-14 20-23 22-25
Position#11
Record7-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Varese 🏆
Position#50
Record1-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeEurocupRound 10
European cup2013
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#50
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A13/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
74-102
74
102
-28
A16/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A20/11
Eurocup
Artland
#6
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A23/11
BBL
Valencia
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H26/11
Eurocup
Tubingen
#17
W
92-55
92
55
+37
H29/11
BBL
Levallois
#38
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H03/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#18
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A07/12
BBL
Petrol Olimpija
#23
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A11/12
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H15/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
20-22
22-26
19-11
21-24
15-24
16-24
22-30
26-14
18-20
18-12
16-14
15-14
14-13
20-19
26-16
23-26
21-15
27-23
21-20
26-13
25-7
17-14
24-21
19-8
12-13
19-17
6-10
18-23
23-25
22-20
29-16
18-18
17-15
11-21
15-20
9-19
25-14
21-4
17-22
147.5Avg total
77.0Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.273.2149.4+3.078%
Season at home (4)79.273.0152.2+6.2100%
Season away (5)73.873.4147.2+0.460%
Last 10 (10)77.070.5147.5+6.580%
Last 5 (5)74.664.0138.6+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.083.2161.2-5.250%
vs Similar (10)75.877.2153.0-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.171.8155.8+12.388%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H13/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#6
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H17/11
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#23
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
H20/11
Eurocup
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A23/11
Lega A
Levallois
#38
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A26/11
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H01/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A04/12
Eurocup
Pistoia
#9
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A08/12
Lega A
Valencia
#9
L
62-94
62
94
-32
H11/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H15/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
22-20
26-22
11-19
18-27
11-22
22-18
20-18
25-10
11-24
14-20
21-17
21-14
23-23
14-29
25-22
11-14
11-21
27-23
16-19
23-15
25-28
30-18
13-16
20-22
19-20
15-21
26-20
21-24
23-21
16-16
16-28
17-16
10-23
22-26
13-29
22-21
25-21
19-15
11-25
160.0Avg total
76.4Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.681.8153.3-10.211%
Season at home (5)75.282.2157.4-7.020%
Season away (4)67.081.2148.2-14.20%
Last 10 (10)76.483.6160.0-7.210%
Last 5 (5)77.285.0162.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.283.9156.1-11.711%
vs Similar (15)74.076.7150.7-2.740%
vs Weaker (4)82.581.0163.5+1.550%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -4.1-4.1
UlmVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#50
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A13/11
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A16/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A20/11
Eurocup
Artland
#6
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A23/11
BBL
Valencia
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H26/11
Eurocup
Tubingen
#17
W
51-20
51
20
+31
H29/11
BBL
Levallois
#38
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H03/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#18
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A07/12
BBL
Petrol Olimpija
#23
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A11/12
Eurocup
Bamberg
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H15/12
BBL
72.7Avg total
38.2Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.277.8+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.337.478.7+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)38.138.976.9-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)38.234.572.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.431.069.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.542.881.2-4.250%-
vs Similar (10)38.039.477.4-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.836.377.1+4.556%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#6
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H17/11
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#23
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H20/11
Eurocup
Sutor Montegranaro
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A23/11
Lega A
Levallois
#38
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A26/11
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H01/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/12
Eurocup
Pistoia
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A08/12
Lega A
Valencia
#9
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H11/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H15/12
Lega A
77.9Avg total
37.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.276.9-1.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.437.977.4+1.571%-
Last 30 away (13)35.540.876.3-5.438%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.377.9-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.740.376.0-4.744%-
vs Similar (15)37.939.176.9-1.253%-
vs Weaker (4)44.041.585.5+2.575%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ulm wins
0
Varese wins
DateGameScore
13/11/13Varese v Ulm77-78
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/13HBamberg72-59
11/12/13APetrol Olimpija61-74
07/12/13AVechta92-84
03/12/13HLevallois56-48
29/11/13HTubingen92-55
26/11/13HValencia92-84
23/11/13AArtland75-62
20/11/13ALyon-Villeurbanne78-60
16/11/13AAlba Berlin74-102
13/11/13AVarese78-77
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/13HCantu77-82
11/12/13HValencia62-94
08/12/13APistoia76-89
04/12/13ALyon-Villeurbanne80-83
01/12/13HPesaro91-77
26/11/13ALevallois65-77
23/11/13ASutor Montegranaro83-88
20/11/13HPetrol Olimpija82-83 OT
17/11/13HBrindisi71-85
13/11/13HUlm77-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game76.279.273.8
Allowed / game73.273.073.4
Point differential+3.0+6.2+0.4
Avg total149.4152.2147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game71.675.267.0
Allowed / game81.882.281.2
Point differential-10.2-7.0-14.2
Avg total153.3157.4148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan10100100%83.762.5+21.2
2 Khimki M.109190%87.075.1+11.9
3 Nizhny Novgorod97278%83.272.6+10.7
4 Cantu97278%82.275.3+6.9
5 Alba Berlin97278%74.269.2+5.0
6 Ulm97278%76.273.2+3.0
7 Oostende97278%76.675.8+0.8
8 Sassari107370%86.681.7+4.9
9 Petrol Olimpija107370%74.369.8+4.5
10 Besiktas107370%71.769.0+2.7
11 Gravelines-Dunkerque96367%75.167.1+8.0
12 Khimik96367%77.771.2+6.4
13 Valencia106460%87.572.1+15.4
14 Cedevita106460%79.776.0+3.7
15 Ankara Kolejliler106460%78.877.4+1.4
16 Panionios106460%76.875.5+1.3
17 Hapoel M. Jerusalem106460%77.776.7+1.0
18 Maccabi Haifa106460%74.474.5-0.1
19 Tecnyconta Zaragoza95456%79.771.8+7.9
20 Nymburk95456%79.175.3+3.8
21 Le Mans95456%72.171.0+1.1
22 Oldenburg95456%78.378.6-0.2
23 PAOK95456%71.776.9-5.2
24 Banvit105550%79.571.8+7.7
25 Radnicki105550%82.482.4+0.0
26 Karsiyaka105550%80.580.6-0.1
27 Bisons Loimaa105550%75.076.9-1.9
28 VEF Riga105550%72.178.2-6.1
29 Bilbao94544%85.082.4+2.6
30 Bonn94544%76.679.7-3.1
31 Neptunas104640%81.480.7+0.7
32 Chalon/Saone104640%77.978.6-0.7
33 Academic104640%72.875.6-2.8
34 Levallois104640%68.773.3-4.6
35 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%70.679.4-8.8
36 Virtus Roma93633%74.875.7-0.9
37 Spartak St. Petersburg103730%73.376.1-2.8
38 CSU Ploiesti103730%79.484.2-4.8
39 Igokea103730%75.680.8-5.2
40 BC Kalev/Cramo103730%67.376.4-9.1
41 Spirou Charleroi103730%70.680.6-10.0
42 Buducnost92722%75.779.4-3.8
43 Artland92722%73.782.6-8.9
44 Belfius Mons92722%63.880.7-16.9
45 Alba Fehervar102820%72.080.7-8.7
46 Cibona91811%78.081.7-3.7
47 Varese91811%71.681.8-10.2
48 MZT Skopje101910%68.482.0-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2211202275
Varese2414232586
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