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Ulm vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-68
22-15 23-19 18-17 21-17
Position#15
Record5-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game80.2
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#2
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game86.8
EuropeEurocupRound 11
European cup2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#11
W
96-89
96
89
+7
90avg 81
A18/12
BBL
Bursaspor
#11
L
66-68
66
68
-2
61avg 81
A21/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#14
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 81
A27/12
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
84avg 81
H30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
75avg 81
H02/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 81
A08/01
BBL
Valencia
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 81
H12/01
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#16
W
92-81
92
81
+11
83avg 81
H16/01
BBL
Buducnost
#10
W
89-68
89
68
+21
94avg 81
A19/01
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#6
W
77-68
77
68
+9
74avg 81
H22/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
24-28
23-17
22-22
12-19
20-17
18-18
16-14
22-18
18-28
21-11
23-22
17-22
22-21
20-16
27-29
18-13
25-20
15-20
20-13
29-17
22-23
22-16
16-19
19-10
23-17
13-25
15-24
25-26
23-22
27-19
17-14
30-15
20-18
18-15
21-20
23-20
17-7
15-23
22-18
158.5Avg total
82.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.880.2163.0+2.650%
Season at home (5)80.080.4160.4-0.440%
Season away (5)85.680.0165.6+5.660%
Last 10 (10)82.775.8158.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)83.473.6157.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)82.582.3164.8+0.250%
vs Similar (15)82.276.4158.6+5.867%
vs Weaker (8)83.281.5164.8+1.850%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
W
104-101
104
101
+3
98avg 87
A08/12
Eurocup
Cremona
#16
W
87-75
87
75
+12
92avg 87
A12/12
Lega A
Promitheas
#18
W
91-72
91
72
+19
97avg 87
H15/12
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
76-70
76
70
+6
77avg 87
H19/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
L
80-100
80
100
-20
78avg 87
A22/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
99-102 OT
99
102
-3
no box
A05/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
90-81
90
81
+9
96avg 87
A09/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#17
W
83-82
83
82
+1
85avg 87
H12/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
no box
H15/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
148avg 87
A23/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
25-28
28-29
22-19
22-15
21-26
27-19
17-15
27-23
16-20
27-13
21-16
19-20
19-15
19-20
19-15
24-26
21-21
20-24
15-29
21-24
24-30
20-21
30-20
19-23
23-26
27-16
21-16
22-17
21-25
17-11
23-29
29-13
16-12
21-15
18-26
19-16
17-23
26-9
21-28
170.2Avg total
87.7Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.486.8177.2+3.767%
Season at home (5)89.482.2171.6+7.280%
Season away (4)91.892.5184.2-0.850%
Last 10 (10)87.782.5170.2+5.280%
Last 5 (5)87.881.4169.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.077.5158.5+3.5100%
vs Similar (8)88.182.5170.6+5.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.879.0167.8+9.885%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
UlmVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A18/12
BBL
Bursaspor
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A21/12
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/12
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H02/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A08/01
BBL
Valencia
#4
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H12/01
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#16
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H16/01
BBL
Buducnost
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A19/01
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#6
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H22/01
BBL
81.9Avg total
43.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.580.3+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.977.8+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)43.739.082.7+4.767%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.381.9+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.081.2+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.834.877.7+8.083%-
vs Similar (15)41.138.879.9+2.360%-
vs Weaker (8)43.040.683.6+2.450%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A08/12
Eurocup
Cremona
#16
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A12/12
Lega A
Promitheas
#18
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H15/12
Eurocup
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H19/12
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A22/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A05/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A09/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#17
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H15/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A23/01
Lega A
86.2Avg total
43.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.686.3+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.739.183.8+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)44.744.188.9+0.653%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.886.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.884.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.033.072.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (8)46.444.691.0+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.641.385.9+3.360%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.9
53.9%
52.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.0
36.0%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.817.8
81.7%
74.8%17.8
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.2
55.0%
52.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.511.1
41.9%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.112.1
70.8%
74.8%12.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWLWWLWLW
Virtus Bologna
WWWWLLWWWW
#15
League position
#2
+9.4
Net rating
+8.3
112.2
Offensive rating
112.8
102.9
Defensive rating
104.5
54.0%
Effective FG%
58.3%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.8%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.0%
3-point %
41.9%
60.2%
Assist %
79.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 112.8Defence102.9 · 104.5Shooting54.0% · 58.3%3-point %36.0% · 41.9%Ball care18.2% · 19.8%Off. rebounds29.8% · 30.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Ulm   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
27/10/21Virtus Bologna v Ulm87-76
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22HChemnitz77-68
19/01/22ABuducnost89-68
16/01/22HBayreuth92-81
12/01/22HValencia70-76
08/01/22ASyntainics MBC89-75
02/01/22HLudwigsburg78-66
30/12/21HGottingen86-88
27/12/21AHeidelberg84-79
21/12/21ABursaspor66-68
18/12/21AOldenburg96-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/22ABrindisi83-76
15/01/22HTreviso84-66
12/01/22HJL Bourg83-82
09/01/22AReggiana90-81
05/01/22AOlimpia Milano99-102 OT
22/12/21AGran Canaria80-100
19/12/21HFortitudo Bologna76-70
15/12/21HPromitheas91-72
12/12/21ACremona87-75
08/12/21ACedevita Olimpija104-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game82.880.085.6
Allowed / game80.280.480.0
Point differential+2.6-0.4+5.6
Avg total163.0160.4165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %20%20%20%
Virtus Bologna
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game90.489.491.8
Allowed / game86.882.292.5
Point differential+3.7+7.2-0.8
Avg total177.2171.6184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joventut Badalona108280%82.469.2+13.2
2 Gran Canaria97278%83.876.0+7.8
3 Partizan118373%84.676.7+7.9
4 Buducnost107370%80.375.9+4.4
5 Valencia107370%84.580.4+4.1
6 Lokomotiv Kuban107370%90.387.2+3.1
7 Virtus Bologna96367%90.486.8+3.7
8 MoraBanc Andorra95456%81.680.6+1.0
9 Turk Telekom116555%75.779.6-3.9
10 Lietkabelis105550%81.176.6+4.5
11 Ulm105550%82.880.2+2.6
12 Boulogne-Levallois105550%83.784.6-0.9
13 Venezia94544%74.975.4-0.6
14 Hamburg104640%86.990.1-3.2
15 Cedevita Olimpija93633%82.086.9-4.9
16 Bursaspor93633%75.982.8-6.9
17 JL Bourg103730%80.381.0-0.7
18 Promitheas92722%71.982.6-10.7
19 Slask Wroclaw91811%73.182.8-9.7
20 Trento101910%73.686.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2223182184
Virtus Bologna1519171768
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