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UMass vs Miami (Ohio) Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-86
36-41 41-45
Position#189
Record15-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.7
UMass
USA
vs
Miami (Ohio) 🏆
USA
Position#5
Record25-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UMass v Miami (Ohio)
26 Jan 2027
UMAS v MIAM
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
UMAS77
MIAM86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (Ohio) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#288
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
92-99
92
99
-7
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-25
51-46
36-35
49-47
33-40
35-30
35-34
49-48
38-29
30-38
47-43
37-43
38-30
32-37
40-47
55-42
32-21
32-43
43-44
49-55
162.3Avg total
81.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.076.7157.7+4.358%
Season at home (14)81.773.3155.0+8.471%
Season away (12)80.280.6160.8-0.442%
Last 10 (10)81.680.7162.3+0.960%
Last 5 (5)86.487.0173.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.786.8168.5-5.217%
vs Similar (14)79.377.6156.9+1.650%
vs Weaker (9)77.873.1150.9+4.778%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A09/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
A21/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H28/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H31/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A07/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-35
48-41
56-36
31-37
49-35
51-26
46-48
42-40
48-34
44-58
43-47
43-37
40-38
45-23
38-35
35-36
49-31
41-43
43-35
47-39
168.7Avg total
91.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)92.674.3166.9+18.3100%
Season at home (15)96.772.3169.1+24.4100%
Season away (10)86.477.2163.6+9.2100%
Last 10 (10)91.077.7168.7+13.3100%
Last 5 (5)84.872.8157.6+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)74.071.0145.0+3.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)92.073.9165.8+18.1100%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +4.7+4.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +4.7+4.7
UMassMiami (Ohio)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#288
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H04/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A07/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/02
NCAA
71.8Avg total
37.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.171.9+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.233.970.1+2.253%-
Last 30 away (13)37.736.674.3+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)37.034.871.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.077.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.541.580.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (14)36.133.769.9+2.450%-
vs Weaker (9)36.334.670.9+1.878%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A09/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H17/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A21/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H28/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A07/02
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/02
NCAA
82.5Avg total
45.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.233.777.9+10.577%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.734.678.3+9.261%-
Last 30 away (12)45.032.477.4+12.6100%-
Last 10 (10)45.137.482.5+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.279.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)37.034.371.3+2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.033.678.7+11.481%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
1
Miami (Ohio) wins
DateGameScore
28/01/26Miami (Ohio) v UMass86-84
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AAkron92-99
07/02/26ACoastal Carolina91-94 OT
04/02/26HCentral Michigan95-89
31/01/26HEastern Michigan70-67
28/01/26AMiami (Ohio)84-86
24/01/26ABuffalo68-67
20/01/26HToledo84-82
17/01/26ANorthern Illinois68-70
14/01/26AWestern Michigan85-82
10/01/26HBall State79-71
Miami (Ohio)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HOhio90-74
07/02/26AMarshall90-74
03/02/26ABuffalo73-71
31/01/26HNorthern Illinois85-61
28/01/26HUMass86-84
21/01/26AKent State107-101 OT
17/01/26HBuffalo105-102 OT
14/01/26HCentral Michigan100-61
09/01/26AToledo87-73
07/01/26HWestern Michigan87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL58%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %58%71%42%
Points / game81.081.780.2
Allowed / game76.773.380.6
Point differential+4.3+8.4-0.4
Avg total157.7155.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)50% (4)38% (8)
Overtime %8%7%8%
Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.696.786.4
Allowed / game74.372.377.2
Point differential+18.3+24.4+9.2
Avg total166.9169.1163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%73%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %12%7%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)25250100%92.674.3+18.3
2 Akron2520580%89.974.9+15.0
3 Kent State2618869%85.780.3+5.4
4 Bowling Green26161062%82.370.2+12.2
5 UMass26151158%81.076.7+4.3
6 Buffalo26151158%78.374.7+3.6
7 Toledo26131350%80.877.6+3.2
8 Ohio26131350%77.677.8-0.2
9 Eastern Michigan27101737%71.072.7-1.7
10 Western Michigan2591636%74.879.3-4.5
11 Northern Illinois2591636%71.176.2-5.2
12 Ball State2581732%66.470.0-3.7
13 Central Michigan2681831%73.276.9-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass364177
Miami (Ohio)414586
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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