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Buffalo vs UMass Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-68
29-38 38-30
Position#180
Record13-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game74.9
vs
UMass 🏆
USA
Position#189
Record12-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Buffalo v UMass
05 Jan 2027
BUFF v UMAS
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
BUFF67
UMAS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A09/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
88-71
88
71
+17
A20/12
NCAA
Penn St-Behrend
#465
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A10/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H13/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
102-105 OT
102
105
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-43
44-36
47-28
23-45
41-28
47-43
51-37
41-26
43-29
38-38
41-25
44-47
47-44
33-47
30-44
51-43
48-46
40-42
27-43
36-39
161.5Avg total
82.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.274.9155.1+5.368%
Season at home (10)81.076.0157.0+5.070%
Season away (9)79.373.7153.0+5.767%
Last 10 (10)82.579.0161.5+3.550%
Last 5 (5)82.287.4169.6-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.683.2156.8-9.515%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.676.9156.4+2.767%
vs Weaker (7)77.367.0144.3+10.386%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#167
W
103-95
103
95
+8
A13/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H20/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#631
W
91-40
91
40
+51
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A06/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-47
60-48
24-35
35-34
41-21
50-19
41-38
33-42
34-34
52-52
41-48
42-38
28-25
51-46
36-35
49-47
33-40
35-30
35-34
49-48
160.2Avg total
82.6Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.374.5154.8+5.860%
Season at home (12)81.672.5154.1+9.167%
Season away (8)78.477.6156.0+0.850%
Last 10 (10)82.677.6160.2+5.050%
Last 5 (5)79.878.2158.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.479.5147.9-11.112%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.475.6153.9+2.850%
vs Weaker (7)76.471.7148.1+4.771%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +5.2+5.2
BuffaloUMass
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A09/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A14/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A20/12
NCAA
Penn St-Behrend
#465
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H13/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H20/01
NCAA
78.1Avg total
41.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.072.4+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.437.471.8-3.125%-
Last 30 away (14)38.734.473.1+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.778.1+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.479.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.641.474.0-8.815%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.233.269.4+3.056%-
vs Weaker (7)41.629.671.1+12.086%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#167
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A13/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H20/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#631
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A06/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/01
NCAA
71.3Avg total
35.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.635.369.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.733.968.7+0.844%-
Last 30 away (12)34.337.471.8-3.150%-
Last 10 (10)35.635.771.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.471.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.939.470.2-8.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.735.070.7+0.743%-
vs Weaker (7)35.633.469.0+2.186%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Buffalo wins
0
UMass wins
No previous meetings.
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26HAkron63-82
17/01/26AMiami (Ohio)102-105 OT
13/01/26HKent State81-87
10/01/26AOhio80-91
03/01/26HBall State85-72
31/12/25ANorthern Illinois81-67
22/12/25HPenn St-Behrend92-63
20/12/25AWestern Michigan88-71
14/12/25AEast Carolina70-73
09/12/25AUMBC Retrievers83-79
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26HToledo84-82
17/01/26ANorthern Illinois68-70
14/01/26AWestern Michigan85-82
10/01/26HBall State79-71
06/01/26AOhio83-86
03/01/26HBowling Green100-101 OT
31/12/25AEastern Michigan74-80
22/12/25HMassachusetts-Boston91-40
20/12/25HKent State59-69
13/12/25AFlorida State103-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL68%
HomeLWWLL70%
AwayLWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%70%67%
Points / game80.281.079.3
Allowed / game74.976.073.7
Point differential+5.3+5.0+5.7
Avg total155.1157.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%30%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%11%
UMass
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game80.381.678.4
Allowed / game74.572.577.6
Point differential+5.8+9.1+0.8
Avg total154.8154.1156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)20200100%94.574.7+19.9
2 Akron1915479%93.075.8+17.2
3 Bowling Green1913668%87.070.3+16.7
4 Kent State1913668%90.483.6+6.8
5 Buffalo1913668%80.274.9+5.3
6 UMass2012860%80.374.5+5.8
7 Ohio2011955%78.277.2+1.0
8 Toledo1910953%82.778.6+4.2
9 Eastern Michigan1991047%71.971.6+0.3
10 Western Michigan1971237%75.979.6-3.7
11 Northern Illinois1861233%74.177.7-3.6
12 Ball State1961332%68.470.6-2.2
13 Central Michigan1951426%71.879.3-7.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo293867
UMass383068
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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