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Buffalo vs Miami (Ohio) Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 71-73
35-38 36-35
Position#180
Record14-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game75.6
Buffalo
USA
vs
Miami (Ohio) 🏆
USA
Position#5
Record22-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)
05 Dec 2026
BUFF v MIAM
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
BUFF71
MIAM73
04 Mar 2025
BUFF69
MIAM84
09 Jan 2024
BUFF65
MIAM86
29 Dec 2021
BUFF81
MIAM91
11 Mar 2021
BUFF74
MIAM63
06 Feb 2021
BUFF88
MIAM64
09 Mar 2020
BUFF79
MIAM85
03 Mar 2020
BUFF75
MIAM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (Ohio) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn St-Behrend
#465
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A10/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H13/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
102-105 OT
102
105
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H20/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
83-95
83
95
-12
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-37
41-26
43-29
38-38
41-25
44-47
47-44
33-47
30-44
51-43
48-46
40-42
27-43
36-39
29-38
38-30
39-32
50-46
31-46
52-49
163.1Avg total
82.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.175.6155.8+4.564%
Season at home (12)80.076.9156.9+3.158%
Season away (10)80.374.1154.4+6.270%
Last 10 (10)82.380.8163.1+1.540%
Last 5 (5)80.885.6166.4-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.682.1156.7-7.527%
vs Similar (11)78.777.7156.5+1.055%
vs Weaker (7)77.367.0144.3+10.386%
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milligan
#639
W
135-81
135
81
+54
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A09/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
A21/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H28/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
68-35
67-46
54-28
39-55
33-36
43-37
39-35
48-41
56-36
31-37
49-35
51-26
46-48
42-40
48-34
44-58
43-47
43-37
40-38
45-23
175.6Avg total
96.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)93.774.5168.2+19.3100%
Season at home (14)97.272.2169.4+25.0100%
Season away (8)87.678.4166.0+9.2100%
Last 10 (10)96.179.5175.6+16.6100%
Last 5 (5)96.681.8178.4+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)79.576.2155.8+3.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)91.773.4165.0+18.396%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +10.4+10.42nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +5.3+5.3
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +10.4+10.42nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +5.3+5.3
BuffaloMiami (Ohio)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn St-Behrend
#465
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H03/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H13/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H20/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A28/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H31/01
NCAA
77.0Avg total
38.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.535.772.3+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.237.571.7-3.325%-
Last 30 away (14)39.233.772.9+5.579%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.477.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.075.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.540.573.9-7.027%-
vs Similar (11)35.134.869.9+0.345%-
vs Weaker (7)41.629.671.1+12.086%-
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milligan
#639
W
68-35
68
35
+33
H22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A31/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A09/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H17/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A21/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H28/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H31/01
NCAA
84.8Avg total
47.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.034.078.0+10.073%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.934.578.4+9.463%-
Last 30 away (11)44.233.077.2+11.291%-
Last 10 (10)47.637.284.8+10.470%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.485.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)38.836.074.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.833.778.5+11.277%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Buffalo wins
6
Miami (Ohio) wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Miami (Ohio) v Buffalo105-102 OT
05/03/25Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)69-84
04/01/25Miami (Ohio) v Buffalo93-79
10/01/24Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)65-86
23/02/22Miami (Ohio) v Buffalo84-86
29/12/21Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)81-91
11/03/21Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)74-63
06/02/21Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)88-64
15/12/20Miami (Ohio) v Buffalo62-90
09/03/20Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)79-85
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HOhio83-95
28/01/26ABowling Green89-78
24/01/26HUMass67-68
20/01/26HAkron63-82
17/01/26AMiami (Ohio)102-105 OT
13/01/26HKent State81-87
10/01/26AOhio80-91
03/01/26HBall State85-72
31/12/25ANorthern Illinois81-67
22/12/25HPenn St-Behrend92-63
Miami (Ohio)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HNorthern Illinois85-61
28/01/26HUMass86-84
21/01/26AKent State107-101 OT
17/01/26HBuffalo105-102 OT
14/01/26HCentral Michigan100-61
09/01/26AToledo87-73
07/01/26HWestern Michigan87-76
03/01/26HAkron76-73
31/12/25ABowling Green93-83
22/12/25HMilligan135-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL64%
HomeWLLLL58%
AwayWWLLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %64%58%70%
Points / game80.180.080.3
Allowed / game75.676.974.1
Point differential+4.5+3.1+6.2
Avg total155.8156.9154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.797.287.6
Allowed / game74.572.278.4
Point differential+19.3+25.0+9.2
Avg total168.2169.4166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %14%7%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)22220100%93.774.5+19.3
2 Akron2218482%91.574.5+17.0
3 Kent State2215768%87.281.4+5.8
4 Buffalo2214864%80.175.6+4.5
5 UMass2314961%79.574.4+5.1
6 Bowling Green2213959%84.670.9+13.7
7 Toledo22121055%81.877.8+4.0
8 Ohio23121152%77.477.6-0.2
9 Eastern Michigan2291341%71.573.0-1.5
10 Western Michigan2181338%75.479.2-3.8
11 Ball State2171433%67.369.9-2.6
12 Northern Illinois2171433%73.076.5-3.5
13 Central Michigan2271532%72.477.6-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo353671
Miami (Ohio)383573
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